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AZ US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Arizona
>
Senate Class I
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
April 08, 2024 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 05, 2024 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close
November 05, 2024 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
BrentinCO
April 16, 2024 05:37pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Independent
Won
12/09/2022
Name
Kyrsten Sinema
Votes
1 (100.00%)
Term
12/09/2022 - 01/03/2025
Margin
1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 27, 2024
AZ US Senate - D Primary
Ruben Gallego
Martin J. Quezada
Aug 27, 2024
AZ US Senate - R Primary
Doug Ducey
Kari Lake
Mark Lamb
George Nicholson
Robert Walker
Alan White
Brian "Mr Wright" Wright
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
03/25/2022
04/19/2024
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Democratic Primary Winner
12
--
--
1
Tossup
2
--
--
--
Republican Primary Winner
3
1
--
--
Leaning Call: Democratic Primary Winner (69.57%)
Weighted Call: Democratic Primary Winner (97.30%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/31/2023
02/26/2024
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Cygnal (R)
Emerson College
National Republican Senatorial Committee
National Research Inc. (R)
Noble Predictive
OH Predictive Insights
Public Policy Polling
Pulse Opinion Research
VCreek/AMG
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Democratic Primary Winner
Republican Primary Winner
Sarah Williams
Party
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
--
--
Speculative
MATCHUP POLLS (15 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
39.05%
--
36.21%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
02/21/24-02/26/24
Ruben Gallego -
42.00%
--
Kari Lake -
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
Ruben Gallego -
33.00%
--
Kari Lake -
37.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
02/16/24-02/19/24
Ruben Gallego -
36.00%
--
Kari Lake -
30.00%
--
0.00%
--
Ruben Gallego -
44.00%
--
Kari Lake -
39.00%
--
0.00%
--
Noble Predictive
02/06/24-02/13/24
Ruben Gallego -
34.00%
--
Kari Lake -
31.00%
--
0.00%
--
Ruben Gallego -
47.00%
--
Kari Lake -
37.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
01/05/24-01/06/24
Ruben Gallego -
36.00%
--
Kari Lake -
35.00%
--
0.00%
--
Ruben Gallego -
45.00%
--
Kari Lake -
46.00%
--
0.00%
--
VCreek/AMG
12/01/23-12/08/23
Ruben Gallego -
35.00%
--
Kari Lake -
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
Noble Predictive
10/25/23-10/31/23
Ruben Gallego -
39.00%
--
Kari Lake -
33.00%
--
0.00%
--
Ruben Gallego -
36.00%
--
Mark Lamb -
33.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR
Old LW
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kyrsten Sinema (I)
Mar 05, 2024
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
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DISCUSSION