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Chile President
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Parents |
> Chile > President
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Office | President |
Honorific | President - Abbr: President |
Type | General Election - Requires Run-Off |
Filing Deadline | August 23, 2021 - 11:55pm Central |
Polls Open | November 21, 2021 - 05:00am Central |
Polls Close | November 21, 2021 - 03:00pm Central |
Term Start | March 11, 2022 - 12:00pm |
Term End | March 11, 2026 - 12:00pm |
# Winners | 2 |
Contributor | IndyGeorgia |
Last Modified | Bojicat December 01, 2021 08:01am |
Data Sources | [Link] |
Description |
[Link]
Servel declared that a total of nine candidacies were able to obtain the minimum 33,000 signatures by the August 23, 2021 deadline [Link] out of 32 who registered.
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CANDIDATES (2 Winners) |
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Name |
José Antonio Kast |
Gabriel Boric |
Franco Parisi |
Social Development Minister
Sebastián Sichel |
Yasna Provoste |
Marco Enríquez-Ominami |
Eduardo Artés |
Party | Christian Social Front |
Apruebo Dignidad |
Party of the People |
Chile Podemos Más |
New Social Pact |
Progressive |
Patriotic Union |
Campaign Logo | |
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Uncertified Votes (99.46% in) | 1,961,387 (27.91%) |
1,814,777 (25.83%) |
899,230 (12.80%) |
898,331 (12.79%) |
815,429 (11.61%) |
534,252 (7.60%) |
103,202 (1.47%) |
Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-146,610 (-2.09%) |
-1,062,157 (-15.12%) |
-1,063,056 (-15.13%) |
-1,145,958 (-16.31%) |
-1,427,135 (-20.31%) |
-1,858,185 (-26.44%) |
Estimated Final | 1,971,928 (27.91%) |
1,824,530 (25.83%) |
904,063 (12.80%) |
903,159 (12.79%) |
819,811 (11.61%) |
537,123 (7.60%) |
103,756 (1.47%) |
Fusion Votes | |
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Predict Avg. | 0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Cash On Hand |
$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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Website |
[Campaign Site]
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Entry Date |
08/19/2021
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07/18/2021
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08/23/2021
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07/18/2021
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08/22/2021
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09/11/2021
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08/23/2021
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Bar | |
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Adj Poll Avg | 24.11%-- |
22.89%-- |
11.68%-- |
11.48%-- |
9.97%-- |
6.88%-- |
1.23%-- |
AtlasIntel 11/05/21-11/06/21 |
27.20% 3.8 |
21.90% 0.5 |
11.40% 1.3 |
11.70% 2.5 |
9.20% 3.0 |
6.20% 2.0 |
2.80% 0.3 |
AtlasIntel 11/01/21-11/02/21 |
31.00% -- |
21.40% -- |
10.10% -- |
9.20% -- |
12.20% -- |
4.20% -- |
2.50% -- |
Feedback 10/29/21-11/02/21 |
36.00% -- |
30.00% -- |
4.00% -- |
11.00% -- |
9.00% -- |
2.00% -- |
1.00% -- |
Activa - Pulso Ciudadano 10/25/21-10/29/21 |
26.50% -- |
25.00% -- |
10.60% -- |
9.10% -- |
12.10% -- |
5.10% -- |
2.60% -- |
CADEM 10/20/21-10/22/21 |
23.00% 8.0 |
20.00% 2.0 |
6.00% 1.0 |
7.00% 5.0 |
12.00% -- |
5.00% -- |
1.00% -- |
CADEM 09/29/21-10/01/21 |
15.00% 2.0 |
22.00% 1.0 |
5.00% -- |
12.00% 5.0 |
12.00% 2.0 |
5.00% 1.0 |
1.00% 1.0 |
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| INFORMATION LINKS |
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DISCUSSION |
[View All 46 Previous Messages] |
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I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
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Mon, July 19, 2021 07:06:23 PM UTC0:00
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I believe so. I think we have a "No Candidate filed" candidate.
I believe so. I think we have a "No Candidate filed" candidate.
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Mon, July 19, 2021 07:36:27 PM UTC0:00
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Also, does this count as an endorsement?
https://www.pauta.cl/politica/con-la-venia-de-bachelet-como-paula-narvaez-mueve-las-aguas
Also, does this count as an endorsement?
[Link]
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Fri, July 23, 2021 09:18:35 PM UTC0:00
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Yasna Provoste officially declares her candidacy today: https://www.pauta.cl/politica/yasna-provoste-candidata-presidencial-dc-unidad-constituyente Her declaration is expected to excite others to cannonball right in [they've just been dipping their toes these last few weeks]. No one's going to achieve absolute majority at this rate of candidate entry. The verdict will turn out to be a mess on Election day. A run-off is close to guaranteed after November 21st.
