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  NYC Mayor - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New York > New York City > Mayor
OfficeMayor
HonorificMayor - Abbr: Mayor
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 26, 2021 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open June 22, 2021 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close June 22, 2021 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 01, 2022 - 12:00pm
Term End January 01, 2026 - 12:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedJuan Croniqueur February 27, 2024 09:33pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Winner to de determined via RCV

County results displayed are first preference votes
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2017
NameBill de Blasio Votes760,112 (66.17%)
Term01/01/2018 - 01/01/2022 Margin443,164 (+38.58%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2021
NameEric L. Adams Votes753,801 (66.99%)
Term01/01/2022 - 01/01/2026 Margin441,416 (+39.23%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceNew York City Mayor 11/02/2021
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/05/2020 06/22/2021
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Andrew Yang 5 --1 1
Eric L. Adams 9 3 ----
Kathryn A. Garcia 2 ------
Leaning Call: Eric L. Adams (51.72%)
Weighted Call: Eric L. Adams (82.41%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/13/2020 06/20/2021

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Borough President Eric L. Adams Kathryn A. Garcia Maya D. Wiley Andrew Yang Comptroller Scott M. Stringer Dianne Morales Raymond J. McGuire
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 404,513 (50.45%) 397,316 (49.55%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -7,197 (-0.90%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%)
Predict Avg.23.13% 7.39% 17.67% 23.61% 8.08% 1.83% 7.20%
Ballot Round 6 354,657 (40.47%) 266,932 (30.46%) 254,728 (29.07%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 5 317,092 (34.63%) 223,634 (24.43%) 239,174 (26.12%) 135,686 (14.82%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 4 295,798 (31.67%) 191,876 (20.54%) 209,108 (22.39%) 121,597 (13.02%) 56,723 (6.07%) 30,933 (3.31%) 27,934 (2.99%)  
Ballot Round 3 291,806 (31.15%) 186,731 (19.94%) 206,013 (21.99%) 118,008 (12.60%) 53,599 (5.72%) 30,157 (3.22%) 26,361 (2.81%)  
Ballot Round 2 290,055 (30.83%) 184,669 (19.63%) 201,518 (21.42%) 115,502 (12.28%) 51,951 (5.52%) 26,645 (2.83%) 25,418 (2.70%)  
Ballot Round 1 289,603 (30.77%) 184,571 (19.61%) 201,193 (21.38%) 115,301 (12.25%) 51,850 (5.51%) 26,534 (2.82%) 25,272 (2.69%)  
Ballot Round 0 289,403 (30.73%) 184,463 (19.58%) 201,127 (21.35%) 115,130 (12.22%) 51,778 (5.50%) 26,495 (2.81%) 25,242 (2.68%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 11/17/2020 10/10/2020 10/08/2020 01/13/2021 09/08/2020 11/19/2020 10/15/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (42 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg24.10%-- 16.19%-- 14.79%-- 15.09%-- 7.70%-- 3.35%-- 3.07%--
Data for Progress 
06/18/21-06/20/21
26.00% -- 18.00% 4.0 21.00% 1.0 12.00% 4.0 5.00% 3.0 2.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0
Citizen Data 
06/14/21-06/17/21
32.00% -- 18.00% -- 18.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 6.00% -- 3.00% --
Ipsos 
06/10/21-06/17/21
28.00% 6.0 15.00% -- 13.00% 4.0 20.00% 4.0 8.00% 2.0 1.00% 4.0 5.00% 1.0
Emerson College 
06/15/21-06/16/21
23.10% 0.6 17.40% 5.4 18.30% 1.8 13.60% 1.3 8.80% 0.6 2.10% 0.1 3.20% 0.3
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
06/10/21-06/15/21
21.00% -- 16.00% -- 17.00% -- 10.00% -- 7.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% --
Change Research 
06/11/21-06/14/21
23.00% 2.0 19.00% 8.0 19.00% 13.0 12.00% 6.0 8.00% -- 1.00% 4.0 3.00% 3.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Budget Director Shaun L. S. Donovan Aaron S. Foldenauer Art Chang Paperboy Love Prince Joycelyn Taylor Isaac Wright, Jr. (W) Write-In
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%) -404,513 (-50.45%)
Predict Avg.3.96% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ballot Round 6 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 5 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 4 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 3 24,042 (2.57%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 2 23,314 (2.48%) 7,806 (0.83%) 7,093 (0.75%) 4,060 (0.43%) 2,780 (0.30%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 1 23,096 (2.45%) 7,745 (0.82%) 7,064 (0.75%) 4,007 (0.43%) 2,683 (0.29%) 2,254 (0.24%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 0 23,074 (2.45%) 7,729 (0.82%) 7,048 (0.75%) 3,964 (0.42%) 2,662 (0.28%) 2,242 (0.24%) 1,568 (0.17%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 02/03/2020 05/10/2020 12/28/2020 10/08/2020 00/00/2020 12/01/2020 04/26/2021
MATCHUP POLLS (42 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.36%-- 1.24%-- 0.97%-- 0.84%-- 0.70%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%--
Data for Progress 
06/18/21-06/20/21
3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Citizen Data 
06/14/21-06/17/21
5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
06/10/21-06/17/21
5.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
06/15/21-06/16/21
2.40% 1.4 0.10% 0.2 0.90% 0.5 0.40% 0.6 0.00% 1.7 0.00% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
06/10/21-06/15/21
3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
06/11/21-06/14/21
4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 9 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Cleopatra Fitzgerald (D)
Feb 00, 2021 - Apr 15, 2021
Carlos Menchaca (D)
Oct 22, 2020 - Mar 24, 2021
Loree Sutton (D)
Nov 05, 2020 - Mar 10, 2021
Christine Quinn (D)
Feb 21, 2021
John Catsimatidis (D)
Feb 14, 2021
Zachary "Zach" Iscol (D)
Oct 19, 2020 - Jan 26, 2021
Max N. Rose (D)
Jan 03, 2021
Kevin Coenen (D)
 00, 2021
Michael DeName (D)
 00, 2021
Vitaly Filipchenko (D)
 00, 2021
Quanda S. Francis (D)
 00, 2021
Al Franken (D)
 00, 2021
Alicia Glen (D)
 00, 2021
Miguel Hernandez (D)
 00, 2021
Eva Moskowitz (D)
 00, 2021
Stephen Bishop Seely (D)
 00, 2021
Jeff Zucker (D)
 00, 2021
Julia Qing Reaves (D)
 00, 2020 - Dec 14, 2020
Corey D. Johnson (D)
Sep 24, 2020
Rubén Díaz, Jr. (D)
 00, 2019 - Jan 26, 2020
Melissa Mark-Viverito (D)
 00, 2020

