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  TX US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Texas > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRP May 25, 2023 05:47pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDonald J. Trump Votes4,685,047 (52.23%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin807,179 (+9.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 03, 2020 TX US President - D Primary
Joe Biden
D 2,094,428
Mar 03, 2020 TX US President - R Primary
Donald J. Trump
R 2,017,167
Apr 18, 2020 TX US President - G Primary
Howie Hawkins
G 86
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/27/2019 11/03/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 20 8 4 1
Joe Biden 5 ------
Tossup 2 ------
Leaning Call: Donald J. Trump (88.14%)
Weighted Call: Donald J. Trump (62.75%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/25/2019 11/02/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) President Donald J. Trump Vice President Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen Howie Hawkins (W) Brian T. Carroll (W) Gloria E. La Riva (W) Tom Hoefling
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Green American Solidarity Socialism and Liberation Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 5,890,347 (52.07%) 5,259,126 (46.49%) 126,268 (1.12%) 33,412 (0.30%) 2,785 (0.03%) 350 (0.00%) 337 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -631,221 (-5.58%) -5,764,079 (-50.95%) -5,856,935 (-51.77%) -5,887,562 (-52.04%) -5,889,997 (-52.06%) -5,890,010 (-52.06%)
Predict Avg.51.65% 46.95% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2020 00/00/2020 00/00/2020 00/00/2020 08/13/2020 08/17/2020 08/17/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (83 from 31 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.83%-- 45.32%-- -0.32%-- 0.05%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Swayable 
10/27/20-11/02/20
51.20% 2.6 47.20% 0.3 1.20% 1.8 0.40% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
10/27/20-11/01/20
48.00% -- 49.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/20/20-11/01/20
51.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
10/30/20-10/31/20
50.00% -- 47.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/20-10/31/20
49.70% -- 48.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/22/20-10/31/20
48.10% 1.1 48.10% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (W) Todd Cella (W) President R. Boddie (W) Kasey Wells (W) Robert P. Morrow (W) Jesse Cuellar (W) Abram Loeb (W) Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 205 (0.00%) 146 (0.00%) 114 (0.00%) 56 (0.00%) 49 (0.00%) 36 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-5,890,142 (-52.06%) -5,890,201 (-52.06%) -5,890,233 (-52.06%) -5,890,291 (-52.07%) -5,890,298 (-52.07%) -5,890,311 (-52.07%) -5,890,347 (-52.07%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 08/17/2020 08/17/2020 07/28/2020 08/13/2020 08/17/2020 08/17/2020 --
MATCHUP POLLS (83 from 31 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Swayable 
10/27/20-11/02/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
10/27/20-11/01/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/20/20-11/01/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
10/30/20-10/31/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/20-10/31/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/22/20-10/31/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements


EVENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 26, 2020 08:40pm Event Texas Guard to send troops to cities for possible ‘post election’ disturbances  Article RP 
Oct 01, 2020 01:00pm News Abbott orders counties to close multiple ballot dropoff sites  Article IndyGeorgia 
Sep 05, 2020 04:15pm Event Boats participating in a Trump support parade sink in Texas, officials say  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
43
Previous Messages]
 
D:6086Jason (11889.0225 points)
Tue, October 27, 2020 08:45:18 PM UTC0:00
You can still see some Beto for Senate bumper stickers occasionally. I just figured it was laziness but who knows.

Either way, it was a real missed opportunity against Cornyn.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, October 27, 2020 08:49:54 PM UTC0:00
Jason, who do you think would have the been the top choice for Democrats?

 
D:6086Jason (11889.0225 points)
Tue, October 27, 2020 09:04:15 PM UTC0:00
Overall it was Beto by default. The Democratic bench is pretty thin, so it's not as though there was a slew of candidates to pick from who held any statewide office this century.

I did vote for Hegar in the primary and do think she was the more electable choice, but to be honest you wouldn't notice she was even running. For that reason, I'm surprised the polls have the race as close as it currently stands. With Beto, his presence was much more pronounced.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, October 27, 2020 09:11:01 PM UTC0:00
If Beto had announced right after Election Day 2018 that he was running against Cornyn, how do you see that race playing out?

 
D:6086Jason (11889.0225 points)
Tue, October 27, 2020 09:16:07 PM UTC0:00
Tough one. He would start out with considerably more name recognition than he did when announcing against Cruz, but I also would think Cornyn would (a) take Beto more seriously from the start and (b) not be seen as negatively as Cruz.

But given what appears to be a toxic environment for the GOP after covid, a larger electorate, and assuming O'Rourke could still build on his impressive fundraising, I would venture to say he would have barely pulled it off in 2020.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, October 27, 2020 09:16:44 PM UTC0:00
Appreciate your thoughts, Jason. Thanks!

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Wed, October 28, 2020 04:35:26 PM UTC0:00
Harris looking to boost the turnout in Houston and DFW while also sparking turnout in the Rio Grande Valley.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Wed, October 28, 2020 04:58:21 PM UTC0:00
I'm glad she is going to the RGV - it is full of low propensity Democratic leaning voters.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, October 31, 2020 07:04:13 PM UTC0:00

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, October 31, 2020 07:38:17 PM UTC0:00

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Wed, November 4, 2020 09:33:21 PM UTC0:00

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Wed, November 4, 2020 09:50:33 PM UTC0:00
What's the wake up call? That more should be invested there? If people are going to vote Trump, then what's to wake up to?

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, November 6, 2020 10:29:35 AM UTC0:00
Probably the Latino swing to Trump. Still trying to wrap my head around the White Supremacist President doing the best as a GOPer with minorities since Eisenhower.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Fri, November 6, 2020 08:45:37 PM UTC0:00
another angle that I'd be interested to hear more about is.. what if some of this was due to the border being closed due to COVID... which.. some would think wouldn't exactly cause a pro-Trump bump. But there'd be an economic impact in that area from not being able to do business or as much business across the border

 
N:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 388.7347 points)
Wed, March 10, 2021 10:24:58 AM UTC0:00
Does anyone know why it will not allow me to add presidential results to the state senate districts besides the ones posted already? I completed the South Texas area seats and then the page abruptly eliminated all the other senate districts from my screen. If anyone knows how to fix this, I’d appreciate it! :)

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Wed, March 10, 2021 10:18:12 PM UTC0:00
try now, clicking "All State Senate data entered - generate State Senate-map links" isn't really necessary for this race

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, September 24, 2021 05:10:40 AM UTC0:00
Texas, under pressure from Trump, announces a ‘full forensic audit’ of the 2020 election in four counties. - [Link]

 
D:1353MadViking ( 1575.9762 points)
Fri, September 24, 2021 11:55:16 PM UTC0:00
Robert Morrow looks like the type of person who can't believe he only got 56 votes

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