|
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
|
OH District 11 - Special D Primary
|
Parents |
> United States > Ohio > OH - District 11
|
Office | House of Representatives |
Honorific | Representative - Abbr: Rep. |
Type | Democratic Primary Election |
Filing Deadline | 00, 0000 - 04:00pm Central |
Polls Open | August 03, 2021 - 05:30am Central |
Polls Close | August 03, 2021 - 06:30pm Central |
Term Start | November 03, 2021 - 12:00pm |
Term End | January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm |
Turnout |
12.18% Total Population
|
Contributor | M@ |
Last Modified | RBH October 26, 2021 03:55pm |
Data Sources | [Link] |
Description |
|
|
|
|
CANDIDATES |
|
|
Photo | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Name |
Cty Brd.
Shontel M. Brown |
Minority Whip
Nina Turner |
City Councillor
Jeffrey D. Johnson |
St. Rep.
John E. Barnes, Jr. |
Assistant Minority Leader
Shirley A. Smith |
Seth J. Corey |
Pamela M. Pinkney |
Party | Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Campaign Logo | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certified Votes | 38,505 (50.11%) |
34,239 (44.56%) |
1,388 (1.81%) |
801 (1.04%) |
599 (0.78%) |
493 (0.64%) |
184 (0.24%) |
Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-4,266 (-5.55%) |
-37,117 (-48.30%) |
-37,704 (-49.07%) |
-37,906 (-49.33%) |
-38,012 (-49.47%) |
-38,321 (-49.87%) |
Predict Avg. | 0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Cash On Hand |
7/14 $363,390.78
|
12/31 $480,386.78
|
3/31 $14,877.90
|
3/31 $5,882.02
|
$--
|
$--
|
$--
|
Website |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Entry Date |
12/09/2020
|
12/09/2020
|
12/09/2020
|
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
Bar | |
|
Adj Poll Avg | 33.84%-- |
38.00%-- |
3.07%-- |
1.07%-- |
3.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
Mellman Group (D) 07/13/21-07/17/21 |
36.00% -- |
41.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
TargetPoint Consulting (R) 07/08/21-07/10/21 |
33.00% -- |
33.00% -- |
3.00% -- |
1.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 07/06/21-07/08/21 |
36.00% -- |
43.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Tulchin Research/Acosta|Salazar 05/20/21-05/26/21 |
15.00% -- |
50.00% -- |
4.00% -- |
2.00% -- |
3.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
|
Endorsements | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MORE CANDIDATES |
|
|
Photo | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Name |
Will Knight |
Tariq K. Shabazz |
Martin Alexander |
James Jerome Bell |
Lateek R. Shabazz |
Isaac Powell |
|
Party | Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
|
Campaign Logo | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certified Votes | 182 (0.24%) |
134 (0.17%) |
105 (0.14%) |
101 (0.13%) |
61 (0.08%) |
52 (0.07%) |
|
Margin | -38,323 (-49.87%) |
-38,371 (-49.93%) |
-38,400 (-49.97%) |
-38,404 (-49.98%) |
-38,444 (-50.03%) |
-38,453 (-50.04%) |
|
Predict Avg. | 0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
Cash On Hand |
$--
|
$--
|
$--
|
$--
|
$--
|
$--
|
|
Website |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Entry Date |
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
00/00/2021
|
|
|
Adj Poll Avg | 1.00%-- |
1.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
|
Mellman Group (D) 07/13/21-07/17/21 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
TargetPoint Consulting (R) 07/08/21-07/10/21 |
1.00% -- |
1.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 07/06/21-07/08/21 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Tulchin Research/Acosta|Salazar 05/20/21-05/26/21 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
|
Endorsements | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Start Date |
End Date |
Type |
Title |
Contributor |
| VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS |
|
|
|
Start Date |
Candidate |
Category |
Ad Tone |
Lng |
Title |
Run Time |
Contributor |
07/08/2021 |
Nina Turner vs Shontel M. Brown |
TVAd |
Defend |
eng |
Truth
|
00:00:30 |
RP |
|
| BOOKS |
|
|
Title |
Purchase |
Contributor |
| INFORMATION LINKS |
|
|
|
Date |
Category |
Headline |
Article |
Contributor |
DISCUSSION |
[View All 53 Previous Messages] |
|
I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
|
Sun, July 25, 2021 12:04:23 AM UTC0:00
|
If you were a Brown campaign strategist, isn't the more potent line of attack against Turner that she won't be able to deliver due to always butting heads?
