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  FL Governor - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 22, 2022 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open August 23, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 23, 2022 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorQbanito
Last ModifiedRBH August 31, 2022 02:47pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2018
NameRon DeSantis Votes4,076,186 (49.59%)
Term01/08/2019 - 01/03/2023 Margin32,463 (+0.39%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameRon DeSantis Votes4,614,210 (59.37%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2027 Margin1,507,897 (+19.40%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL Governor 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/23/2020 08/23/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Charlie Crist 5 2 5 5
Nicole "Nikki" Fried 1 ------
Leaning Call: Charlie Crist (97.78%)
Weighted Call: Charlie Crist (100.12%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/04/2021 08/21/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Charlie Crist Commissioner of Agriculture Nicole "Nikki" Fried Cadance Daniel Robert L. Willis  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 904,524 (59.71%) 535,480 (35.35%) 38,198 (2.52%) 36,786 (2.43%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -369,044 (-24.36%) -866,326 (-57.18%) -867,738 (-57.28%)  
Predict Avg.26.50% 13.50% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 05/04/2021 06/01/2021 02/15/2022 07/01/2021  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (12 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.07%-- 37.18%-- 4.00%-- 1.00%--  
St. Pete Polls 
08/20/22-08/21/22
59.30% 4.6 29.70% 8.2 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
08/08/22-08/12/22
43.00% -- 47.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
08/08/22-08/09/22
42.00% -- 35.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
08/02/22-08/03/22
56.00% -- 24.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
02/07/22-02/20/22
27.00% -- 19.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
02/07/22-02/10/22
44.00% -- 27.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Annette J. Taddeo (D)
Oct 18, 2021 - Jun 06, 2022
David Nelson Freeman (D)
Nov 13, 2020 -  00, 2022
Amaro Lionheart (D)
Jan 06, 2021 -  00, 2022
Randolph Bracy (D)
May 25, 2021
Val Demings (D)
May 18, 2021
Anna Eskamani (D)
May 06, 2021
Gwen Graham (D)
 00, 2021

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NEWS
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DISCUSSION
[View All
23
Previous Messages]
 
D:6086Jason (11889.0225 points)
Wed, December 23, 2020 11:30:21 PM UTC0:00
DeSantis will win regardless of how popular or unpopular he is, and regardless of whomever runs here.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, December 23, 2020 11:57:59 PM UTC0:00
Hard to argue that Florida isn't getting redder

?s=21

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1716.1335 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 12:06:26 AM UTC0:00
Jason: DeSantis will win regardless of how popular or unpopular he is, and regardless of whomever runs here.

Not necessarily. The way he's handled the pandemic has been detrimental.

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1716.1335 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 12:09:33 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Nobody on this list scares me as a candidate that could bring down an incumbent DeSantis who will rely on a Miami/Dade/Broward area that is becoming increasingly more Republican.

Waiting to see if Charlie Crist or Val Demmings decide to run statewide in 2022.

Funniest thing I've seen is that are actually Floridians that want Andrew Gillum to run again. Yes Please.
?s=20

This is cherry-picking a post on Twitter. Prominent Florida Dems don't want Gillum to run again.

 
D:6086Jason (11889.0225 points)
x2
Thu, December 24, 2020 12:10:25 AM UTC0:00
DylanSH99: Not necessarily. The way he's handled the pandemic has been detrimental.

Trump handled the pandemic about as terribly as one could expect, yet still won Florida fairly easily. People don't care.

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1716.1335 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 12:15:38 AM UTC0:00
We're getting some new leadership here and I'm confident we can compete in 2022 and beyond. Time will tell.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 12:22:12 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Hard to argue that Florida isn't getting redder

Broward - Miami-Dade - Palm Beach was redder in 2020 than in 2016 but in your table those counties were getting bluer through 2016. One of the big unanswered questions about the 2020 elections is whether areas that swung toward Trump in 2020 did so for 2020-specific reasons or as the beginning of a larger trend.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 12:24:54 AM UTC0:00
I should note there are some folks that do want Alan Grayson to run.

On 1 end, it may be past his time. On the other would be kinda lit

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1716.1335 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 12:26:06 AM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: I should note there are some folks that do want Alan Grayson to run.

On 1 end, it may be past his time. On the other would be kinda lit
God no

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 01:58:02 AM UTC0:00
If FL Progressives wanna pick somebody, he'd be in the contention, but maybe pass da torch

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1716.1335 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 05:32:19 AM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: If FL Progressives wanna pick somebody, he'd be in the contention, but maybe pass da torch

Grayson is way past his prime. Likely they'd want someone else.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, December 24, 2020 06:03:17 AM UTC0:00
On a hypothetical listing he's probably 2nd more of a "IF NOBODY ELSE WILL DO IT" candidate.

Jen Perelman is probably the go to of established candidate.

Tbh the Progressive choices here are not the best as half of them turn into crazy nutjobs like Tim Canova

 
R:7501Maryland Republican ( 3667.0837 points)
Sun, April 18, 2021 02:56:02 AM UTC0:00
I marked Graham as out [Link]

 
S:10358Charlotte K-A ( 29.7972 points)
Wed, January 5, 2022 07:16:41 AM UTC0:00
Fried dropped this today.


 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
x2
Wed, January 5, 2022 02:47:08 PM UTC0:00
Well, my opinion of her intelligence just went down.

 
D:11204NCdem ( 912.2783 points)
Sat, January 8, 2022 06:06:11 AM UTC0:00
@RP care to ellaborate why? I like Fried alot but I don't know too much about crypto currency. Care to ellaborate? Thanks.

 
LBT:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -406.9550 points)
Fri, February 4, 2022 10:08:26 PM UTC0:00
I admire Crist's persistence, if not his actual intelligence.

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Wed, August 24, 2022 12:14:20 AM UTC0:00
Crist is currently leading 61-34%.

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Wed, August 24, 2022 12:32:32 AM UTC0:00
Fried is narrowing Crist's lead, but it looks like this will end up a Crist victory with 59% to 36% for Fried.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Wed, August 31, 2022 08:54:35 PM UTC0:00
1) there's a big wall in Palm Beach/Broward/Miami that can just elevate or sink candidates

2) the "we're just here to vote for a random candidate with an unobjectionable name" vote went for Willis in the rural areas