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  POL President - Runoff
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Poland > President
OfficePresident
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 26, 2020 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open July 12, 2020 - 12:00am Central
Polls Close July 12, 2020 - 02:00pm Central
Term Start August 06, 2020 - 05:00am
Term End August 06, 2025 - 05:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia July 13, 2020 01:48pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLaw and Justice Won05/24/2015
NameAndrzej Duda Votes8,630,627 (51.55%)
Term08/06/2015 - 08/06/2020 Margin518,316 (+3.10%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Dec 14, 2019 POL President - PO Nomination
Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska
PO 470
Jan 12, 2020 POL President - KON Primaries
Krzysztof Bosak
RN 2,552KORWi 2,546KKP 1,690KON 153
Jan 18, 2020 POL President - KON Convention
Krzysztof Bosak
RN 163KKP 146KORWi 0KON 0
May 15, 2020 POL President - PO Replacement
Rafał Trzaskowski
PO 1
Jun 28, 2020 POL President
Andrzej Duda
PiS 8,450,513PO 5,917,340I 2,754,958KON 1,317,380PSL 459,365LEWIC 432,129
KNP 45,419UP 27,290RPE 21,065
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/29/2020 07/12/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Andrzej Duda 2 --1 --
Rafał Trzaskowski 1 ------
Leaning Call: Andrzej Duda (83.33%)
Weighted Call: Andrzej Duda (64.80%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/03/2020 07/10/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Andrzej Duda Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski  
PartyLaw and Justice Civic Platform  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes10,440,648 (51.03%) 10,018,263 (48.97%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -422,385 (-2.06%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 03/26/2020 03/26/2020  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.24%-- 48.99%--  
Social Changes 
07/08/20-07/10/20
51.00% -- 49.00% --
CBOS 
07/08/20-07/10/20
49.90% -- 50.10% --
IBRiS 
07/09/20-07/09/20
49.10% -- 50.90% --
Ipsos 
07/07/20-07/08/20
51.50% -- 48.50% --
Kantar Public 
07/03/20-07/08/20
49.40% -- 50.60% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 2221.4092 points)
Sun, July 12, 2020 08:06:49 PM UTC0:00
Ipsos exit poll results show Duda with 50.4% and Trzaskowski with 49.6%. Nailbiter.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 2221.4092 points)
Sun, July 12, 2020 10:10:54 PM UTC0:00
Exit poll breakdown by age:


According to one source, Duda won the American expat vote 55-45 (he won the vote in 2015 81-19 over Komorowski). European expat results will be reported tomorrow.

 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
Sun, July 12, 2020 11:45:45 PM UTC0:00
Another breakdown


 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 2221.4092 points)
Sun, July 12, 2020 11:54:21 PM UTC0:00
Would be the same map as 2010 and 2015. Prussia lives in election maps.

 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
Mon, July 13, 2020 12:59:44 AM UTC0:00
I have a feeling Duda will win as the turnout seems to be up in more rural towns that favor him, but I picked Trzaskowski because it seemed like momentum was with him.

 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
Mon, July 13, 2020 01:05:16 AM UTC0:00
This one is pretty good.


 
R:7501Maryland Republican ( 1600.5282 points)
Mon, July 13, 2020 08:29:45 AM UTC0:00
The Guardian is reporting that the Polish Election Commission said the Duda has won with 51.2% with almost all the votes counted

[Link]