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  FL US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 24, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2022 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 01, 2022 07:18pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameMarco Rubio Votes4,835,191 (51.98%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin713,103 (+7.67%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 23, 2022 FL US Senate - D Primary
Val Demings
D 1,499,216
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/23/2021 11/08/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Marco Rubio 8 17 2 2
Leaning Call: Marco Rubio (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Marco Rubio (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

08/04/2021 10/24/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Chairman Marco Rubio Rep. Val Demings Dennis Misigoy Mayor Steven B. Grant Tuan TQ Nguyen (W) Edward A. Gray (W) Uloma Uma Ekpete
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 4,474,847 (57.68%) 3,201,522 (41.27%) 32,177 (0.42%) 31,816 (0.41%) 17,385 (0.22%) 190 (0.00%) 42 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,273,325 (-16.41%) -4,442,670 (-57.27%) -4,443,031 (-57.27%) -4,457,462 (-57.46%) -4,474,657 (-57.68%) -4,474,805 (-57.68%)
Predict Avg.53.50% 45.90% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- 10/19 $4,920,051.50 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 00/00/2022 06/09/2021 00/00/2021 04/04/2021 06/13/2022 06/15/2022 05/06/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (26 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg51.36%-- 42.33%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
University of North Florida 
10/17/22-10/24/22
54.00% 10.0 43.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/18/22-09/25/22
48.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
09/17/22-09/20/22
49.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Sachs Media 
09/10/22-09/10/22
49.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
08/31/22-09/07/22
50.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
09/05/22-09/06/22
46.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Moses Quiles (W) Howard W. Knepper  
PartyIndependent Party of America Independent Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 33 (0.00%) 2 (0.00%)  
Margin-4,474,814 (-57.68%) -4,474,845 (-57.68%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 04/20/2022 04/14/2021  
MATCHUP POLLS (26 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
University of North Florida 
10/17/22-10/24/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/18/22-09/25/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
09/17/22-09/20/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Sachs Media 
09/10/22-09/10/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
08/31/22-09/07/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
09/05/22-09/06/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/11/2022 Val Demings TVAd Mixed eng Chief Shows Up  00:00:30 RP 
06/12/2022 Val Demings TVAd Biography eng Protect and Serve  00:00:30 RP 
06/09/2021 Val Demings TVAd Biography eng Never Tire  00:00:30 LEAPForward 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
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DISCUSSION
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4
Previous Messages]
 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Tue, December 6, 2022 08:57:04 PM UTC0:00
at least the 2016/2022 change map had some blue on it (which can't be said for the 18/22 or 20/22 change maps for Florida)

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5113.6445 points)
Tue, December 6, 2022 10:42:05 PM UTC0:00
The floor dropped out for the Democrats in Florida this cycle.

The problem is as much the fault of Florida Democrats as it has to do with the overall success of Ron DeSantis. Combined, this has created what has to be the worst election cycle performance for Democrats in Florida since the Whigs governed Florida.