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  AZ Governor - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 04, 2022 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open August 02, 2022 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close August 02, 2022 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorMaryland Republican
Last ModifiedRBH August 22, 2022 04:59pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Matt Salmon dropped out 6/28/2022 but remains on the ballot.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2018
NameDoug Ducey Votes1,330,863 (56.00%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2023 Margin336,522 (+14.16%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameKatie Hobbs Votes1,287,891 (50.32%)
Term01/02/2023 - 01/04/2027 Margin17,117 (+0.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ Governor 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/01/2021 08/02/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Karrin Taylor Robson 2 ------
Kari Lake 4 4 1 1
Matthew J. "Matt" Salmon ----1 --
Leaning Call: Kari Lake (79.17%)
Weighted Call: Kari Lake (103.24%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/03/2021 07/30/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Kari Lake Karrin Taylor Robson Rep. Matthew J. "Matt" Salmon Scott Neely Paola "Z" Tulliani-Zen (W) Carlos Roldan (W) Alex Schatz
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 398,860 (47.97%) 358,682 (43.14%) 30,704 (3.69%) 25,876 (3.11%) 17,281 (2.08%) 42 (0.01%) 39 (0.01%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -40,178 (-4.83%) -368,156 (-44.28%) -372,984 (-44.86%) -381,579 (-45.89%) -398,818 (-47.96%) -398,821 (-47.96%)
Predict Avg.56.02% 39.98% 0.00% 1.53% 2.47% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 06/01/2021 05/17/2021 06/16/2021
Dropped Out
06/28/2022 		04/02/2022 03/30/2022 04/04/2022 04/04/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.33%-- 38.54%-- 6.52%-- 1.55%-- 2.05%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Emerson College 
07/28/22-07/30/22		 48.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
07/27/22-07/27/22		 51.00% 12.0 33.00% 2.0 0.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Opinion Research 
07/22/22-07/24/22		 43.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
07/18/22-07/20/22		 43.50% -- 32.40% -- 4.70% -- 2.20% -- 2.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
HighGround 
07/02/22-07/07/22		 39.00% 9.0 35.30% 25.3 0.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
06/30/22-07/02/22		 39.00% 10.0 31.00% 9.0 6.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Moore Information (R) 
06/20/22-06/23/22		 37.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
06/01/22-06/03/22		 27.40% 7.6 23.30% 1.3 12.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
04/28/22-04/30/22		 47.00% -- 22.00% -- 7.00% -- 1.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
04/25/22-04/28/22		 38.00% -- 27.00% -- 11.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
04/04/22-04/05/22		 29.00% -- 22.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
04/01/22-04/03/22		 35.00% 8.0 22.00% 9.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
HighGround 
03/26/22-03/27/22		 30.00% -- 10.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Analytic 
03/09/22-03/12/22		 37.00% -- 15.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
03/02/22-03/04/22		 43.00% 6.0 13.00% 4.0 15.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
02/11/22-02/13/22		 37.00% -- 9.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
01/11/22-01/13/22		 21.00% 7.0 6.00% 5.0 17.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
11/01/21-11/08/21		 28.00% -- 1.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
09/07/21-09/12/21		 25.00% -- 1.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
HighGround 
05/03/21-05/05/21		 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Bernard B. Kerik 🔗
R Mark Finchem 🔗
R Travis Grantham 🔗
R Matt Gaetz 🔗
R Jake Hoffman 🔗
R Marjorie Taylor Greene 🔗
R Joseph M. "Joe" Arpaio 🔗
R Russell K. Pearce 🔗
R Sonny Borrelli 🔗
R Minnesota Populist
R Warren Petersen 🔗
R Rudy Giuliani 🔗
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R Marsha Blackburn 🔗
R Nancy Barto 🔗
R John M. Fillmore 🔗
R Michael T. Flynn 🔗
R Donald Trump, Jr. 🔗
  Republicans for National Renewal
R Madison Cawthorn 🔗
R Thomas Homan 🔗
R Jewish conservative
R Larry A. Elder 🔗
R Paul Gosar 🔗
R Wendy J. Rogers 🔗
R Bensq1
R Donald J. Trump 🔗
R Chris Christie 🔗
R Mike Pence 🔗
R Asa Hutchinson 🔗
R Rick Gray 🔗
R Tim Dunn 🔗
R Regina Cobb 🔗
R Lea Marquez Peterson 🔗
R Newt Gingrich 🔗
R Barry M. Goldwater, Jr. 🔗
R Sylvia Tenney Allen 🔗
R Karen Fann 🔗
R Doug Ducey 🔗
R Matthew J. "Matt" Salmon 🔗
R Mike Huckabee 🔗
R Jan Brewer 🔗
R J. Fife Symington, III 🔗
R Kevin Stitt 🔗
I ThatAlabamaGuy
R Ted Nugent 🔗
R James "Jim" Jordan 🔗
  Club for Growth
R Cynthia Lummis 🔗
R Lindsey Graham 🔗
R Ted Cruz 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Patrick Finerd  
PartyRepublican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 24 (0.00%)  
Margin-398,836 (-47.97%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website  
Entry Date 04/04/2022  
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%--  
Emerson College 
07/28/22-07/30/22		 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
07/27/22-07/27/22		 0.00% --
Public Opinion Research 
07/22/22-07/24/22		 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
07/18/22-07/20/22		 0.00% --
HighGround 
07/02/22-07/07/22		 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
06/30/22-07/02/22		 0.00% --
Moore Information (R) 
06/20/22-06/23/22		 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
06/01/22-06/03/22		 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
04/28/22-04/30/22		 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
04/25/22-04/28/22		 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
04/04/22-04/05/22		 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
04/01/22-04/03/22		 0.00% --
HighGround 
03/26/22-03/27/22		 0.00% --
Analytic 
03/09/22-03/12/22		 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
03/02/22-03/04/22		 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
02/11/22-02/13/22		 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
01/11/22-01/13/22		 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
11/01/21-11/08/21		 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
09/07/21-09/12/21		 0.00% --
HighGround 
05/03/21-05/05/21		 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Steve Gaynor (R)
Jun 26, 2021 - Apr 28, 2022 		Kelly Townsend (R)
Jan 16, 2022 		Kimberly Yee (R)
May 17, 2021 - Jan 15, 2022 		Kirk Adams (R)
 00, 2022 		Steve Chucri (R)
 00, 2022 		Daniel McCarthy (R)
Jan 15, 2021 -  00, 2022 		David Schweikert (R)
 00, 2022 		Kelli Ward (R)
 00, 2022
Andy Biggs (R)
Jun 16, 2021 		Mark Brnovich (R)
Jun 10, 2021 		Paul Gosar (R)
Jun 01, 2021 		Debbie Lesko (R)
May 19, 2021

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/11/2022 vs Kari Lake TVAd Attack eng Phony  00:00:30 RP 
03/30/2022 Paola "Z" Tulliani-Zen Web Only Ad Biography eng Paola Tulliani Z Introduction  00:03:00 BrentinCO 
02/22/2022 Kari Lake TVAd Issue eng Kari Lake ad  00:01:00 RP 

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