Yasna Provoste officially declares her candidacy today: [Link] Her declaration is expected to excite others to cannonball right in [they've just been dipping their toes these last few weeks]. No one's going to achieve absolute majority at this rate of candidate entry. The verdict will turn out to be a mess on Election day. A run-off is close to guaranteed after November 21st.
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Tue, July 27, 2021 02:44:36 AM UTC0:00
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Marco wants to be in so bad
https://www.adnradio.cl/politica/2021/07/22/marco-enriquez-ominami-y-elecciones-presidenciales.html
Marco wants to be in so bad
[Link]
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Wed, August 4, 2021 10:44:43 PM UTC0:00
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Since ME-O is probably not gonna actually get to run, I will add Guillier for the time period
Since ME-O is probably not gonna actually get to run, I will add Guillier for the time period
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POUM:6380 | Zeus the Moose ( 691.4546 points)
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Thu, August 5, 2021 01:17:33 PM UTC0:00
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So a more or less united left taking a small lead over the right, but not taking a majority due to the presence of a Christian Democratic center-left?
That doesn't sound ominously familiar or anything...
So a more or less united left taking a small lead over the right, but not taking a majority due to the presence of a Christian Democratic center-left?
That doesn't sound ominously familiar or anything...
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Thu, August 5, 2021 05:03:16 PM UTC0:00
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Can u explain?
Can u explain?
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POUM:6380 | Zeus the Moose ( 691.4546 points)
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Thu, August 5, 2021 05:18:59 PM UTC0:00
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It rhymes a bit with the 1970 election that Allende won.
The electoral system is a bit different this time around, in that Allende had to be approved by the Congress, whereas this will go to a second round. But I think it's still wise to remember the course of the Allende government in the current situation
It rhymes a bit with the 1970 election that Allende won.
The electoral system is a bit different this time around, in that Allende had to be approved by the Congress, whereas this will go to a second round. But I think it's still wise to remember the course of the Allende government in the current situation
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Thu, August 5, 2021 05:39:53 PM UTC0:00
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Its a bit of a loose rhyme, like Orange and "Doorhinge"
We have Hard Left, Center Left, Harder Left, Right, Hard Right, "Center", Celebrity.
Its a bit of a loose rhyme, like Orange and "Doorhinge"
We have Hard Left, Center Left, Harder Left, Right, Hard Right, "Center", Celebrity.
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Fri, August 6, 2021 08:32:10 PM UTC0:00
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Each day it gets more interesting.....
Each day it gets more interesting.....
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Fri, August 6, 2021 11:16:15 PM UTC0:00
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Thanks, E Pluribus. Adding Zambrano may be premature, however. Zambrano's going to need to collect 33,000 signatures, and gather them faster than Greek God Mercury, before he can be anointed a full-fledged candidate, per the rules. [He only received the nod from 43 'voters' so far https://www.eldinamo.cl/politica/2021/08/06/las-criticas-contra-cristian-cuevas-tras-ser-designado-por-solo-43-miembros-de-la-lista-del-pueblo/]
Thanks, E Pluribus. Adding Zambrano may be premature, however. Zambrano's going to need to collect 33,000 signatures, and gather them faster than Greek God Mercury, before he can be anointed a full-fledged candidate, per the rules. [He only received the nod from 43 'voters' so far [Link]
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Fri, August 6, 2021 11:44:30 PM UTC0:00
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Did Canelo and Radovic get the signatures then?
I remember at least Canelo still needed them
Did Canelo and Radovic get the signatures then?
I remember at least Canelo still needed them
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Tue, August 17, 2021 02:49:21 PM UTC0:00
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Sichel's numbers have steadily risen to the point where the latest poll now shows him leading by almost double-digits - 25.6% support to Boric's 16.1% (quite an implosion for this wunderkind, BTW) https://chile.activasite.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/Pulso_Ciudadano_Informe_Agosto_Q1.pdf Even more interesting is Kast's step to third place at 11.3%, shoving Provoste to fourth (the much-disliked diversion of the Unidad Constituyente primary is probably not helping her).
Few have much faith in the cogency of Latin American polls to date, they've been ridiculously off in Ecuador, Peru and here (remember 40-points ahead superstar Daniel Jadue?). Nonetheless, it'll still be a Sichel/Boric contest in the second round, I predict, no matter who comes on top in this one.
Sichel's numbers have steadily risen to the point where the latest poll now shows him leading by almost double-digits - 25.6% support to Boric's 16.1% (quite an implosion for this wunderkind, BTW) [Link] Even more interesting is Kast's step to third place at 11.3%, shoving Provoste to fourth (the much-disliked diversion of the Unidad Constituyente primary is probably not helping her).
