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AL US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Alabama
>
Senate Class III
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
Republican Primary Election
Filing Deadline
March 03, 2022 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open
May 24, 2022 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close
May 24, 2022 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
RBH
June 03, 2022 12:58am
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/08/2016
Name
Richard Shelby
Votes
1,335,104 (63.96%)
Term
01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023
Margin
586,395 (+28.09%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/08/2022
Name
Katie Britt
Votes
942,154 (66.62%)
Term
01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029
Margin
505,408 (+35.74%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
AL US Senate 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
02/09/2021
05/24/2022
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Morris J. "Mo" Brooks
1
--
--
--
Katie Britt
4
3
1
--
Michael Durant
2
--
--
--
Leaning Call: Katie Britt (81.25%)
Weighted Call: Katie Britt (103.58%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
04/26/2021
05/12/2022
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Cherry Communications
Cygnal (R)
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
TargetPoint Consulting (R)
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Katie Britt
Rep.
Morris J. "Mo" Brooks
Michael Durant
Jake Schafer
Karla M. Dupriest
Lillie Boddie
Party
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
287,541 (44.73%)
187,736 (29.20%)
149,952 (23.32%)
7,152 (1.11%)
5,707 (0.89%)
4,828 (0.75%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-99,805 (-15.52%)
-137,589 (-21.40%)
-280,389 (-43.61%)
-281,834 (-43.84%)
-282,713 (-43.97%)
Predict Avg.
38.00%
40.00%
22.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
06/08/2021
03/22/2021
10/19/2021
00/00/2022
00/00/2022
00/00/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (12 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
34.61%
--
21.72%
--
26.41%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
05/09/22-05/12/22
37.00%
5.0
21.00%
3.4
31.00%
2.8
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Cygnal (R)
05/06/22-05/07/22
32.00%
4.0
22.50%
6.5
21.40%
13.6
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Cygnal (R)
03/16/22-03/17/22
28.00%
--
16.00%
--
35.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
03/10/22-03/13/22
32.00%
5.8
17.60%
13.8
33.80%
17.2
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Cherry Communications
02/02/22-02/06/22
28.50%
--
33.70%
--
24.40%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
01/25/22-01/27/22
25.00%
13.0
35.00%
20.0
30.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
Sandy Stimpson
🔗
R
Lindsey Graham
🔗
R
Shelley Moore Capito
🔗
R
Joni Ernst
🔗
D
NCdem
R
Southern_Moderate2
R
Maryland Republican
D
Parker Griffith
🔗
R
Deb Fischer
🔗
R
Brett Easterbrook
?
00
R
Richard Shelby
🔗
N
CaliforniaModerate
R
Kyle
R
James "Jim" Jordan
🔗
Eagle Forum
R
Scott G. Perry
🔗
R
Kelli Ward
🔗
R
Thomas Massie
🔗
R
Michael T. Flynn
🔗
R
Donald J. Trump
🔗
R
Donald Trump, Jr.
🔗
Senate Conservatives Fund
Republicans for National Renewal
R
Wendy J. Rogers
🔗
I
ThatAlabamaGuy
FreedomWorks PAC
Club for Growth
R
Jewish conservative
R
Marjorie Taylor Greene
🔗
R
Ted Cruz
🔗
R
Rand Paul
🔗
R
Stephen Miller
🔗
R
Barry Moore
🔗
R
Ted Nugent
🔗
R
Michael T. Flynn
🔗
R
Jessica Taylor
🔗
LBT
PA Historian
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Jessica Taylor (R)
Jul 08, 2021
-
Jan 04, 2022
Lynda Blanchard (R)
Feb 18, 2021
-
Dec 07, 2021
Will Ainsworth (R)
Jun 04, 2021
Kay Ivey (R)
Jun 02, 2021
John H. Merrill (R)
Apr 07, 2021
Richard Shelby (R)
Feb 08, 2021
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Mar 21, 2022 12:00pm
News
Teetering with Trump, Brooks calls for McConnell's ouster
Article
WA Indy
Dec 03, 2021 03:00pm
News
Senate Republicans quietly buck Trump in Alabama race
Article
WA Indy
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Work Complete
Prediction
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DISCUSSION
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8
Previous Messages]
D:1
RP
( 5506.7227 points)
x4
Wed, March 23, 2022 09:46:30 PM UTC0:00
The site code now allows Endorsement retractions. (Revocations)
The site code now allows Endorsement retractions. (Revocations)