I mean, a mailer to older Democratic voters saying "Nina Turner said your vote for Joe Biden & Kamala Harris is like eating a bowl of sh*t"? Not a strategist, but I feel like that would be the "establishment" argument. It could work or totally flop (are people really concerned about how well you work with leadership?).
If you were a Brown campaign strategist, isn't the more potent line of attack against Turner that she won't be able to deliver due to always butting heads?
I mean, a mailer to older Democratic voters saying "Nina Turner said your vote for Joe Biden & Kamala Harris is like eating a bowl of sh*t"? Not a strategist, but I feel like that would be the "establishment" argument. It could work or totally flop (are people really concerned about how well you work with leadership?).
|
|
|
R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
|
Sun, July 25, 2021 12:47:31 AM UTC0:00
|
If you were a Brown campaign strategist, isn't the more potent line of attack against Turner that she won't be able to deliver due to always butting heads?
I mean, a mailer to older Democratic voters saying "Nina Turner said your vote for Joe Biden & Kamala Harris is like eating a bowl of sh*t"? Not a strategist, but I feel like that would be the "establishment" argument. It could work or totally flop (are people really concerned about how well you work with leadership?).
If the 2020 presidential primary proved anything, it is that the "establishment" is much more of a plus than a negative in Democrat primaries. Joe Biden has a 90% approval rating among democrats---I think that line is perfectly helpful to her chances.
IndyGeorgia: If you were a Brown campaign strategist, isn't the more potent line of attack against Turner that she won't be able to deliver due to always butting heads?
I mean, a mailer to older Democratic voters saying "Nina Turner said your vote for Joe Biden & Kamala Harris is like eating a bowl of sh*t"? Not a strategist, but I feel like that would be the "establishment" argument. It could work or totally flop (are people really concerned about how well you work with leadership?).
If the 2020 presidential primary proved anything, it is that the "establishment" is much more of a plus than a negative in Democrat primaries. Joe Biden has a 90% approval rating among democrats---I think that line is perfectly helpful to her chances.
|
|
|
I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
|
Sun, July 25, 2021 12:53:40 AM UTC0:00
|
The issue is Nina can easily point to times where she has worked with VASTLY diffrent people like John Kasich.
Its an argument that falls flat much like other arguments used against her
The issue is Nina can easily point to times where she has worked with VASTLY diffrent people like John Kasich.
Its an argument that falls flat much like other arguments used against her
|
|
|
I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
|
Sun, July 25, 2021 01:13:17 AM UTC0:00
|
Fair point. Harder to redefine someone with a reputation than define someone without one. Guess the race comes down to what reputation most voters know.
Fair point. Harder to redefine someone with a reputation than define someone without one. Guess the race comes down to what reputation most voters know.
|
|
|
I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
|
Sun, July 25, 2021 02:31:24 AM UTC0:00
|
And it seems that Nina has that in the bag, Shontel was underestimated don't get me wrong but still, Nina still seems to be walking away with it
And it seems that Nina has that in the bag, Shontel was underestimated don't get me wrong but still, Nina still seems to be walking away with it
|
|
|
R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 12:53:32 AM UTC0:00
|
Brown leads by 20 with the early vote. That is not including the election day vote, where she is favored to do even better. Barring a stunner, she is going to win by a wide margin.
Brown leads by 20 with the early vote. That is not including the election day vote, where she is favored to do even better. Barring a stunner, she is going to win by a wide margin.
|
|
|
D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 01:00:45 AM UTC0:00
|
underestimate the Cuyahoga County Council at your own peril?
underestimate the Cuyahoga County Council at your own peril?
|
|
|
Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 01:17:59 AM UTC0:00
|
Glad I walked away from SAFE Turner.
