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  NYC Mayor - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New York > New York City > Mayor
OfficeMayor
HonorificMayor - Abbr: Mayor
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 26, 2021 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open June 22, 2021 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close June 22, 2021 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 01, 2022 - 12:00pm
Term End January 01, 2026 - 12:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedJuan Croniqueur February 27, 2024 09:33pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Winner to de determined via RCV

County results displayed are first preference votes
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2017
NameBill de Blasio Votes760,112 (66.17%)
Term01/01/2018 - 01/01/2022 Margin443,164 (+38.58%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2021
NameEric L. Adams Votes753,801 (66.99%)
Term01/01/2022 - 01/01/2026 Margin441,416 (+39.23%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceNew York City Mayor 11/02/2021
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/05/2020 06/22/2021
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Andrew Yang 5 --1 1
Eric L. Adams 9 3 ----
Kathryn A. Garcia 2 ------
Leaning Call: Eric L. Adams (51.72%)
Weighted Call: Eric L. Adams (85.62%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/13/2020 06/20/2021

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Borough President Eric L. Adams Kathryn A. Garcia Maya D. Wiley Andrew Yang Comptroller Scott M. Stringer Dianne Morales Raymond J. McGuire
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 404,513 (50.45%) 397,316 (49.55%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -7,197 (-0.90%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%)
Predict Avg.23.13% 7.39% 17.67% 23.61% 8.08% 1.83% 7.20%
Ballot Round 6 354,657 (40.47%) 266,932 (30.46%) 254,728 (29.07%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 5 317,092 (34.63%) 223,634 (24.43%) 239,174 (26.12%) 135,686 (14.82%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 4 295,798 (31.67%) 191,876 (20.54%) 209,108 (22.39%) 121,597 (13.02%) 56,723 (6.07%) 30,933 (3.31%) 27,934 (2.99%)  
Ballot Round 3 291,806 (31.15%) 186,731 (19.94%) 206,013 (21.99%) 118,008 (12.60%) 53,599 (5.72%) 30,157 (3.22%) 26,361 (2.81%)  
Ballot Round 2 290,055 (30.83%) 184,669 (19.63%) 201,518 (21.42%) 115,502 (12.28%) 51,951 (5.52%) 26,645 (2.83%) 25,418 (2.70%)  
Ballot Round 1 289,603 (30.77%) 184,571 (19.61%) 201,193 (21.38%) 115,301 (12.25%) 51,850 (5.51%) 26,534 (2.82%) 25,272 (2.69%)  
Ballot Round 0 289,403 (30.73%) 184,463 (19.58%) 201,127 (21.35%) 115,130 (12.22%) 51,778 (5.50%) 26,495 (2.81%) 25,242 (2.68%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 11/17/2020 10/10/2020 10/08/2020 01/13/2021 09/08/2020 11/19/2020 10/15/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (42 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg24.10%-- 16.19%-- 14.79%-- 15.09%-- 7.70%-- 3.35%-- 3.07%--
Data for Progress 
06/18/21-06/20/21
26.00% -- 18.00% 4.0 21.00% 1.0 12.00% 4.0 5.00% 3.0 2.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0
Citizen Data 
06/14/21-06/17/21
32.00% -- 18.00% -- 18.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 6.00% -- 3.00% --
Ipsos 
06/10/21-06/17/21
28.00% 6.0 15.00% -- 13.00% 4.0 20.00% 4.0 8.00% 2.0 1.00% 4.0 5.00% 1.0
Emerson College 
06/15/21-06/16/21
23.10% 0.6 17.40% 5.4 18.30% 1.8 13.60% 1.3 8.80% 0.6 2.10% 0.1 3.20% 0.3
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
06/10/21-06/15/21
21.00% -- 16.00% -- 17.00% -- 10.00% -- 7.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% --
Change Research 
06/11/21-06/14/21
23.00% 2.0 19.00% 8.0 19.00% 13.0 12.00% 6.0 8.00% -- 1.00% 4.0 3.00% 3.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Budget Director Shaun L. S. Donovan Aaron S. Foldenauer Art Chang Paperboy Love Prince Joycelyn Taylor Isaac Wright, Jr. (W) Write-In
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%)
Predict Avg.3.96% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ballot Round 6 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 5 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 4 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 3 24,042 (2.57%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 2 23,314 (2.48%) 7,806 (0.83%) 7,093 (0.75%) 4,060 (0.43%) 2,780 (0.30%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 1 23,096 (2.45%) 7,745 (0.82%) 7,064 (0.75%) 4,007 (0.43%) 2,683 (0.29%) 2,254 (0.24%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 0 23,074 (2.45%) 7,729 (0.82%) 7,048 (0.75%) 3,964 (0.42%) 2,662 (0.28%) 2,242 (0.24%) 1,568 (0.17%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 02/03/2020 05/10/2020 12/28/2020 10/08/2020 00/00/2020 12/01/2020 04/26/2021
MATCHUP POLLS (42 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.36%-- 1.24%-- 0.97%-- 0.84%-- 0.70%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%--
Data for Progress 
06/18/21-06/20/21
3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Citizen Data 
06/14/21-06/17/21
5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
06/10/21-06/17/21
5.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
06/15/21-06/16/21
2.40% 1.4 0.10% 0.2 0.90% 0.5 0.40% 0.6 0.00% 1.7 0.00% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
06/10/21-06/15/21
3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
06/11/21-06/14/21
4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 9 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Cleopatra Fitzgerald (D)
Feb 00, 2021 - Apr 15, 2021
Carlos Menchaca (D)
Oct 22, 2020 - Mar 24, 2021
Loree Sutton (D)
Nov 05, 2020 - Mar 10, 2021
Christine Quinn (D)
Feb 21, 2021
John Catsimatidis (D)
Feb 14, 2021
Zachary "Zach" Iscol (D)
Oct 19, 2020 - Jan 26, 2021
Max N. Rose (D)
Jan 03, 2021
Kevin Coenen (D)
 00, 2021
Michael DeName (D)
 00, 2021
Vitaly Filipchenko (D)
 00, 2021
Quanda S. Francis (D)
 00, 2021
Al Franken (D)
 00, 2021
Alicia Glen (D)
 00, 2021
Miguel Hernandez (D)
 00, 2021
Eva Moskowitz (D)
 00, 2021
Stephen Bishop Seely (D)
 00, 2021
Jeff Zucker (D)
 00, 2021
Julia Qing Reaves (D)
 00, 2020 - Dec 14, 2020
Corey D. Johnson (D)
Sep 24, 2020
Rubén Díaz, Jr. (D)
 00, 2019 - Jan 26, 2020
Melissa Mark-Viverito (D)
 00, 2020

