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  NI Assembly - First Preference Votes
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > Northern Ireland > NI Assembly > Popular Vote
OfficeAssembly
HonorificAssembly - Abbr: Assembly Member
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline April 08, 2022 - 08:00am Central
Polls Open May 05, 2022 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 05, 2022 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 06, 2022 - 12:00am
Term End May 01, 2027 - 12:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia May 06, 2022 01:34pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/03/2022 05/05/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Sinn Féin 1 1 ----
Leaning Call: Sinn Féin (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Sinn Féin (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/23/2018 04/26/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sinn Féin (I) Democratic Unionist Party Alliance Party of Northern Ireland Ulster Unionist Party Social Democratic and Labour Party Traditional Unionist Voice Independent
PartySinn Féin Democratic Unionist Alliance Ulster Unionist Social Democratic and Labour Traditional Unionist Voice Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 250,388 (29.02%) 184,002 (21.33%) 116,681 (13.53%) 96,390 (11.17%) 78,237 (9.07%) 65,788 (7.63%) 25,315 (2.93%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -66,386 (-7.70%) -133,707 (-15.50%) -153,998 (-17.85%) -172,151 (-19.95%) -184,600 (-21.40%) -225,073 (-26.09%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 00/00/2022 00/00/2022 00/00/2022 00/00/2022 00/00/2022 00/00/2022 04/08/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg26.85%-- 21.52%-- 14.05%-- 10.50%-- 8.81%-- 8.24%-- 0.00%--
Social Market Research 
04/16/22-04/26/22		 26.60% 0.4 18.20% 2.0 18.20% 3.5 12.10% 1.5 10.50% 0.3 5.70% 0.3 0.00% --
LucidTalk 
04/22/22-04/24/22		 26.00% -- 20.00% 1.0 14.00% 2.0 14.00% 1.0 10.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 0.00% --
Social Market Research 
03/11/22-03/26/22		 27.00% 3.5 20.20% 0.4 14.70% 2.6 13.60% 0.6 10.20% 1.2 5.40% 0.2 0.00% --
LucidTalk 
03/18/22-03/21/22		 26.00% 2.0 19.00% 1.0 16.00% 1.0 13.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 9.00% 2.0 0.00% --
LucidTalk 
11/05/21-11/11/21		 24.00% -- 18.00% -- 15.00% -- 14.00% -- 12.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% --
Social Market Research 
10/21/21-10/29/21		 23.50% -- 20.60% -- 17.30% -- 13.00% -- 11.40% -- 5.60% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Green Party of Northern Ireland Aontú People Before Profit Alliance Others Conservative Party of Northern Ireland Progressive Unionist Party Workers' Party of Ireland
PartyGreen Aontú People Before Profit Independent Conservative Progressive Unionist Workers
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 16,433 (1.91%) 12,777 (1.48%) 9,798 (1.14%) 6,894 (0.80%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-233,955 (-27.12%) -237,611 (-27.54%) -240,590 (-27.89%) -243,494 (-28.22%) -250,388 (-29.02%) -250,388 (-29.02%) -250,388 (-29.02%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2022 00/00/2022 00/00/2022 04/08/2022 00/00/2022 04/08/2022 04/08/2022
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.06%-- 0.00%-- 1.31%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Social Market Research 
04/16/22-04/26/22		 2.90% 1.4 0.00% 0.3 2.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
LucidTalk 
04/22/22-04/24/22		 3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Social Market Research 
03/11/22-03/26/22		 4.30% 0.4 0.30% -- 2.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
LucidTalk 
03/18/22-03/21/22		 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
LucidTalk 
11/05/21-11/11/21		 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Social Market Research 
10/21/21-10/29/21		 3.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 3 MORE CANDIDATES


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
04/15/2022 Ulster Unionist Party TVAd Biography eng On the 5th May 2022 Vote Ulster Unionist for a Better Northern Ireland  00:03:40 IndyGeorgia 
04/10/2022 Alliance Party of Northern Ireland TVAd Biography eng Vote Alliance May 5  00:02:42 IndyGeorgia 
04/05/2022 Sinn Féin TVAd Biography eng Time for Real Change - Assembly Election Broadcast 2022  00:02:38 IndyGeorgia 
04/04/2022 Democratic Unionist Party TVAd Biography eng DUP 2022 Party Election Broadcast 1  00:02:40 IndyGeorgia 

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