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/17/2021 Paperboy Love Prince Music Video Feel Good eng Running For Mayor - Paperboy Love Prince (Music Video)  00:01:56 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 24, 2021 10:40am Analysis Megadonors flooded the New York mayor’s race. Most of them wasted their money.  Article IndyGeorgia 
Jun 09, 2021 10:50am News Where Exactly Does Eric Adams Live?  Article BrentinCO 
Dec 24, 2020 05:00pm News Andrew Yang’s run for New York City mayor is now official  Article BrentinCO 
Nov 21, 2020 12:35pm News Top mayoral candidate admonishes new voting system amid efforts to delay it  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
[View All
96
Previous Messages]
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
x4
Fri, March 26, 2021 09:14:41 PM UTC0:00
I am looking forward to see how RCV works in NYC. Pretty remarkable that the largest city in America is committing to this experiment. There are several smaller cities in Colorado that are moving towards this.

My biggest fear about RCV in NYC is that it will take forever to get results and could tarnish peoples opinion about RCV as a democracy device.

For a race like this I can't even begin to imagine how it will play out. Election nerds like me love this stuff, but I'm not sure the average voter will like this or know how to use RCV. The winner of this race will be a total surprise if the primary goes ahead with this many serious candidates.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Sat, March 27, 2021 09:21:49 PM UTC0:00
I still have questions about RCV implementation in New Jersey. There is a small possibility it is adopted, but seeing it in action over the Hudson will be fun this year, and hopefully it will help me form a better opinion.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, April 28, 2021 06:14:16 AM UTC0:00
?s=21

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, May 1, 2021 12:47:32 AM UTC0:00
Tons of Stringers endorsements have bounced
?s=19

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Sun, May 2, 2021 11:46:17 PM UTC0:00
?

