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  NC US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 04, 2022 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open May 17, 2022 - 06:30am Central
Polls Close May 17, 2022 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorMaryland Republican
Last ModifiedRBH June 11, 2022 10:35pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Runoff between the top two candidates if no candidate wins 30%
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameRichard Burr Votes2,395,376 (51.06%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin267,211 (+5.70%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameTed Budd Votes1,905,786 (50.50%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin121,737 (+3.23%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceNC US Senate 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/20/2020 05/17/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mark Walker 1 ------
Patrick L. "Pat" McCrory 3 2 ----
Ted Budd 4 7 2 2
Leaning Call: Ted Budd (80.00%)
Weighted Call: Ted Budd (78.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/05/2021 04/26/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Ted Budd Gov. Patrick L. "Pat" McCrory Rep. Mark Walker Marjorie K. Eastman St. Rep. David T. Flaherty Jr. Kenneth Harper, Jr. Jennifer "Jen" Banwart
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 448,128 (58.61%) 188,135 (24.60%) 70,486 (9.22%) 22,535 (2.95%) 7,265 (0.95%) 7,129 (0.93%) 3,088 (0.40%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -259,993 (-34.00%) -377,642 (-49.39%) -425,593 (-55.66%) -440,863 (-57.66%) -440,999 (-57.67%) -445,040 (-58.20%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 04/28/2021 04/14/2021 12/01/2020 10/05/2021 03/03/2022 03/01/2022 03/18/2021
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (12 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg42.53%-- 24.85%-- 8.33%-- 3.48%-- 0.46%-- 0.46%-- 0.00%--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
04/24/22-04/26/22		 43.00% -- 23.00% -- 9.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
04/23/22-04/25/22		 52.90% -- 28.80% -- 8.30% -- 5.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/06/22-04/10/22		 33.00% -- 23.00% -- 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
04/02/22-04/04/22		 38.00% -- 22.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Meeting Street Research 
02/26/22-03/01/22		 25.00% -- 31.00% -- 16.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
01/07/21-01/09/22		 18.80% -- 24.20% -- 6.60% -- 0.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Bensq1
R Marsha Blackburn 🔗
R Roger Marshall 🔗
R Lee M. Zeldin 🔗
R Michael Waltz 🔗
R Chip Roy 🔗
R August Pfluger 🔗
R Alex X. Mooney 🔗
R Brian Mast 🔗
R Patrick T. McHenry 🔗
R Debbie Lesko 🔗
R Ronny Jackson 🔗
R Robert G. "Bob" Good 🔗
R Clay Higgins 🔗
R Neal Dunn 🔗
R Jeff Duncan 🔗
R Byron Donalds 🔗
R Jack Bergman 🔗
R Jim Banks 🔗
R Andy Barr 🔗
R Ted Cruz 🔗
R Philip E. "Phil" Berger 🔗
R Darrell Issa 🔗
R Mark K. Robinson 🔗
R Matthew Winslow 🔗
R Sarah Stevens 🔗
R John I. Sauls 🔗
R Wayne Sasser 🔗
R David Rogers 🔗
R William P. "Bill" Rabon 🔗
R Charlie Miller 🔗
R Donny Lambeth 🔗
R Mark Pless 🔗
R Kathy Harrington 🔗
R Ben Moss 🔗
R Brenden H. Jones 🔗
R Bobby Hanig 🔗
R Jeffrey Elmore 🔗
R Karl Gillespie 🔗
R Jay Adams 🔗
R Mike Clampitt 🔗
R Jimmy Dixon 🔗
R Lara Trump 🔗
R James "Jim" Jordan 🔗
R George Holding 🔗
R Warren Davidson 🔗
R Ryan Zinke 🔗
R Newt Gingrich 🔗
R Elise Stefanik 🔗
R Jewish conservative
R Cynthia Lummis 🔗
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R Donald J. Trump 🔗
R Dan Bishop 🔗
  Club for Growth
R James G. "Jim" Martin 🔗
R Richard Burr 🔗
R Maryland Republican
R Jay W. Wagner 🔗
I ThatAlabamaGuy
R Mick Mulvaney 🔗
R Paul Ryan 🔗
BEER WSNJ
R Madison Cawthorn 🔗
R James Lankford 🔗
R Tim Scott 🔗
R Mike Huckabee 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Charles K. Moss Leonard L. Bryant Benjamin E. Griffiths Debora Tshiovo Lee A. Brian Lichia Sibhatu Drew Bulecza
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,920 (0.38%) 2,906 (0.38%) 2,870 (0.38%) 2,741 (0.36%) 2,232 (0.29%) 2,191 (0.29%) 2,022 (0.26%)
Margin-445,208 (-58.22%) -445,222 (-58.23%) -445,258 (-58.23%) -445,387 (-58.25%) -445,896 (-58.31%) -445,937 (-58.32%) -446,106 (-58.34%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 12/07/2021 02/28/2022 12/06/2021 03/04/2022 00/00/2020 12/06/2021 02/25/2022
MATCHUP POLLS (12 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.93%-- 0.00%-- 1.00%-- 0.46%-- 0.46%--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
04/24/22-04/26/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
04/23/22-04/25/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/06/22-04/10/22		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
04/02/22-04/04/22		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Meeting Street Research 
02/26/22-03/01/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
01/07/21-01/09/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kenneth Bishop (R)
 00, 2022 		Daniel J. "Dan" Forest (R)
 00, 2022 		Lara Trump (R)
Jun 05, 2021 		Mark K. Robinson (R)
Apr 19, 2021 		Mark Meadows (R)
Nov 20, 2020

