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  PA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 07, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2022 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedRBH November 12, 2022 01:18pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NamePat Toomey Votes2,951,702 (48.77%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin86,690 (+1.43%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jan 29, 2022 PA US Senate - D Endorsement
No Endorsement
D 318
May 17, 2022 PA US Senate - D Primary
John K. Fetterman
D 1,284,908
May 17, 2022 PA US Senate - R Primary
Mehmet C. Oz
R 1,346,091
May 17, 2022 PA US Senate - LBT Convention
Erik Gerhardt
LBT 1
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/09/2020 11/08/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John K. Fetterman 23 3 --1
Mehmet C. Oz 12 2 ----
Tossup 2 ------
Leaning Call: John K. Fetterman (64.71%)
Weighted Call: John K. Fetterman (62.58%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/07/2021 11/05/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Lt. Gov. John K. Fetterman Mehmet C. Oz Erik Gerhardt Richard L. Weiss Daniel Wassmer (W) Quincy Magee (W) Write-In
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Green Keystone Independent Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (98.15% in) 2,704,637 (50.99%) 2,470,882 (46.59%) 72,211 (1.36%) 30,032 (0.57%) 26,196 (0.49%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -233,755 (-4.41%) -2,632,426 (-49.63%) -2,674,605 (-50.43%) -2,678,441 (-50.50%) -2,704,637 (-50.99%) -2,704,637 (-50.99%)
Estimated Final2,750,000 (51.05%) 2,506,250 (46.53%) 73,272 (1.36%) 30,484 (0.57%) 26,569 (0.49%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Predict Avg.49.56% 48.78% 1.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 3/31 $4,161,725.25 10/19 $2,636,787.75 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 02/08/2021 11/30/2021 08/19/2021 03/21/2022 04/07/2022 04/07/2022 04/07/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (44 from 29 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg46.85%-- 45.30%-- 0.83%-- -0.18%-- 0.67%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Patriot Polling 
11/02/22-11/05/22
48.10% -- 49.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/22-11/02/22
44.00% -- 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/31/22-11/02/22
51.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/27/22-10/31/22
48.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/26/22-10/30/22
45.00% -- 42.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
10/26/22-10/28/22
45.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
S Tax Suchart
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Ronald Johnson (W) Osborne G. Hart  
PartyConstitution Socialist Workers  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (98.15% in) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-2,704,637 (-50.99%) -2,704,637 (-50.99%)  
Estimated Final0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 04/07/2022 04/07/2022  
MATCHUP POLLS (44 from 29 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Patriot Polling 
11/02/22-11/05/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/22-11/02/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/31/22-11/02/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/27/22-10/31/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/26/22-10/30/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
10/26/22-10/28/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Everett A. Stern (I)
Apr 07, 2022 - Oct 25, 2022

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/27/2022 vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Biography eng Local Political Leaders  00:00:30 CA Pol Junkie 
09/26/2022 John K. Fetterman vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Defend eng Sheriff  00:00:30 RP 
09/07/2022 Mehmet C. Oz vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Mixed eng Give Back  00:00:30 RP 
09/01/2022 vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Chased  00:00:30 RP 
08/07/2022 vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Oz hits Fetterman for sanctuary cities and on crime  00:00:30 RP 
07/14/2022 Mehmet C. Oz vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Dr. Oz Welcomes John Fetterman to Campaign Trail  00:01:00 RP 
07/08/2022 John K. Fetterman vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Attack eng Dude  00:00:30 RP 
06/01/2022 vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Protests  00:00:30 RP 
05/17/2022 vs TVAd Attack eng Has Its Price  00:00:30 RP 
05/17/2022 vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Attack eng Showtime  00:00:30 RP 
05/12/2022 John K. Fetterman TVAd Feel Good eng Momentum  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 03, 2022 12:00pm General Dr. Oz’s Scientific Experiments Killed Over 300 Dogs, Entire Litter of Puppies  Article RP 
Aug 29, 2022 05:00pm News McConnell says he has ‘great confidence’ in Oz  Article WA Indy 
Aug 14, 2022 02:25pm Analysis Fetterman keeps attacking Oz for being from New Jersey. That’s resonating in parochial Pa.  Article BrentinCO 

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