Glad I walked away from SAFE Turner.
|
|
|
D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 01:46:21 AM UTC0:00
|
the Tweet coverage is hedging hard since we don't really know how many in-person votes were cast here. I'd think Delta concerns moved some of the electorate back into early voting for this one.
the Tweet coverage is hedging hard since we don't really know how many in-person votes were cast here. I'd think Delta concerns moved some of the electorate back into early voting for this one.
|
|
|
I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 03:48:05 AM UTC0:00
|
https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1422746034296528897
|
|
|
The same thing as Trump’s stolen election bs.
The same thing as Trump’s stolen election bs.
|
|
|
It is nice to see a progressive candidate to go down in flames though.
It is nice to see a progressive candidate to go down in flames though.
|
|
|
I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 04:51:14 AM UTC0:00
|
That's a stupid comparison when u actually look into finances in this election, it's pretty damning
https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1422236489073713157
https://www.fec.gov/data/independent-expenditures/?data_type=processed&cycle=2022&is_notice=true&most_recent=true&candidate_office_state=OH&candidate_office_district=11%3C/div%3E
That's a stupid comparison when u actually look into finances in this election, it's pretty damning
[Link]
|
|
|
I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 04:54:01 AM UTC0:00
|
LOL
LOL
|
|
|
D:10973 | Patrick ( 0.0000 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 06:48:36 AM UTC0:00
|
Distracted boyfriend meme where boyfriend is Democrats, girlfriend is things Democrats care about and woman being leered at is a generic moderate.
Distracted boyfriend meme where boyfriend is Democrats, girlfriend is things Democrats care about and woman being leered at is a generic moderate.
|
|
|
Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 08:42:15 AM UTC0:00
|
https://twitter.com/davidljarman/status/1422729081469108225?s=21
?s=21
|
|
|
BEER:10271 | WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 01:47:14 PM UTC0:00
|
That's a stupid comparison when u actually look into finances in this election, it's pretty damning
https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1422236489073713157
https://www.fec.gov/data/independent-expenditures/?data_type=processed&cycle=2022&is_notice=true&most_recent=true&candidate_office_state=OH&candidate_office_district=11%3C/div%3E
That's a stupid comparison when u actually look into finances in this election, it's pretty damning
https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1422236489073713157
https://www.fec.gov/data/independent-expenditures/?data_type=processed&cycle=2022&is_notice=true&most_recent=true&candidate_office_state=OH&candidate_office_district=11%3C/div%3E
I don’t see your point other than a proposal to limit campaign spending.
E Pluribus Unum: That's a stupid comparison when u actually look into finances in this election, it's pretty damning
[Link]
E Pluribus Unum: That's a stupid comparison when u actually look into finances in this election, it's pretty damning
[Link]
I don’t see your point other than a proposal to limit campaign spending.
|
|
|
R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 03:53:41 PM UTC0:00
|
U can lol all u want. I'm not seeing any rebuttals...
When you add in candidate spending, Shontel Brown was outspent more than 2:1.Over 90% of Turner's donations were from outside the district and the vast majority are unreported, due to small donor disclosure requirements. Meanwhile, we know exactly how much each outside group spent, as you proved by posting the above Twitter graphic. How is it "dark money" when we know exactly which groups spent and how much they spent?
Further, this idea that Nina was swamped by outside money is truly preposterous when SHE OUTSPENT BROWN MORE THAN 2-1, using donations that were almost exclusively out of the district.
It will always be something with the far-left and far-right: there is never a legitimate loss in your eyes.
E Pluribus Unum: U can lol all u want. I'm not seeing any rebuttals...
When you add in candidate spending, Shontel Brown was outspent more than 2:1.Over 90% of Turner's donations were from outside the district and the vast majority are unreported, due to small donor disclosure requirements. Meanwhile, we know exactly how much each outside group spent, as you proved by posting the above Twitter graphic. How is it "dark money" when we know exactly which groups spent and how much they spent?
Further, this idea that Nina was swamped by outside money is truly preposterous when SHE OUTSPENT BROWN MORE THAN 2-1, using donations that were almost exclusively out of the district.
It will always be something with the far-left and far-right: there is never a legitimate loss in your eyes.
|
|
|
I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 04:06:08 PM UTC0:00
|
Lol, ur actually gonna make the argument that Nina having more money raised by small donors is a counter to the fact that outside groups spent more money solely on ads attacking Nina than every other outside group combined...
