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  NJ District 02 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New Jersey > NJ - District 02
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open July 07, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close July 07, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH August 10, 2020 12:49pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won12/19/2019
NameJeff Van Drew Votes1 (100.00%)
Term12/19/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin1 (+100.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameJeff Van Drew Votes195,526 (51.93%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin21,677 (+5.76%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceNJ District 02 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/14/2019 07/07/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Brigid Callahan Harrison 1 ------
Amy Kennedy 3 1 ----
Leaning Call: Amy Kennedy (83.33%)
Weighted Call: Amy Kennedy (101.83%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/01/2020 03/08/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Amy Kennedy Brigid Callahan Harrison Will Cunningham John Francis Robert "Turk" Turkavage  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 43,414 (62.09%) 15,560 (22.25%) 8,946 (12.80%) 1,061 (1.52%) 938 (1.34%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -27,854 (-39.84%) -34,468 (-49.30%) -42,353 (-60.57%) -42,476 (-60.75%)  
Predict Avg.42.00% 29.00% 15.00% 5.00% 9.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $137,137.45 6/17 $9,776.87 9/30 $0.00 $-- 9/30 $0.00  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website]  
Entry Date 01/06/2019 12/16/2019 01/01/2020 12/16/2019 12/31/2019  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg21.00%-- 8.00%-- 6.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
New Jersey Working Families 
03/01/20-03/08/20
21.00% -- 8.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Ashley Bennett (D)
Dec 20, 2019 - Mar 08, 2020
Jeff Van Drew (D)
Sep 23, 2019 - Dec 19, 2019
Vincent Mazzeo (D)
 00, 0001

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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jul 07, 2020 07:00pm News Kennedy wins second district contest  Article WSNJ 
May 13, 2020 11:00am News In New Jersey, a Kennedy’s running against the Democratic machine  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
12
Previous Messages]
 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Sat, December 7, 2019 02:56:15 AM UTC0:00
Van Drew is a remarkable politician and is in a dying breed of Democrats however this type of political persona is just what voters want voting against impeachment won’t hurt him (in a general). But I wouldn’t be so sure that he would loose the primary. And there is no way Van Drew (a life longe Democrat) switches his Party for political convenience because Jeff Van Drew may be the least fake person in Washington.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, December 7, 2019 05:15:23 AM UTC0:00
WSNJ: Van Drew is a remarkable politician and is in a dying breed of Democrats however this type of political persona is just what voters want voting against impeachment won’t hurt him (in a general). But I wouldn’t be so sure that he would loose the primary. And there is no way Van Drew (a life longe Democrat) switches his Party for political convenience because Jeff Van Drew may be the least fake person in Washington.

Do you think he'll win re-election next year?

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Sat, December 7, 2019 03:07:19 PM UTC0:00
If he wins the primary. I think it’s likely. In a year that might be good for Trump in that district doesn’t doom Van Drew. Let’s not forget that when Christie won is re-election landslide in 2013 he beat his Republican opponent in a landslide. The GOP’s trouble with Van Drew isn’t that they can’t fundraise it’s just that he’s a really good candidate.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, December 7, 2019 10:38:24 PM UTC0:00
Last election was pretty horrible for Republicans in New Jersey. Down to 1 congressional seat. Hoping that 2 or 3 swing back next election.

Just based on numbers, seems like NJ3 is most likely to swing back followed by NJ7.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Mon, December 9, 2019 10:19:08 PM UTC0:00
True as a Republican I support GOP candidates but in could get behind Van Drew if possible

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, June 27, 2020 05:25:25 PM UTC0:00
This seems like an interesting primary race between Kennedy and Harrison.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Sun, June 28, 2020 09:12:35 PM UTC0:00
It is, the more progressive democrats are definitely lining up behind Kennedy. Harrison has the support of the "Old Guard". Harrison could probably win the primary. However Van Drew would cruise to victory in the general, she is to eleitest in a very rural district. Whereas Van Drew who, himself, is wealthy still comes off as appealing. He would have more trouble with Kennedy, but her problem is she isn't moderate enough for a district that elected Van Drew as a democrat two years ago.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Mon, June 29, 2020 06:37:30 AM UTC0:00
gonna be interesting to see if the number of mail-in ballots for this primary diminishes the power of candidates on the party columns

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, July 8, 2020 03:36:22 AM UTC0:00
The race has been called with 40% of the vote in. Safe to say the Kennedy name still has value, even in Southern New Jersey.

Now can she win the general?