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  Scottish Independence Referendum
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > Scotland > (2024) Scottish Independence
OfficeReferendum
HonorificReferendum - Abbr:
Type Referendum
Filing Deadline 00, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open September 18, 2024 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close September 18, 2024 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start September 18, 2024 - 12:00pm
Term End December 31, 2099 - 12:00pm
ContributorBrentinCO
Last ModifiedBrentinCO May 08, 2021 04:16pm
Data Sources
Description Dates Speculative based on subject matter expert projections following the 2021 elections.
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/22/2020 04/25/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Yes 1 ------
Tossup 1 ------
No 2 ------
Leaning Call: No (50.00%)
Weighted Call: No (99.51%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/30/2019 05/14/2021

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) No Yes  
PartyNO YES  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date -- --  
MATCHUP POLLS (30 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg53.20%-- 43.68%--  
Savanta ComRes 
05/11/21-05/14/21		 53.00% 8.0 47.00% 2.0
Savanta ComRes 
04/02/21-04/07/21		 45.00% 3.0 45.00% 2.0
Opinium 
04/01/21-04/06/21		 45.00% -- 47.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
03/29/21-04/04/21		 45.00% 6.0 49.00% 6.0
Panelbase 
03/30/21-04/01/21		 47.00% 5.0 48.00% 3.0
Survation 
03/11/21-03/18/21		 51.00% 8.0 49.00% --
Survation 
10/11/20-10/11/20		 43.00% 3.0 49.00% 3.0
Savanta ComRes 
10/09/20-10/09/20		 42.00% -- 47.00% 2.0
Ipsos MORI 
10/02/20-10/09/20		 39.00% 9.0 55.00% 7.0
Survation 
09/02/20-09/07/20		 40.00% 5.0 46.00% 1.0
Panelbase 
08/12/20-08/18/20		 42.00% 1.0 51.00% 1.0
Savanta ComRes 
08/06/20-08/13/20		 42.00% -- 49.00% --
YouGov 
08/06/20-08/10/20		 40.00% 6.0 45.00% --
Panelbase 
06/30/20-07/03/20		 43.00% -- 50.00% --
Panelbase 
06/15/20-06/19/20		 43.00% 2.0 50.00% 2.0
Panelbase 
06/01/20-06/05/20		 45.00% 1.0 48.00% 2.0
Panelbase 
05/01/20-05/05/20		 46.00% 1.0 46.00% --
Panelbase 
03/24/20-03/26/20		 47.00% 1.0 46.00% 3.0
YouGov 
02/07/20-02/14/20		 46.00% 4.0 45.00% 2.0
Panelbase 
01/28/20-01/31/20		 46.00% 4.0 49.00% 5.0
YouGov 
01/22/20-01/27/20		 42.00% 6.0 43.00% 5.0
Survation 
01/20/20-01/22/20		 45.00% 2.0 45.00% 1.0
Survation 
12/10/19-12/11/19		 47.00% -- 46.00% --
YouGov 
12/03/19-12/06/19		 48.00% 4.0 38.00% 5.0
Panelbase 
12/03/19-12/06/19		 50.00% 3.0 44.00% 1.0
Ipsos MORI 
11/19/19-11/25/19		 48.00% -- 48.00% --
Panelbase 
11/20/19-11/22/19		 47.00% -- 45.00% 1.0
Panelbase 
10/09/19-10/11/19		 47.00% -- 46.00% --
YouGov 
08/30/19-09/03/19		 44.00% -- 43.00% --
Lord Ashcroft Polls (Con) 
07/30/19-08/02/19		 43.00% -- 46.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
SNP Progressive Scot
 


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