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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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NJ District 02 - D Primary
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Parents |
> United States > New Jersey > NJ - District 02
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Office | House of Representatives |
Honorific | Representative - Abbr: Rep. |
Type | Democratic Primary Election |
Filing Deadline | --- |
Polls Open | July 07, 2020 - 06:00am Central |
Polls Close | July 07, 2020 - 07:00pm Central |
Term Start | January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm |
Term End | January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm |
Contributor | RP |
Last Modified | RBH August 10, 2020 12:49pm |
Data Sources | [Link] |
Description |
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CANDIDATES |
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Photo | |
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Name |
Amy Kennedy |
Brigid Callahan Harrison |
Will Cunningham |
John Francis |
Robert "Turk" Turkavage |
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Party | Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
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Campaign Logo | |
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Certified Votes | 43,414 (62.09%) |
15,560 (22.25%) |
8,946 (12.80%) |
1,061 (1.52%) |
938 (1.34%) |
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Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-27,854 (-39.84%) |
-34,468 (-49.30%) |
-42,353 (-60.57%) |
-42,476 (-60.75%) |
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Predict Avg. | 42.00% |
29.00% |
15.00% |
5.00% |
9.00% |
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Cash On Hand |
6/30 $137,137.45
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6/17 $9,776.87
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9/30 $0.00
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$--
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9/30 $0.00
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Website |
[Campaign Site]
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[Campaign Site]
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[Campaign Site]
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[Campaign Site]
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[Website]
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Entry Date |
01/06/2019
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12/16/2019
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01/01/2020
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12/16/2019
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12/31/2019
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Bar | |
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Adj Poll Avg | 21.00%-- |
8.00%-- |
6.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
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New Jersey Working Families 03/01/20-03/08/20 |
21.00% -- |
8.00% -- |
6.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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DISCUSSION |
[View All 12 Previous Messages] |
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BEER:10271 | WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
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Sat, December 7, 2019 02:56:15 AM UTC0:00
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Van Drew is a remarkable politician and is in a dying breed of Democrats however this type of political persona is just what voters want voting against impeachment won’t hurt him (in a general). But I wouldn’t be so sure that he would loose the primary. And there is no way Van Drew (a life longe Democrat) switches his Party for political convenience because Jeff Van Drew may be the least fake person in Washington.
Van Drew is a remarkable politician and is in a dying breed of Democrats however this type of political persona is just what voters want voting against impeachment won’t hurt him (in a general). But I wouldn’t be so sure that he would loose the primary. And there is no way Van Drew (a life longe Democrat) switches his Party for political convenience because Jeff Van Drew may be the least fake person in Washington.
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Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Sat, December 7, 2019 05:15:23 AM UTC0:00
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Van Drew is a remarkable politician and is in a dying breed of Democrats however this type of political persona is just what voters want voting against impeachment won’t hurt him (in a general). But I wouldn’t be so sure that he would loose the primary. And there is no way Van Drew (a life longe Democrat) switches his Party for political convenience because Jeff Van Drew may be the least fake person in Washington.
Do you think he'll win re-election next year?
WSNJ: Van Drew is a remarkable politician and is in a dying breed of Democrats however this type of political persona is just what voters want voting against impeachment won’t hurt him (in a general). But I wouldn’t be so sure that he would loose the primary. And there is no way Van Drew (a life longe Democrat) switches his Party for political convenience because Jeff Van Drew may be the least fake person in Washington.
Do you think he'll win re-election next year?
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BEER:10271 | WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
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Sat, December 7, 2019 03:07:19 PM UTC0:00
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If he wins the primary. I think it’s likely. In a year that might be good for Trump in that district doesn’t doom Van Drew. Let’s not forget that when Christie won is re-election landslide in 2013 he beat his Republican opponent in a landslide. The GOP’s trouble with Van Drew isn’t that they can’t fundraise it’s just that he’s a really good candidate.
If he wins the primary. I think it’s likely. In a year that might be good for Trump in that district doesn’t doom Van Drew. Let’s not forget that when Christie won is re-election landslide in 2013 he beat his Republican opponent in a landslide. The GOP’s trouble with Van Drew isn’t that they can’t fundraise it’s just that he’s a really good candidate.
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Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Sat, December 7, 2019 10:38:24 PM UTC0:00
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Last election was pretty horrible for Republicans in New Jersey. Down to 1 congressional seat. Hoping that 2 or 3 swing back next election.
Just based on numbers, seems like NJ3 is most likely to swing back followed by NJ7.
Last election was pretty horrible for Republicans in New Jersey. Down to 1 congressional seat. Hoping that 2 or 3 swing back next election.
Just based on numbers, seems like NJ3 is most likely to swing back followed by NJ7.
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BEER:10271 | WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
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Mon, December 9, 2019 10:19:08 PM UTC0:00
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True as a Republican I support GOP candidates but in could get behind Van Drew if possible
True as a Republican I support GOP candidates but in could get behind Van Drew if possible
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Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Sat, June 27, 2020 05:25:25 PM UTC0:00
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This seems like an interesting primary race between Kennedy and Harrison.
This seems like an interesting primary race between Kennedy and Harrison.
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BEER:10271 | WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
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Sun, June 28, 2020 09:12:35 PM UTC0:00
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It is, the more progressive democrats are definitely lining up behind Kennedy. Harrison has the support of the "Old Guard". Harrison could probably win the primary. However Van Drew would cruise to victory in the general, she is to eleitest in a very rural district. Whereas Van Drew who, himself, is wealthy still comes off as appealing. He would have more trouble with Kennedy, but her problem is she isn't moderate enough for a district that elected Van Drew as a democrat two years ago.
It is, the more progressive democrats are definitely lining up behind Kennedy. Harrison has the support of the "Old Guard". Harrison could probably win the primary. However Van Drew would cruise to victory in the general, she is to eleitest in a very rural district. Whereas Van Drew who, himself, is wealthy still comes off as appealing. He would have more trouble with Kennedy, but her problem is she isn't moderate enough for a district that elected Van Drew as a democrat two years ago.
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D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
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Mon, June 29, 2020 06:37:30 AM UTC0:00
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gonna be interesting to see if the number of mail-in ballots for this primary diminishes the power of candidates on the party columns
gonna be interesting to see if the number of mail-in ballots for this primary diminishes the power of candidates on the party columns
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Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Wed, July 8, 2020 03:36:22 AM UTC0:00
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The race has been called with 40% of the vote in. Safe to say the Kennedy name still has value, even in Southern New Jersey.
Now can she win the general?
The race has been called with 40% of the vote in. Safe to say the Kennedy name still has value, even in Southern New Jersey.
Now can she win the general?
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