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  Belarus President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Belarus > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open August 08, 2020 - 11:00pm Central
Polls Close August 09, 2020 - 11:00am Central
Term Start September 23, 2020 - 11:00am
Term End August 08, 2025 - 11:00pm
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia September 23, 2020 12:11pm
Data Sources[Link] [Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyIndependent Won10/11/2015
NameAlexander Lukashenko Votes5,102,478 (84.14%)
Term10/11/2015 - 08/08/2020 Margin4,716,253 (+77.77%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
07/20/2020 08/09/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Alexander Lukashenko ------3
Leaning Call: Alexander Lukashenko (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Alexander Lukashenko (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Alexander Lukashenko Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya Against All Hanna Kanapatskaya Siarhei Cherachan Andrey Dzmitryeu  
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Belarusian Social Democratic Assembly Tell the Truth!  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (84.00% in) 4,652,423 (80.23%) 574,312 (9.90%) 347,920 (6.00%) 97,926 (1.69%) 65,784 (1.13%) 60,543 (1.04%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -4,078,111 (-70.33%) -4,304,503 (-74.23%) -4,554,497 (-78.54%) -4,586,639 (-79.09%) -4,591,880 (-79.19%)  
Estimated Final5,396,810 (80.23%) 666,201 (9.90%) 403,587 (6.00%) 113,594 (1.69%) 76,309 (1.13%) 70,229 (1.04%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- --  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Aug 08, 2020 11:00pm Aug 09, 2020 11:00am Presidential Election Belarus Presidential Election  Bojicat 

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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 16, 2020 03:00pm News Lukashenko Built Belarus in His Own Image. Now It’s on the Brink of Collapse.  Article Bojicat 
Aug 14, 2020 01:10pm News Workers Join Belarus Protests, as Leader’s Base Turns Against Him  Article IndyGeorgia 
Aug 11, 2020 11:35am News Belarus opposition candidate flees to Lithuania amid crackdown on election protests  Article IndyGeorgia 
Aug 09, 2020 12:00pm Analysis Belarus Presidential ‘Election’: Rigged, but Opposition Remains Hopeful  Article IndyGeorgia 
Aug 04, 2020 12:00pm News Belarus presidential election: Rising opposition star Svetlana Tikhanovskaya speaks to Euronews  Article Bojicat 
Jul 31, 2020 05:10am News Huge crowds rally for Belarus opposition leader in run-up to presidential election  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
[View All
17
Previous Messages]
 
I:9626Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
Mon, August 3, 2020 10:10:52 PM UTC0:00
Ask about a sixth term for the current Prezident Respubliki Bielaruś, and the answer will be as Sidney Falco famously said in the Sweet Smell of Success: The cat's in the bag and the bag's in the river.

But there's enough trouble bubbling in the Belarus tea kettle to make the next round much more interesting.

The unexpected public pursuit of novice Tikhanoskaya's lure has many even in the local press asking: Is there enough crocodilian charm left in Lukashenko to see him through to a seventh term?

If not, if Lukashenko's backstreet boys begin to lose faith because their bread and butter is losing his grip, then you should ask about the next logical step: Will Moscow's hunger for the old Byelorussia extinguish a post-Lukashenko Orange Revolution, à la Crimea?

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Sun, August 9, 2020 07:47:34 PM UTC0:00

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, August 9, 2020 10:48:53 PM UTC0:00
Amazing turnout!

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Mon, August 10, 2020 01:47:53 PM UTC0:00
Completely believable.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
x2
Mon, August 10, 2020 02:31:43 PM UTC0:00
What I don't get is why these tinpots have to win with 80%+ of the vote. Why not make it 55% of the vote, enough to be uncontested but still halfway believable?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, August 10, 2020 03:35:42 PM UTC0:00
RP: What I don't get is why these tinpots have to win with 80%+ of the vote. Why not make it 55% of the vote, enough to be uncontested but still halfway believable?

It shows weakness, implies there is big opposition. Y I don't buy claims certain people are despots, they'd either not hold elections or get 70+

 
MFL:9399Juan Croniqueur ( 0.2936 points)
Tue, August 11, 2020 01:38:41 AM UTC0:00
Lukashenko doesn't have to cheat to win.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, August 12, 2020 09:29:56 PM UTC0:00

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Wed, August 12, 2020 09:33:11 PM UTC0:00
Just asking for it at this point.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
Sun, August 16, 2020 08:39:05 PM UTC0:00
A daring thumb-in-the-nose cry from the people in spite of mass midnight-train departures and reported Duterte-style night-time raids, beatings and alley-side executions by Lukashenko thugs.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
Sun, August 16, 2020 10:02:01 PM UTC0:00
As if on cue, Putin's ready to step in "The leaders of the countries reaffirmed the agreement that in case of an aggravation of situation in terms of external threats, the parties will react jointly in accordance with the provisions stipulated by the Collective Security Treaty." [Link] Lavrentiy Beria couldn't have planned this better.

And all it took was a distended defenseless mass with full throats to scare Lukashenko back into Mother Russia's kreml.

Maneuvring worthy of a John le Carré novel.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Mon, August 17, 2020 06:01:37 PM UTC0:00
Echoes of Ceaucescu?

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Mon, August 17, 2020 11:17:04 PM UTC0:00
Sounds like a challenge.