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
04/28/2021 Ted Budd Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Liberal Agenda Crusher  00:03:05 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View All
40
Previous Messages]
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, November 20, 2020 06:01:13 PM UTC0:00
Its definetely A CONSIDERATION

Maybe Dems will be able to flip a seat
 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Sun, January 31, 2021 04:05:58 AM UTC0:00
Considering the state of the GOP and Lara Trump's possible entry, Mark Walker is probably one of the better potential incoming senators for 2022.
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, February 14, 2021 11:53:44 PM UTC0:00
Would you consider this an endorsement of Lara Trump?
[Link]

The biggest winner of this whole impeachment trial is Lara Trump," Graham said on "Fox News Sunday." "My dear friend Richard Burr, who I like and have been friends to a long time, just made Lara Trump almost the certain nominee for the Senate seat in North Carolina to replace him if she runs, and I certainly will be behind her because she represents the future of the Republican Party.”
 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Mon, March 29, 2021 04:31:57 PM UTC0:00
God no
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, March 29, 2021 05:17:24 PM UTC0:00
I find it funny, WaLker is literally the only one running and he's polling 3rd
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Mon, March 29, 2021 06:55:39 PM UTC0:00
Wow. Lyndsey Graham's endorsement is gold.
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
x2
Mon, March 29, 2021 08:42:20 PM UTC0:00
As is his nose.
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, March 29, 2021 09:41:07 PM UTC0:00
Laura is a bad choice 100%, Cal would be able to beat her tbh
 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Mon, March 29, 2021 09:52:24 PM UTC0:00
WSNJ: God no

Richard Burr to Lara Trump is possibly worse than Roy Blunt to Eric Greitens or Richard Shelby to Mo Brooks. And that is saying a lot!
 
D:10973Patrick ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, March 29, 2021 11:52:10 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Would you consider this an endorsement of Lara Trump?

No.
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Mon, April 12, 2021 08:05:07 PM UTC0:00
Good.

?s=20
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, April 12, 2021 08:48:48 PM UTC0:00
Roy coulda beat his ass a 2nd time lol
 
D:10973Patrick ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, April 13, 2021 01:02:27 AM UTC0:00
does he think people like him now?
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, April 13, 2021 01:28:54 AM UTC0:00
My assumption is that he will run to be the Never Trump Candidate, to prevent this independent bid
[Link]
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, April 14, 2021 04:21:37 PM UTC0:00
Another poll out, showing Trump out front big. But I can't see to find some of the details needed to post.

?s=20
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, April 14, 2021 05:36:50 PM UTC0:00
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, April 14, 2021 07:31:02 PM UTC0:00
McCrory's only entering to make the Anti-Trump Republicans not run their Indy Bid in the general
 
LBT:10020PA Historian ( -94.9040 points)
Thu, April 15, 2021 07:15:49 PM UTC0:00
We just got rid of the last Kennedy in office, we don't need another political dynasty to replace them.
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, June 6, 2021 02:47:32 AM UTC0:00
Southern_Moderate2: So does this mean his daughter-in-law isn't running?

She said at the rally she wasn't running for US Senate in 2022, but she'll "probably run in the future.

Watch out liberal Tom Tillis.
 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Sun, June 6, 2021 03:45:42 AM UTC0:00
Cawthorn will be taking the "principled" stand and switching his endorsement to Budd within 72 hours because he is nothing if not an honorable sycophant!
 
D:8255My Congressman is a Weiner ( -19.7986 points)
Sun, June 6, 2021 02:24:25 PM UTC0:00
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: I wish she would run.

Why? She has nothing to offer but a name she married into.
 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Mon, June 7, 2021 08:51:57 PM UTC0:00
Oh, I apparently forgot the other candidates were all such noted statesmen.
 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Mon, June 7, 2021 08:57:22 PM UTC0:00
She might be a tough sell to the state GOP faithful. She hasn't lived in the state in years.
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, June 7, 2021 09:57:17 PM UTC0:00
McCrory is the voice of the NeverTrump Republican tho.

Walker, IDK, I'm guessing he is the middle man of. Just enough Pro and Anti Trump Stuff to satiate both crowds
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, June 8, 2021 12:46:11 AM UTC0:00
And hates the Trans people...
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