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  MO US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Missouri > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 29, 2022 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open August 02, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 02, 2022 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 11:00am
Term End January 03, 2029 - 11:00am
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH August 29, 2022 12:36pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Filing went from February 22nd to March 29th, with an extra filing period from April 5th to 8th due to the withdrawal of Democratic candidate Scott Sifton.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameRoy Blunt Votes1,378,458 (49.18%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin78,258 (+2.79%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameEric Schmitt Votes1,146,966 (55.43%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin274,272 (+13.26%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMO US Senate 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/05/2021 08/02/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Eric Greitens 2 1 1 --
Eric Schmitt 8 2 ----
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Eric Schmitt (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Eric Schmitt (86.09%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/23/2021 07/27/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Attorney General Eric Schmitt Rep. Vicky Hartzler Gov. Eric Greitens Rep. Billy Long Mark McCloskey President Pro Tempore Dave Schatz Patrick A. Lewis
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 298,282 (45.56%) 144,903 (22.13%) 124,155 (18.96%) 32,603 (4.98%) 19,540 (2.99%) 7,509 (1.15%) 6,085 (0.93%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -153,379 (-23.43%) -174,127 (-26.60%) -265,679 (-40.58%) -278,742 (-42.58%) -290,773 (-44.41%) -292,197 (-44.63%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 6/30 $1,477,265.75 7/13 $1,119,325.88 7/13 $371,857.59 $-- 6/30 $35,965.70 7/13 $1,335,730.12 $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 03/11/2021 06/10/2021 03/22/2021 08/03/2021 05/18/2021 11/16/2021 02/22/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (18 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg30.35%-- 20.33%-- 17.66%-- 6.86%-- 4.05%-- 2.98%-- 0.10%--
Survey USA 
07/24/22-07/27/22		 28.00% 11.0 13.00% 2.0 20.00% 6.0 8.00% 1.0 4.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Remington Research 
07/22/22-07/23/22		 32.00% 3.0 25.00% 2.0 18.00% 3.0 8.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
07/21/22-07/23/22		 32.90% 12.9 20.90% 4.9 16.00% 10.0 5.10% 2.9 4.20% 0.2 2.20% -- 0.10% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
07/05/22-07/07/22		 28.00% -- 24.00% -- 16.00% -- 6.00% -- 4.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
06/02/22-06/05/22		 20.00% -- 16.00% -- 26.00% -- 8.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
05/16/22-05/18/22		 18.90% 4.1 23.40% 6.8 26.10% 4.4 9.10% 3.1 3.20% 1.4 2.60% 0.5 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Sarah Huckabee Sanders 🔗
R Pam Bondi 🔗
R Donald J. Trump 🔗
R Mike Lee 🔗
R Kevin Stitt 🔗
  Senate Conservatives Fund
  National Association for Gun Rights
R Ted Cruz 🔗
  Americans for Prosperity (Koch Brothers)
I ThatAlabamaGuy
R Christopher S. "Kit" Bond 🔗
R Deb Fischer 🔗
R Pat Roberts 🔗
R Mark Walker 🔗
R Roger Marshall 🔗
R Josh Hawley 🔗
R Joni Ernst
R Donald J. Trump 🔗
  Republicans for National Renewal
R Bernard B. Kerik 🔗
R Wendy J. Rogers 🔗
R Jewish conservative
D Tristy100
R Kimberly Guilfoyle 🔗
R Rudy Giuliani 🔗
R Kellyanne Conway
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
N Tom Schneider 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Curtis D. Vaughn Eric James McElroy Robert Allen C. W. Gardner Dave Sims Bernie Mowinski Deshon Porter
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 3,451 (0.53%) 2,805 (0.43%) 2,111 (0.32%) 2,044 (0.31%) 1,949 (0.30%) 1,602 (0.25%) 1,574 (0.24%)
Margin-294,831 (-45.03%) -295,477 (-45.13%) -296,171 (-45.24%) -296,238 (-45.25%) -296,333 (-45.26%) -296,680 (-45.32%) -296,708 (-45.32%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 03/29/2022 02/22/2022 02/22/2022 02/22/2022 02/22/2022 02/22/2022 02/22/2022
MATCHUP POLLS (18 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.50%-- 0.30%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Survey USA 
07/24/22-07/27/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
07/22/22-07/23/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
07/21/22-07/23/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
07/05/22-07/07/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
06/02/22-06/05/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
05/16/22-05/18/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR Old LW
VIEW 7 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Jason Smith (R)
Feb 09, 2022 		John Brunner (R)
 00, 2022 		Ann Wagner (R)
Aug 03, 2021 		Mike Kehoe (R)
Mar 22, 2021 		John R. "Jay" Ashcroft (R)
Mar 10, 2021 		Roy Blunt (R)
Mar 08, 2021