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/17/2021 Paperboy Love Prince Music Video Feel Good eng Running For Mayor - Paperboy Love Prince (Music Video)  00:01:56 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 24, 2021 10:40am Analysis Megadonors flooded the New York mayor’s race. Most of them wasted their money.  Article IndyGeorgia 
Jun 09, 2021 10:50am News Where Exactly Does Eric Adams Live?  Article BrentinCO 
Dec 24, 2020 05:00pm News Andrew Yang’s run for New York City mayor is now official  Article BrentinCO 
Nov 21, 2020 12:35pm News Top mayoral candidate admonishes new voting system amid efforts to delay it  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
[View All
96
Previous Messages]
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Thu, June 10, 2021 03:15:09 AM UTC0:00
Agree. I don't think Adams or Yang voters will be voting for each other as Number 2. Think you are right that Garcia and Wiley probably are the second choices for a lot of the candidates.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Thu, June 10, 2021 04:51:43 PM UTC0:00
Curious how everyone would RCV in this race. For me:
1. McGuire
2. Garcia
3. Adams
4. Yang
No other candidate ranked

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, June 10, 2021 05:22:11 PM UTC0:00
I'd probably rank it:
1. Dianne
2. Chang
3. Paperboy
4. Wiley

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Thu, June 10, 2021 06:20:37 PM UTC0:00
1. Yang
2. Garcia
3. Adams.
4. Wiley
5. Paperboy Love Prince

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, June 15, 2021 05:38:44 PM UTC0:00

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
x2
Tue, June 15, 2021 05:53:42 PM UTC0:00
I've warmed up to Adams. He's quite likeable the more you learn about his background.

