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  NJ General Assembly 02
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New Jersey > NJ General Assembly > NJ Assembly 02
OfficeState House
HonorificState Representative - Abbr: St. Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 01, 2021 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open November 02, 2021 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close November 02, 2021 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 11, 2022 - 12:00pm
Term End January 10, 2024 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
Turnout 37.12% Registered
ContributorWSNJ
Last ModifiedRBH November 30, 2021 09:37pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description When the 2nd district's republican State Senator announced his retirement the district's popular democrat Assemblyman, Vince Mazzeo, jumped into the race. Democrats backed the district's other Assemblyman John Armato and made Atlantic County Commissioner Caren Fitzpatrick his running mate.

A number of republicans jumped into the race, and after a tumultuous convention former Atlantic City Mayor Don Guardian and former Deputy Attorney General Claire Swift were left as the two republican candidates.

After nearly ousting Mazzeo and Armato in 2019, the GOP has high hopes. Guardian and Swift are top notch candidates. A GOP win in this district is reliant upon decent margins in Atlantic City, and lots of cash. Guardian brings the votes, and Swift brings the cash.

It's not all doom and gloom for the democrats. This district has a strong democratic voter registration edge, and Swift and Guardian have little name recognition, so they will have to work much harder than the democrats who have name recognition in areas that aren't even in the district.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/05/2019
NameVincent Mazzeo Votes23,211 (26.71%)
Term01/14/2020 - 01/11/2022 Margin2,305 (+2.65%)
  PartyDemocratic Won11/05/2019
NameJohn Armato Votes21,892 (25.19%)
Term01/14/2020 - 01/11/2022 Margin986 (+1.13%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2023
NameDon Guardian Votes26,675 (28.81%)
Term01/09/2024 - 01/13/2026 Margin6,128 (+6.62%)
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2023
NameClaire Swift Votes25,460 (27.50%)
Term01/09/2024 - 01/13/2026 Margin4,913 (+5.31%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 08, 2021 NJ General Assembly 02 - R Primary
Don Guardian
R 19,300
Jun 08, 2021 NJ General Assembly 02 - D Primary
John Armato
D 18,112
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/12/2021 11/02/2021
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Claire Swift 1 ------
Don Guardian 3 ------
Leaning Call: Don Guardian (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Don Guardian (98.11%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/09/2021 10/24/2021

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo  
Name Deputy Attorney General Claire Swift Mayor Don Guardian (I) John Armato Freeholder Caren Fitzpatrick  
PartyRepublican Republican Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 31,818 (26.81%) 31,640 (26.66%) 28,094 (23.67%) 27,127 (22.86%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -178 (-0.15%) -3,724 (-3.14%) -4,691 (-3.95%)  
Predict Avg.26.00% 26.00% 24.00% 24.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website]  
Entry Date 04/01/2021 02/22/2021 00/00/2021 04/01/2021  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg25.41%-- 24.41%-- 20.10%-- 21.10%--  
Stockton University 
10/09/21-10/24/21
23.00% -- 22.00% -- 23.00% -- 24.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/04/2021 vs John Armato TVAd Attack eng Remember  00:00:30 WSNJ 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 30, 2021 09:00am News Swift, Guardian attack incumbents over votes on mandatory minimums bills  Article WSNJ 
Jun 23, 2021 10:05am News NJ Assembly Candidate Don Guardian Scores Victory Fund Endorsement  Article WSNJ 

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