Nina's outside spending came from normal people, Shontels came from lobbyist groups
Lol, ur actually gonna make the argument that Nina having more money raised by small donors is a counter to the fact that outside groups spent more money solely on ads attacking Nina than every other outside group combined...
Nina's outside spending came from normal people, Shontels came from lobbyist groups
|
|
|
Lol, ur actually gonna make the argument that Nina having more money raised by small donors is a counter to the fact that outside groups spent more money solely on ads attacking Nina than every other outside group combined...
Nina's outside spending came from normal people, Shontels came from lobbyist groups
When someone is outspent 2-1, I don’t think that people are able to actually notice whether the money came from “normal people” or not.
The truth is that this district voted for Biden and Clinton 2-1 over Bernie and Nina Turner is a bad fit for it. Just take the L and move on, instead of trying to act as if it is a conspiracy that pro-Israel groups opposed a virulently anti-Israel candidate.
E Pluribus Unum: Lol, ur actually gonna make the argument that Nina having more money raised by small donors is a counter to the fact that outside groups spent more money solely on ads attacking Nina than every other outside group combined...
Nina's outside spending came from normal people, Shontels came from lobbyist groups
When someone is outspent 2-1, I don’t think that people are able to actually notice whether the money came from “normal people” or not.
The truth is that this district voted for Biden and Clinton 2-1 over Bernie and Nina Turner is a bad fit for it. Just take the L and move on, instead of trying to act as if it is a conspiracy that pro-Israel groups opposed a virulently anti-Israel candidate.
|
|
|
I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 04:56:38 PM UTC0:00
|
Who said anything about a conspiracy?
Literally all the things I am showing are public knowledge. It is public knowledge that DMFI spent more money on Anti-Nina ads then every other outside group combibed
If I didn't kniw any better I'd suggest ur just projecting ur own antisemetism onto me since ur the only petson bringing up conspiracies about jews here...
Who said anything about a conspiracy?
Literally all the things I am showing are public knowledge. It is public knowledge that DMFI spent more money on Anti-Nina ads then every other outside group combibed
If I didn't kniw any better I'd suggest ur just projecting ur own antisemetism onto me since ur the only petson bringing up conspiracies about jews here...
|
|
|
So your explanation of “evil money” is ..?
So your explanation of “evil money” is ..?
|
|
|
I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 07:35:26 PM UTC0:00
|
Corporate SuperPACs, lobbyists, duh
Corporate SuperPACs, lobbyists, duh
|
|
|
I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 08:20:56 PM UTC0:00
|
So your explanation of “evil money” is ..?
Evil money is any money that didn't support the candidate I want...
Turner and her campaign knew what they were up against. She, her endorsers, allies, and online progressives had the funds to combat the "evil money." She blew her lead and lost a majority of primary voters, but we can't accept loss because that doesn't fit into our worldview that our preferred candidates will always win unless the election is rigged/stolen/whatever. Turner had the funds to compete with Brown's spending AND outside funding, she had name ID, grassroots support, a legislative record, and a lead in early polls. Turner blew it. But that's hard to accept, so instead it's "evil money" and corporatist Dems. LOL at the result, which I wasn't expecting at all, and LOL at progressive twitter excuses when they lose.
My Congressman is a Weiner: So your explanation of “evil money” is ..?
Evil money is any money that didn't support the candidate I want...
Turner and her campaign knew what they were up against. She, her endorsers, allies, and online progressives had the funds to combat the "evil money." She blew her lead and lost a majority of primary voters, but we can't accept loss because that doesn't fit into our worldview that our preferred candidates will always win unless the election is rigged/stolen/whatever. Turner had the funds to compete with Brown's spending AND outside funding, she had name ID, grassroots support, a legislative record, and a lead in early polls. Turner blew it. But that's hard to accept, so instead it's "evil money" and corporatist Dems. LOL at the result, which I wasn't expecting at all, and LOL at progressive twitter excuses when they lose.
|
|
|
I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
|
Wed, August 4, 2021 08:26:37 PM UTC0:00
|
Literally ignoring the millions raised by lobbyists in the last stretch lol @ u
Literally ignoring the millions raised by lobbyists in the last stretch lol @ u
|
|
|
[View Next Page] |
|
|