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  AZ US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 08, 2024 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedBrentinCO April 16, 2024 05:37pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyIndependent Won12/09/2022
NameKyrsten Sinema Votes1 (100.00%)
Term12/09/2022 - 01/03/2025 Margin1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 27, 2024 AZ US Senate - D Primary
Ruben Gallego
Martin J. Quezada
Aug 27, 2024 AZ US Senate - R Primary
Doug Ducey
Kari Lake
Mark Lamb
George Nicholson
Robert Walker
Alan White
Brian "Mr Wright" Wright
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/25/2022 04/19/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Democratic Primary Winner 12 ----1
Tossup 2 ------
Republican Primary Winner 3 1 ----
Leaning Call: Democratic Primary Winner (69.57%)
Weighted Call: Democratic Primary Winner (97.30%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/31/2023 02/26/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Democratic Primary Winner Republican Primary Winner Sarah Williams  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date -- -- Speculative  
MATCHUP POLLS (15 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg39.05%-- 36.21%-- 0.00%--  
Pulse Opinion Research 
02/21/24-02/26/24		 Ruben Gallego - 42.00% -- Kari Lake - 45.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 33.00% -- Kari Lake - 37.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
02/16/24-02/19/24		 Ruben Gallego - 36.00% -- Kari Lake - 30.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 44.00% -- Kari Lake - 39.00% -- 0.00% --
Noble Predictive 
02/06/24-02/13/24		 Ruben Gallego - 34.00% -- Kari Lake - 31.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 47.00% -- Kari Lake - 37.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/05/24-01/06/24		 Ruben Gallego - 36.00% -- Kari Lake - 35.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 45.00% -- Kari Lake - 46.00% -- 0.00% --
VCreek/AMG 
12/01/23-12/08/23		 Ruben Gallego - 35.00% -- Kari Lake - 41.00% -- 0.00% --
Noble Predictive 
10/25/23-10/31/23		 Ruben Gallego - 39.00% -- Kari Lake - 33.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 36.00% -- Mark Lamb - 33.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/24/23-10/25/23		 Ruben Gallego - 36.00% -- Kari Lake - 37.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 46.00% -- Kari Lake - 43.00% -- 0.00% --
National Republican Senatorial Committee 
10/22/23-10/25/23		 Ruben Gallego - 41.00% -- Kari Lake - 37.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 49.00% -- Kari Lake - 44.00% -- 0.00% --
National Research Inc. (R) 
10/07/23-10/09/23		 Ruben Gallego - 33.00% -- Kari Lake - 37.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 44.00% -- Kari Lake - 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/06/23-10/07/23		 Ruben Gallego - 41.00% -- Kari Lake - 36.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 40.00% -- Mark Lamb - 31.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 41.00% -- Blake Masters - 31.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/06/23-10/07/23		 Ruben Gallego - 48.00% -- Kari Lake - 43.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
08/02/23-08/04/23		 Ruben Gallego - 36.00% -- Mark Lamb - 29.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 42.00% -- Mark Lamb - 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 37.00% -- Brian "Mr Wright" Wright - 25.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 41.00% -- Brian "Mr Wright" Wright - 38.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
07/13/23-07/17/23		 Ruben Gallego - 32.00% -- Blake Masters - 24.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 33.00% -- Mark Lamb - 25.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 34.00% -- Kari Lake - 25.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/11/23-04/14/23		 Ruben Gallego - 42.00% -- Kari Lake - 35.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
01/31/23-02/09/23		 Ruben Gallego - 32.00% -- Doug Ducey - 27.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 33.00% -- Blake Masters - 24.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 34.00% -- Kari Lake - 26.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 31.00% -- Karrin Taylor Robson - 24.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 38.00% -- Doug Ducey - 34.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 43.00% -- Blake Masters - 32.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 43.00% -- Kari Lake - 33.00% -- 0.00% --
Ruben Gallego - 36.00% -- Karrin Taylor Robson - 32.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR Old LW
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kyrsten Sinema (I)
Mar 05, 2024

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