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  PA US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 07, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 17, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close May 17, 2022 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedRBH August 27, 2022 10:18pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NamePat Toomey Votes2,951,702 (48.77%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin86,690 (+1.43%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameJohn K. Fetterman Votes2,704,637 (50.99%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin233,755 (+4.41%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RacePA US Senate 11/08/2022
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/03/2021 05/17/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mehmet C. Oz 10 1 1 1
David H. McCormick --1 ----
Kathy Barnette 3 ------
Leaning Call: Mehmet C. Oz (79.17%)
Weighted Call: Mehmet C. Oz (73.37%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

08/09/2021 05/15/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Mehmet C. Oz David H. McCormick Kathy Barnette Ambassador Carla Sands Jeff Bartos Sean Gale George Bochetto
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 420,168 (31.21%) 419,218 (31.14%) 331,903 (24.66%) 73,360 (5.45%) 66,684 (4.95%) 20,266 (1.51%) 14,492 (1.08%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -950 (-0.07%) -88,265 (-6.56%) -346,808 (-25.76%) -353,484 (-26.26%) -399,902 (-29.71%) -405,676 (-30.14%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 11/30/2021 01/13/2022 04/06/2021 07/13/2021 03/08/2021 02/16/2021 01/29/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (14 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg24.18%-- 20.69%-- 20.82%-- 5.87%-- 5.16%-- 1.14%-- 0.81%--
Emerson College 
05/14/22-05/15/22
32.00% 17.7 26.00% 11.7 27.00% 20.6 7.00% 1.3 6.00% 0.7 0.00% 1.1 1.00% 1.3
Trafalgar Group 
05/06/22-05/08/22
24.50% 1.8 21.60% 1.9 23.20% 4.8 6.50% 4.7 7.20% 0.5 1.10% 0.3 0.80% 1.7
Insider Advantage 
05/06/22-05/08/22
22.50% -- 18.50% -- 20.90% -- 4.70% -- 4.90% -- 1.30% -- 1.30% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
05/03/22-05/07/22
22.00% -- 20.00% -- 19.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
04/20/22-05/01/22
18.00% -- 16.00% -- 12.00% 4.0 5.00% 2.0 2.00% 5.0 1.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
04/11/22-04/13/22
22.70% 4.7 19.70% 3.8 18.40% 9.5 11.20% 3.6 7.70% 1.1 0.80% 1.1 2.50% 0.9
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kenneth Braithwaite (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Ryan A. Costello (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Charles W. Dent (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Robert "Bobby" Jeffries (R)
Apr 07, 2021 - Mar 15, 2022
George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Michelle H. Kichline (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Mike Regan (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Keith Rothfus (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Everett A. Stern (R)
Dec 17, 2020 - Mar 15, 2022
Martina White (R)
Mar 15, 2022
Guy Reschenthaler (R)
Dec 01, 2021
Sean Parnell (R)
May 11, 2021 - Nov 22, 2021
Craig Snyder (R)
Feb 04, 2021 - Sep 27, 2021
Donald Trump, Jr. (R)
May 11, 2021
Lou Barletta (R)
Oct 07, 2020
Pat Toomey (R)
Oct 05, 2020

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/09/2022 David H. McCormick TVAd Biography eng TRUE COUNTRY  00:00:30 RP 
02/13/2022 David H. McCormick TVAd Attack eng LET'S GO  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 11, 2022 06:00pm News Trump’s Oz endorsement in Pennsylvania vexes GOP allies  Article WA Indy 
Feb 04, 2022 12:00pm Election Guide Dr. Oz is running as a China hawk. It's a bit of a stretch.  Article WA Indy 
Jan 25, 2022 06:00pm Analysis Dr. Oz stumbles out of the gate in Senate race  Article Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! 
Jan 11, 2022 01:00pm News McCormick MAGA-proofs his Senate campaign after dissing Trump  Article WA Indy 

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