Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  French President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > France > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline March 04, 2022 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open April 10, 2022 - 02:00am Central
Polls Close April 10, 2022 - 09:00am Central
Term Start May 15, 2022 - 12:00pm
Term End May 15, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia April 21, 2022 12:51pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description dates updated as per Wikipedia
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyEn Marche! Won05/07/2017
NameEmmanuel Macron Votes20,743,128 (66.10%)
Term05/14/2017 - 05/07/2022 Margin10,104,653 (+32.20%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyEn Marche! Won04/24/2022
NameEmmanuel Macron Votes18,768,639 (58.55%)
Term05/15/2022 - 05/15/2027 Margin5,479,953 (+17.09%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFrench President - Runoff 04/24/2022
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/31/2021 04/10/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Emmanuel Macron 7 2 ----
Valérie Pécresse 2 ------
Marine Le Pen 1 ------
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 1 ------
Leaning Call: Emmanuel Macron (73.33%)
Weighted Call: Emmanuel Macron (98.80%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/26/2021 04/08/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Minister Emmanuel Macron Party President Marine Le Pen Deputy Jean-Luc Mélenchon Éric Zemmour Regional President Valérie Pécresse MEP Yannick Jadot Deputy Jean Lassalle
PartyEn Marche! National Rally La France Insoumise Reconquest The Republicans Europe Ecology – The Greens Résistons!
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 9,783,058 (27.85%) 8,133,828 (23.15%) 7,712,520 (21.95%) 2,485,226 (7.07%) 1,679,001 (4.78%) 1,627,853 (4.63%) 1,101,387 (3.14%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,649,230 (-4.69%) -2,070,538 (-5.89%) -7,297,832 (-20.77%) -8,104,057 (-23.07%) -8,155,205 (-23.21%) -8,681,671 (-24.71%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 03/03/2022 01/16/2020 11/08/2020 11/30/2021 12/04/2021 00/00/2021 11/29/2019
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (33 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg27.71%-- 19.61%-- 18.91%-- 7.07%-- 7.73%-- 5.63%-- 2.85%--
Ipsos 
04/08/22-04/08/22
26.50% -- 22.50% 0.5 17.50% 1.0 9.00% 0.5 8.50% -- 5.00% 0.5 2.00% 0.5
BVA 
04/06/22-04/07/22
26.00% -- 23.00% -- 17.50% -- 9.50% -- 8.50% -- 4.50% -- 2.50% --
Ipsos 
04/05/22-04/07/22
26.50% 0.5 23.00% 1.0 16.50% 0.5 8.50% -- 8.50% 0.5 5.50% 0.5 2.50% --
IFOP 
04/04/22-04/07/22
26.50% 1.5 24.00% 3.5 17.50% 3.5 8.50% 2.5 9.00% 2.5 4.50% 0.5 2.50% 0.5
OpinionWay 
04/04/22-04/07/22
26.00% 1.0 22.00% 1.0 17.00% 2.0 9.00% -- 9.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 3.00% --
Odoxa 
04/05/22-04/06/22
28.00% -- 24.00% -- 16.00% -- 8.00% -- 7.00% -- 5.00% -- 3.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Deputy Fabien Roussel Deputy Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Mayor Anne Hidalgo Philippe Poutou Nathalie Arthaud  
PartyFrench Communist Debout la République Socialist New Anticapitalist Workers' Struggle  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 802,422 (2.28%) 725,176 (2.06%) 616,478 (1.76%) 268,904 (0.77%) 197,094 (0.56%)  
Margin-8,980,636 (-25.56%) -9,057,882 (-25.78%) -9,166,580 (-26.09%) -9,514,154 (-27.08%) -9,585,964 (-27.28%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2021 00/00/2021 10/14/2021 06/00/2021 00/00/2021  
MATCHUP POLLS (33 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.14%-- 2.21%-- 2.39%-- 0.65%-- 0.82%--  
Ipsos 
04/08/22-04/08/22
3.00% 0.5 2.50% 0.5 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.50% --
BVA 
04/06/22-04/07/22
2.50% -- 2.00% -- 2.50% -- 1.00% -- 0.50% --
Ipsos 
04/05/22-04/07/22
3.50% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.50% --
IFOP 
04/04/22-04/07/22
2.50% 1.0 1.50% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% 0.5 0.50% --
OpinionWay 
04/04/22-04/07/22
3.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% 1.0
Odoxa 
04/05/22-04/06/22
3.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Christiane Taubira (DVG)
Jan 15, 2022 - Mar 02, 2022
Florian Philippot (LP)
 00, 2021 - Feb 18, 2022
Arnaud Montebourg (LE)
Sep 04, 2021 - Jan 19, 2022
François Asselineau (UPR)
 00, 2021 -  00, 2022
Hélène Thouy (PA)
 00, 2022
Joachim Son-Forget (ABV)
Feb 13, 2020 - Oct 00, 2021
Ségolène Royal (SE)
May 05, 2021
Benoît Hamon (G)
Feb 09, 2021
Jean-Frédéric Poisson (PCD)
 00, 2021 -  00, 2021
Thierry Paul Valette (SE)
Oct 22, 2019 - Nov 23, 2019