One thing I've found quite interesting about his background is how he reversed his high blood pressure and diabetes. He's a big advocate for lifestyle changes over medication. It offers an interesting insight into his approach to problem solving.

[Link]

I think this could reflect positively on how he can manage a city and inspire people.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, June 16, 2021 05:37:05 PM UTC0:00
I have no clue, Yang Gangers are mad that progressives hate him and vowed to not vote for any of the Progressive candidates.

They hate Adams cuz he is winning right now.

I will say Garcia as "everybody's 2nd choice" will be it

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, June 16, 2021 06:03:52 PM UTC0:00
From what I've been reading, Adams is doing a good job on his campaign, shoring up first choicers and becomeing a likeable reasonable second for most voters that will be using RCV.

The x factor for me is that RCV is so new in NYC I'm curious to see how people use it and if they use it. I suspect we will see substantial drop offs in each round of those choosing to cast a 2nd, 3rd, 4th, etc vote.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Wed, June 16, 2021 06:08:01 PM UTC0:00
The Change Research poll has an RCV breakdown:
/photo/1

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, June 16, 2021 06:26:25 PM UTC0:00
That outcome is definitley a possibility. If anything it affirms that Adams and Garcia are the second choices for most voters.

But its so hard to accurately poll RCV thats why many pollsters have stayed away from doing 2nd round polling...especially first time use of RCV.

Who are these people still voting for Stringer? I thought we'd see more of a drop off for him. The loyalty of his vote through the sexual harassment allegations is impressive.

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Fri, June 18, 2021 04:19:46 AM UTC0:00
Incredible that literally every candidate here kind of sucks

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Sat, June 19, 2021 03:48:44 PM UTC0:00
Yang and Garcia campaigning together today; we'll see how NYC machine politics functions in the era of RCV. [Link]

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, June 19, 2021 05:42:55 PM UTC0:00
?s=20

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Mon, June 21, 2021 03:33:41 AM UTC0:00
Nightmare blunt rotation here

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, June 22, 2021 03:32:02 PM UTC0:00
Would love RCV voting in Georgia. Having primaries, primary runoffs, generals, and general runoffs is inefficient.

Although if we're relying on NYC Board of Elections to show how RCV can work efficiently...

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
x2
Tue, June 22, 2021 06:02:08 PM UTC0:00
I want them to announce each round at Madison Square Garden. "And now, the second round of your New York City mayoral Democratic primaryyyyyyyyyyy!"

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, June 23, 2021 03:52:44 AM UTC0:00
Looks like Yang threw in the Towel

If he loses I nominate him for crappy politician of the year
?s=19

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
x2
Wed, June 23, 2021 04:47:39 AM UTC0:00
IndyGeorgia: I want them to announce each round at Madison Square Garden. "And now, the second round of your New York City mayoral Democratic primaryyyyyyyyyyy!"

I've always been pro-British style election announcements: the prime minister of the UK has to share the stage with guys in strange hats. It is delightful.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Wed, June 23, 2021 06:49:36 AM UTC0:00
I doubt ranked-choice voting is going to overcome a nearly ten-point lead for Eric Adams here, but I guess we'll find out some time next month.
Which seems odd.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, June 23, 2021 12:42:54 PM UTC0:00
Polls were pretty good.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Wed, June 23, 2021 05:55:47 PM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, June 23, 2021 07:54:14 PM UTC0:00
Yang and the Orthodox Jewish? I suppose that would be the few Orthodox Jewish Democrats.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, June 29, 2021 08:40:36 PM UTC0:00

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, June 29, 2021 08:48:20 PM UTC0:00
If I'm reading the website results right, it looks like most of Wiley's vote went for Garcia. And with 124k outstanding, the 16k lead for Adams is anything but secure.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
Tue, June 29, 2021 08:52:06 PM UTC0:00
This is it:

Eric Adams - 368,898 (51.1%)
Kathryn Garcia - 352,990 (48.9%)
[Link]

120,000+ absentees to count. Odds are favoring Garcia to take it.

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