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/25/2022 Vicky Hartzler TVAd Contrast eng Chainsaw  00:00:30 RP 
07/11/2022 Vicky Hartzler vs Eric Schmitt TVAd Attack eng Eric and Eric  00:00:30 RP 
07/06/2022 Eric Greitens TVAd Feel Good eng Because I fought for you, they came after me.  00:00:59 RP 
07/05/2022 vs Eric Greitens TVAd Attack eng Afraid  00:00:30 RP 
06/24/2022 vs Eric Greitens TVAd Attack eng Praise  00:00:30 RP 
06/24/2022 vs Eric Greitens TVAd Attack eng Scandal  00:00:30 RP 
06/20/2022 Eric Greitens Web Only Ad Punditry eng Order your RINO Hunting Permit today!  00:00:38 RP 
02/03/2022 vs Eric Greitens TVAd Attack eng Eric Greitens & China  00:00:30 RP 
02/01/2022 vs Eric Schmitt TVAd Attack eng Mao Money  00:00:30 RP 
01/21/2022 Billy Long TVAd Biography eng Billy Long-Pro Trump Pro America  00:00:30 LEAPForward 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Dec 02, 2021 09:25am News Home Depot founder makes big move in Missouri Senate race  Article LEAPForward 

DISCUSSION
[View All
55
Previous Messages]
 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Thu, May 20, 2021 01:22:50 AM UTC0:00
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: McCloskey's running.

[Link]
 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Thu, May 20, 2021 10:19:11 PM UTC0:00
Anything significant about the $190? I mean seems like an odd number.

It's below the $200 threshold, that would otherwise make my contribution pat of the searchable public record.

Basically, I don't need ANTIFA knocking on my door.
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Thu, May 20, 2021 10:33:58 PM UTC0:00
Good strategy.
 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Fri, May 21, 2021 03:23:10 AM UTC0:00
I'm pretty sure ANTIFA has better things to do
 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Fri, June 11, 2021 04:58:13 AM UTC0:00
Will obviously be interesting to see what happens from here, now that Hartzler is in - do Long, Smith, and Wagner all run?

This is the worst possible timeline if Billy runs and wins btw.
 
Un:11182CyberPolitics ( 32.1374 points)
Fri, August 6, 2021 05:45:39 PM UTC0:00
Former Senior Counselor to the President Kellyanne Conway endorsed Billy Long.

Citation: [Link]
 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Tue, September 14, 2021 06:36:24 AM UTC0:00
Can't decide who I hate more between Long and Greitens, but I'm at the point where I might honestly vote in this primary if it means neither of them win.
 
LBT:10020PA Historian ( -94.9040 points)
Wed, September 15, 2021 04:53:05 AM UTC0:00
I forgot that Mark "Guns n Glory" McCloskey was running.
 
S:10358Charlotte K-A ( 29.7972 points)
Wed, September 15, 2021 07:34:52 AM UTC0:00
Don't worry, so did *checks notes* everyone else
 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Mon, September 20, 2021 10:50:51 PM UTC0:00
Asking my right-wing daddy Hikikomori Blitzkrieg who he thinks I should vote for here
 
S:10358Charlotte K-A ( 29.7972 points)
Tue, September 21, 2021 04:34:57 AM UTC0:00
He endorsed McCloskey
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, September 21, 2021 04:38:11 AM UTC0:00
And Kunce to be fair. The sworn enemies
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Thu, October 28, 2021 03:17:19 PM UTC0:00
A Republican Missouri Senate candidate [Mark McCloskey] said last week that teenagers who become pregnant as a result of incest or rape should be denied abortions, saying he does not "believe in any exceptions.” - [Link]
 
R:11221Jewish conservative ( 297.1253 points)
Mon, January 3, 2022 08:12:00 PM UTC0:00
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">MUST READ!<br><br>Breaking: General Flynn Endorses MAGA Navy SEAL ⁦<a href="[Link] Blasts RINO Eric Schmitt for Ties to Chinese Communist Party <a href="[Link] Boris Epshteyn (@BorisEP) <a href="
?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 16, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="[Link] charset="utf-8"></script>
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Mon, January 3, 2022 08:15:09 PM UTC0:00
You have the power to add these. Please do so.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Mon, January 3, 2022 08:41:32 PM UTC0:00
nice of Michael Flynn to endorse his son
 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Fri, January 7, 2022 05:48:27 PM UTC0:00
The establishment needs to unite around a single candidate to stop Greitens. They don't want another Akin.
 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Fri, January 7, 2022 06:10:29 PM UTC0:00
Southern_Moderate2: The establishment needs to unite around a single candidate to stop Greitens. They don't want another Akin.

Well, I think the difference here is that Greitens could win a general. Hell, Akin's comments would probably be a boost to his chances in 2022 vs 2012.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Tue, February 22, 2022 07:33:34 PM UTC0:00
as of 1:30pm Central on day 1 of filing, there are 14 filed Republican candidates for the Senate (and 6 filed Democrats)

Filing goes through March 29th. Usually the first and last day make up a lot of the activity.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Fri, July 29, 2022 01:49:36 AM UTC0:00
Meanwhile in the Missouri Republican primary:

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Tue, August 2, 2022 12:26:26 AM UTC0:00
congrats to Eric McElroy on being enjoyed by Trump
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, August 2, 2022 03:41:03 PM UTC0:00
Trump has endorsed Eric. I think that includes Greitens and Schmitt but not McElroy.
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, August 2, 2022 04:30:31 PM UTC0:00
 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
x4
Tue, August 2, 2022 05:11:18 PM UTC0:00
Billy Long isn't even funny anymore. This is just sad
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Tue, August 2, 2022 07:16:57 PM UTC0:00
imagine having a somewhat unique talent like Billy Long, and not doing at least one ad where you're trying to fit 60 seconds into 30 seconds at an Auctioneer tempo
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