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  US President - R Convention
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline August 17, 2020 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open August 24, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 24, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH August 24, 2020 03:36pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won12/19/2016
NameDonald J. Trump Votes304 (56.51%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin77 (+14.31%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won12/14/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes306 (56.88%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin74 (+13.75%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Electoral Vote 12/14/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/03/2020 08/24/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump ------6
Leaning Call: Donald J. Trump (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Donald J. Trump (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) President Donald J. Trump  
PartyRepublican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,550 (100.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%)  
Predict Avg.99.97%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 01/18/2017  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 11, 2020 07:00am General RNC Speaker Arrested For Shooting Woman  Article RP 
Aug 25, 2020 09:00am Profile On eve of suffrage centennial milestone, RNC to feature speaker supporting policies barring women from voting   Article RP 
Aug 17, 2020 11:15pm Announcement St. Louis couple who pointed guns at protesters to speak at Republican convention  Article RP 
Aug 14, 2020 12:00pm Event President Trump to Be Featured Each Day of GOP Convention   Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
27
Previous Messages]
 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Sun, August 23, 2020 07:54:04 PM UTC0:00
I really don't like the fact Charlie Kirk and Madison Cawthorn are speaking.... as a New Jerseyan kinda disappointed Chris Christie won't speak, but he has really burned out all of his popularity. Other than that it is a pretty good lineup.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Mon, August 24, 2020 04:59:31 AM UTC0:00
The GOP has decided they will not have a platform at all but will support Trump's agenda. Does that mean they are just admitting the Party is now just a personality cult? [Link]

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Mon, August 24, 2020 09:35:23 PM UTC0:00

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Mon, August 24, 2020 10:37:12 PM UTC0:00
Wow - this is the first time since 1988 that all Republican delegates voted for the nominee (without abstentions). The next time going back in time was 1956 and then 1904 and 1900. The only times prior to McKinley were Grant's nominations in 1868 and 1872.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
x2 x2
Tue, August 25, 2020 04:34:22 AM UTC0:00
Great night!

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
x2
Tue, August 25, 2020 05:32:18 AM UTC0:00
My own assessment, a good kick-off and a preview of the Republican strategy to win.

They need to reverse the trend of suburbs going to Democrats and increase their share of the African American vote. They made a pitch to do both tonight. Arguable a scare the voter approach on the former.

Clearly the theme is run the convention they wanted before Covid hit, like Reagan's 84 campaign. Also take great credit for the stuff that went right in organizing Covid, and blame Democrats for the bad stuff.

We saw the "lighter side of Trump" tonight along with speakers that appealed to the base.

Objectively there were high points and low points. Good speakers and bad speakers.

For me the good: Charlie Kirk and Kimberly Guilfoyle. I think the ahieved their objectives with superior presentation and oration..

The bad: Donald Trump Jr., distracted by and questioning what was going on with the tears. Steve Scalise, had to follow Kimberly Guilfoyle.

Republicans should get a boost from this convention. But not sure if it will last.

As a Republican it was great to see some post-Trump talent in the works including Tim Scott.

As a political scientist, objectively I think the Republicans have a lot of ground to make up in an electorate that is very decided and will start voting soon.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
x2
Tue, August 25, 2020 01:42:22 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Republicans should get a boost from this convention. But not sure if it will last.

Conventions have had decreasing effect on polling for a while, and between the virtual setting, lower viewership (at least for the Democrats), and an electorate which is pretty hardened in what they think about Trump I doubt there will be much impact at all.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Tue, August 25, 2020 02:31:37 PM UTC0:00
I agree with the fact that a post convention bump may be a thing of the past, but a lot of moments made me proud to be an american/republican. I think that this whole conventions target seems to be republicans uncomfortable with Trump such as myself.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, August 25, 2020 06:40:23 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: Conventions have had decreasing effect on polling for a while, and between the virtual setting, lower viewership (at least for the Democrats), and an electorate which is pretty hardened in what they think about Trump I doubt there will be much impact at all.

I would even say that this election year has fewer undecided voters. So I think that is why Biden didn't get any real jump.

Where I think Trump might get a little boost is that he has been effective of selling his version of the truth. And this whole convention is about him writing his version of history. It will get some people second guessing their support for Biden.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, August 25, 2020 06:58:36 PM UTC0:00
I actually agree. I think Trump could get a small bump out of his convention. A lot of people hate Trump, and Biden was already capturing all of them. Now, I don't think Trump is going to get any of those, but there are a few undecideds still out there.

The DNC did do something I'm pretty happy with. A lot of polls also had Biden's favorability as a net negative. Not as negative as Trump's, but close. The convention raised them to be around a net positive, especially among the more leftist wing of the party. That helps prevent the election becoming one about two very disliked candidates like in 2016, and helps insulate against non-voting and 3rd party poaching.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, August 25, 2020 07:11:25 PM UTC0:00

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Tue, August 25, 2020 07:48:25 PM UTC0:00
The first night of the Republican National Convention averaged 15.9 million viewers on Monday, a sharp drop of 28% from 2016.

The audience figure from Nielsen was also below the opening night of last week's Democratic National Convention which averaged 18.7 million viewers over the three major English language broadcast networks and three leading cable news channels. The audience for the Democrats on the first night of their convention was also down about 28% from 2016.
[Link]

It looks like each party is just playing to their respective bases.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Tue, August 25, 2020 09:35:19 PM UTC0:00
Don't all conventions do that?

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, August 25, 2020 11:11:46 PM UTC0:00
Wow, I thought the RNC was going to make up the difference in viewership from their deficit among the broadcasters released earlier when the cable numbers came in, but apparently not. Trump must be furious about getting lower ratings.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Thu, August 27, 2020 03:30:26 AM UTC0:00
RNC Video Showing Rioters In “Biden’s America” Is Actually Spain - [Link]

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