Few have much faith in the cogency of Latin American polls to date, they've been ridiculously off in Ecuador, Peru and here (remember 40-points ahead superstar Daniel Jadue?). Nonetheless, it'll still be a Sichel/Boric contest in the second round, I predict, no matter who comes on top in this one.
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Sun, August 22, 2021 07:40:24 PM UTC0:00
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The Chile Vamos coalition was just renamed Chile Podemos Más (or Chile Podemos +; translating as Chile Can Do More or, literally, Chile We Can More) effective Friday, August 20, 2021 https://www.elmostrador.cl/destacado/2021/08/21/chile-podemos-oposicion-ironiza-con-el-nuevo-nombre-de-la-coalicion-de-derecha-y-analistas-aseguran-que-confunde/ This new name will be, or may have already been, registered at the Servel before the deadline of August 23, 2021 https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/chile-podemos-el-nombre-de-pacto-parlamentario-con-el-que-chile-vamos-busca-reinventarse/L3VNM6OX25BGPMHVSR4NWNN4VE/.
The Chile Vamos coalition was just renamed Chile Podemos Más (or Chile Podemos +; translating as Chile Can Do More or, literally, Chile We Can More) effective Friday, August 20, 2021 [Link] This new name will be, or may have already been, registered at the Servel before the deadline of August 23, 2021 [Link]
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Tue, August 24, 2021 02:37:45 PM UTC0:00
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The deadline for registration was 11:59pm yesterday, and in those last few minutes (and not to be outdone by Sichel's new "Chile Podemos Más"), the Constituent Unity pact (we learn this morning) decided to rename itself "Nuevo Pacto Social" (New Social Pact) https://www.epicentrochile.com/2021/08/24/unidad-constituyente-pasa-a-llamarse-nuevo-pacto-social-tras-inscripcion-de-listas-parlamentarias/
The deadline for registration was 11:59pm yesterday, and in those last few minutes (and not to be outdone by Sichel's new "Chile Podemos Más"), the Constituent Unity pact (we learn this morning) decided to rename itself "Nuevo Pacto Social" (New Social Pact) [Link]
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Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Fri, August 27, 2021 12:01:49 AM UTC0:00
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Probably will be Sichel v Boric, right?
Probably will be Sichel v Boric, right?
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Fri, August 27, 2021 12:08:53 AM UTC0:00
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Probably will be Sichel v Boric, right?
PROBABLY?!?!
Its a guarentee basically
BrentinCO: Probably will be Sichel v Boric, right?
PROBABLY?!?!
Its a guarentee basically
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Fri, August 27, 2021 03:51:51 PM UTC0:00
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All's well until it doesn't end so well.
Diego Ancalao presents about 35 thousand signatures, more than needed, joins the small nine-person presidential club, and all is peaches and roses. Servel discovers two days later that 23,161 of those signatures were fake, signed before a notary who was dead; "(Patricio) Zaldívar's notary ceased to function in 2018 and said notary died in February of this year." https://www.servel.cl/declaracion-del-presidente-del-consejo-directivo-del-servicio-electoral/ The Servel subsequently boots out Ancalao, reports him for criminal prosecution, and tags his List of the People party for fraud and complicity, its 'team leaders' facing criminal prosecution and jail time. This may be the end of this party.
Next:
Confucius say: "Passageway perilous if bulb not too bright."
Self-declared 'Independent' Gino Lorenzini couldn't resist bragging about his party, Felices y Forrados, and does so AFTER he was approved by the Servel, thinking (or not actually thinking) he successfully pulled a fast one: "The independent candidacy of Mr. Gino Lorenzini Barrios was rejected by four votes and one inability, for failing to comply with the requirement indicated in the final paragraph of Article 5 of Law No. 18,700. That is, having been affiliated with a political party within the nine months prior to the expiration of the deadline for submitting declarations of candidacies." https://www.servel.cl/declaracion-del-presidente-del-consejo-directivo-del-servicio-electoral/
All's well until it doesn't end so well.
Diego Ancalao presents about 35 thousand signatures, more than needed, joins the small nine-person presidential club, and all is peaches and roses. Servel discovers two days later that 23,161 of those signatures were fake, signed before a notary who was dead; "(Patricio) Zaldívar's notary ceased to function in 2018 and said notary died in February of this year." [Link] The Servel subsequently boots out Ancalao, reports him for criminal prosecution, and tags his List of the People party for fraud and complicity, its 'team leaders' facing criminal prosecution and jail time. This may be the end of this party.
Next:
Confucius say: "Passageway perilous if bulb not too bright."