 
D:10718Jack AP ( -52.5197 points)
Tue, May 4, 2021 10:18:08 AM UTC0:00
Think with the WFP vote now likely splitting there’s a chance of seeing Wiley break into the run off by a very slight margin over either of the top two candidates, Stringer’s campaign is most likely now mid-capitulation which will boost both Wiley & Morales big time

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Thu, May 20, 2021 01:42:57 AM UTC0:00
Natalie: Withdrawing my endorsement for Yang in this primary and endorsing two candidates; Paperboy Prince and Dianne Morales.

Did Yang turn out to be too electable?

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Thu, May 20, 2021 01:46:35 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Did Yang turn out to be too electable?


 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, May 20, 2021 01:55:34 AM UTC0:00
Welcome to the thibg that has been obvious since mid-2020 🤣.

I always forget this place actually has RCV and that Paperboy's candidacy is somewhat more serious than advertised.

A good ballot would be Dianne, Paperboy, Wiley

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Tue, May 25, 2021 08:02:10 PM UTC0:00
Wow, the Times and Post endorsements really seem to have sparked something for Garcia.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, May 25, 2021 08:32:26 PM UTC0:00
Yeh. Yang is getting beat up and he's not done a good job defending himself against being a carpetbagger or understanding NY issues.

Even simple questions like "What is your favorite subway station?" seem to be the wrong answer even if they are right.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, May 25, 2021 08:33:15 PM UTC0:00
Frankly....I have no idea what is going to happen with the RCV.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, May 25, 2021 08:52:37 PM UTC0:00
I haven't quite understood if the Yang criticism is confined to very online New Yorkers who want to act as gatekeepers for who is an authentic New Yorker or if it is also among average New Yorkers (who to be fair, might also act as gatekeepers).

 
D:8255My Congressman is a Weiner ( -19.7986 points)
Tue, May 25, 2021 10:21:58 PM UTC0:00
New Yorker here. “Favorite subway station” is a dumb question, but even considering that he failed it.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Fri, May 28, 2021 02:12:13 AM UTC0:00
All these questions about his favorite subway stop, or his favorite Jay-Z song, come off as really provincial and lame.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Fri, May 28, 2021 02:38:11 AM UTC0:00
Those questions are a bit lame, but that cultural knowledge can play a role in elections. Just ask Martha Coakley.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Fri, May 28, 2021 04:38:32 AM UTC0:00
IndyGeorgia: Those questions are a bit lame, but that cultural knowledge can play a role in elections. Just ask Martha Coakley.

And give Hillary Clinton credit for understanding that local cultural knowledge was critical when she was running for and won the US Senate. She made sure she understood New York localisms and made sure she didn't mis-pronounce local place names. She wasn't perfect, but she made an effort. I feel like Yang should have taken advice from her run.

BTW Queens native Andrew Cuomo apparently stepped in it when he kept mis-pronouncing Rochdale Village a month ago.

?s=20

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Fri, May 28, 2021 02:21:19 PM UTC0:00
I resonate with the “gatekeeping” idea, but it is stupid in practice. The best critique of Yang is that he is carpetbagging, but I’m not sure how true that is.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Fri, May 28, 2021 11:14:15 PM UTC0:00
This jay z and subway situation for yang is self made. Yang has been acting like a celebrity his entire political career so of course he is going to get treated like one.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, June 5, 2021 08:49:37 PM UTC0:00
Do we officiqlly remove the Stringer endorsement
?s=19

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Mon, June 7, 2021 11:14:46 PM UTC0:00
Jamaal Bowman is a freakin' idiot, for whatever difference that makes here.

(I don't just mean we disagree)

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, June 8, 2021 12:45:40 AM UTC0:00
Jamaal Bowman withdrew his endorsement Months ago after Stringers assault scandal

 
I:2362M@ ( 3732.1626 points)
Tue, June 8, 2021 03:19:39 AM UTC0:00
Personally, I would keep any endorsements a candidate received, regardless of whether they were later withdrawn. I feel the same about people endorsing candidates as their second choice.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Thu, June 10, 2021 03:15:09 AM UTC0:00
Agree. I don't think Adams or Yang voters will be voting for each other as Number 2. Think you are right that Garcia and Wiley probably are the second choices for a lot of the candidates.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Thu, June 10, 2021 04:51:43 PM UTC0:00
Curious how everyone would RCV in this race. For me:
1. McGuire
2. Garcia
3. Adams
4. Yang
No other candidate ranked

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