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/11/2022 Nathalie Arthaud Web Only Ad Mixed eng Quel type de parti faut-il ?  00:01:43 data 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jan 15, 2022 09:00am News Leftist Christiane Taubira confirms she will run for French presidency  Article Progressive Scot 
May 29, 2021 05:00pm News Emmanuel Macron's vote-grabbing YouTuber stunt backfires amid Le Pen polling surge  Article BrentinCO 
May 28, 2021 05:05pm Analysis Third time lucky? Le Pen sets her sights on the Élysée Palace  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
49
Previous Messages]
 
D:8172La Fayette ( 601.0075 points)
Sun, February 27, 2022 10:45:29 PM UTC0:00
On the endorsement side, I have to say that I was surprized that Jean-Pierre Chevènement decided to endorse Emmanuel Macron, given their antagonistic positions on the European Union.

On the Marine Le Pen / Eric Zemmour feud, there have been many rumors that Marion Maréchal, Le Pen's niece, might be endorsing Zemmour in the end. So far she has refused to support either of the candidates.


 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 543.1322 points)
Fri, March 4, 2022 02:44:38 PM UTC0:00
Marion Marechal-Le Pen's endorsement is technically not being issued until Sunday...but the fact it's been leaked to the press in advance, seems adequate for our purposes.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 543.1322 points)
Fri, April 8, 2022 05:14:58 PM UTC0:00
Macron versus Le Pen appears all but certain here...but there's still a remote chance for Melenchon to place in the top two. I'd write off the others at this stage.
Melenchon versus Le Pen would be interesting, I think we'd all agree.

Zemmour has dutifully played his role, and by so doing, has artfully widened the Francophone Overton Window.
And for that, we thank him.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3702.5833 points)
Sun, April 10, 2022 05:23:06 AM UTC0:00
I'm thinking we'll see a three-color map tomorrow, with Mélenchon taking Seine-Saint-Denis and Bouches-du-Rhône at a minimum.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 548.6899 points)
Sun, April 10, 2022 07:42:09 PM UTC0:00
Macron vs. Le Pen in the second round

Estimated final out already:
Macron 28.5%
Le Pen 23.6%
[Link]

Roussel, Pécresse, Jadot and Hidalgo concede, rallying their supporters behind Macron:
[Link]

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 548.6899 points)
Sun, April 10, 2022 08:20:39 PM UTC0:00
Third-place finisher Mélenchon did very well. We'll see more of him. More surprising is how Zemmour stretched (or appears to have stretched) ahead of Pécresse, a darling of the LR and one-time sensation. Disappointing for me. Thought she was 'au taquet'.

That vowed comeback for the Socialists under Hidalgo? Well, non. 'C’est grillé' for the party.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3702.5833 points)
Sun, April 10, 2022 08:53:45 PM UTC0:00
Map of results down to the local level: [Link]

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 548.6899 points)
Sun, April 10, 2022 09:27:48 PM UTC0:00
More astonishing news from these results: the Socialists and the Republicans, France's monster parties since Mitterand v. Giscard d'Estaing in 1974, had their worst performances...ever [Link] Prepare for desperation and despair at party hdqs to bring about mass resignations, party merging and re-namings this year.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.3560 points)
Sun, April 10, 2022 09:39:21 PM UTC0:00
Mélenchon does have a point. If the left had rallied behind him (Hidalgo,Roussell, et al), he would be the run-off and not Le Pen.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5117.3740 points)
Mon, April 11, 2022 12:00:56 AM UTC0:00
imagine how the left could find ways to undermine each other if they had RCV in France

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -119.0803 points)
Mon, April 11, 2022 02:52:41 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Mélenchon does have a point. If the left had rallied behind him (Hidalgo,Roussell, et al), he would be the run-off and not Le Pen.

My theory is that what the 2017 election did for the Right, this will do to the Left.

The Anti-Liberal brand of the Left surrounding Mélenchon will finally become the new face, while the Liberal Left run by the Socialist Party will fade to the background (Presumedly to be swallowed up into the Greens)

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3702.5833 points)
Mon, April 18, 2022 02:19:42 PM UTC0:00
Fun Fact: per this map, ten of the twelve candidates won at least one commune. Playing the game "Where's Hidalgo" at the moment; it's tough!

[Link]