Self-declared 'Independent' Gino Lorenzini couldn't resist bragging about his party, Felices y Forrados, and does so AFTER he was approved by the Servel, thinking (or not actually thinking) he successfully pulled a fast one: "The independent candidacy of Mr. Gino Lorenzini Barrios was rejected by four votes and one inability, for failing to comply with the requirement indicated in the final paragraph of Article 5 of Law No. 18,700. That is, having been affiliated with a political party within the nine months prior to the expiration of the deadline for submitting declarations of candidacies." [Link]
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Mon, September 6, 2021 05:18:40 PM UTC0:00
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ME-O's out again
https://www.elmostrador.cl/elecciones-2021/2021/09/04/marco-enriquez-ominami-quedo-fuera-de-la-presidencial-por-caso-oas-su-defensa-apelara-ante-el-tricel/
ME-O's out again
[Link]
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Sat, September 11, 2021 07:25:22 PM UTC0:00
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He's back
https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/cuarta-aventura-por-la-moneda-tricel-confirma-que-marco-enriquez-ominami-podra-estar-en-la-papeleta-presidencial-de-noviembre/PG547MBJERER7OQ43DZ6UQVNKY/
He's back
[Link]
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Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Tue, October 26, 2021 05:03:20 AM UTC0:00
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Kast is really picking up steam and Sichel is becoming an also ran. Boric / Kast run-off.
Kast is really picking up steam and Sichel is becoming an also ran. Boric / Kast run-off.
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Tue, October 26, 2021 05:42:43 AM UTC0:00
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The solace I get is that the two Boric/Kast runoff polls are Boric +5.5 and Boric +7.8
The solace I get is that the two Boric/Kast runoff polls are Boric +5.5 and Boric +7.8
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Sun, October 31, 2021 07:25:32 PM UTC0:00
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A body-shaking steep takeoff from under the radar for José Kast to first place and climbing is the talk of the Latin American press https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/the-rise-of-jose-antonio-kast-in-chile/. The surge begun in early October, at first dismissed as the equivalent of seeing a fuzzy image of an alien saucer, has now seriously solidified into an Antonov An-225. Equally dumbfounding is the collapse of Sichel, now at 5th place behind Franco Parisi (!) Kast is sucking in all of the air that inflated Sichel's balloon and siphoning off Sichel allies by the legions https://www.emol.com/noticias/Nacional/2021/10/31/1037004/van-rysselberghe-hoy-vota-kast.html and https://www.24horas.cl/politica/candidatura-de-kast-suma-ahora-el-apoyo-del-diputado-udi-javier-hernandez-5039726 .
Contrast the figures in today's poll with the one released by the same pollster on October 15 where Boric had a smashing double-digit lead over Kast https://media.elmostrador.cl/2021/10/210626_Pulso_Ciudadano_OCTUBRE_Q1_1018_V2.pdf . A perplexing state of affairs for Boric et alliés, especially as we enter a poll black-out period beginning November 7th.
A body-shaking steep takeoff from under the radar for José Kast to first place and climbing is the talk of the Latin American press [Link] The surge begun in early October, at first dismissed as the equivalent of seeing a fuzzy image of an alien saucer, has now seriously solidified into an Antonov An-225. Equally dumbfounding is the collapse of Sichel, now at 5th place behind Franco Parisi (!) Kast is sucking in all of the air that inflated Sichel's balloon and siphoning off Sichel allies by the legions [Link] and [Link] .
Contrast the figures in today's poll with the one released by the same pollster on October 15 where Boric had a smashing double-digit lead over Kast [Link] . A perplexing state of affairs for Boric et alliés, especially as we enter a poll black-out period beginning November 7th.
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Sun, October 31, 2021 08:41:59 PM UTC0:00
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This is the real test of whether or not the Pink Tide has officially returned....
This is the real test of whether or not the Pink Tide has officially returned....
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Thu, November 4, 2021 01:26:37 AM UTC0:00
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José Antonio Kast, la máquina de vapor chilena.
Support for Kast just keeps confoundingly climbing. In this poll, out today https://atlasintel.org/poll/chile-national-2021-11-03, Kast is now at 31% (!), Boric at 21.4%. And if you haven't been shocked enough today, in the Presidential run-off, the same poll sees Kast beat Boric 53.7% to 46.3%, a comfortable 7-point spread. What's going on? Could the pink tide be dammed by the Andes?
José Antonio Kast, la máquina de vapor chilena.
Support for Kast just keeps confoundingly climbing. In this poll, out today [Link] Kast is now at 31% (!), Boric at 21.4%. And if you haven't been shocked enough today, in the Presidential run-off, the same poll sees Kast beat Boric 53.7% to 46.3%, a comfortable 7-point spread. What's going on? Could the pink tide be dammed by the Andes?
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