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  MA District 04 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Massachusetts > MA - District 04
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 02, 2020 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open September 01, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close September 01, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Turnout 24.87% Total Population
Invalid Votes Under Votes: 9,996
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH September 10, 2020 07:25pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameJoseph P. Kennedy, III Votes245,289 (97.72%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin239,562 (+95.44%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJake Auchincloss Votes251,102 (60.83%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin90,628 (+21.95%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMA District 04 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/17/2019 09/01/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Becky Grossman 2 ------
Jesse R. Mermell 3 ------
Ihssane Leckey 1 ------
Jake Auchincloss 2 ------
Leaning Call: Jesse R. Mermell (37.50%)
Weighted Call: Jake Auchincloss (64.53%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/26/2020 08/28/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name City Councillor Jake Auchincloss Jesse R. Mermell Becky Grossman Natalia Linos Ihssane Leckey Alan A. Khazei Christopher Z. Zannetos
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 35,361 (22.40%) 33,216 (21.04%) 28,578 (18.11%) 18,364 (11.64%) 17,539 (11.11%) 14,440 (9.15%) 5,135 (3.25%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,145 (-1.36%) -6,783 (-4.30%) -16,997 (-10.77%) -17,822 (-11.29%) -20,921 (-13.25%) -30,226 (-19.15%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 8/12 $353,917.25 8/12 $281,916.19 8/12 $349,594.50 $0.00 $0.00 6/30 $1,150,622.62 $0.00
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 10/03/2019 10/02/2019 09/24/2019 04/30/2020 05/23/2019 09/24/2019 04/01/2020
Dropped Out
08/26/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg18.65%-- 16.92%-- 14.84%-- 7.31%-- 10.26%-- 7.34%-- 1.13%--
RABA Research 
08/27/20-08/28/20		 23.00% -- 22.00% -- 15.00% -- 7.00% -- 11.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
08/10/20-08/14/20		 14.00% -- 13.00% -- 13.00% -- 9.00% -- 9.00% -- 7.00% -- 1.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20		 16.00% -- 10.00% -- 19.00% -- 4.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20		 16.00% -- 10.00% -- 19.00% -- 4.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% --
Beacon Research (D) 
05/26/20-05/30/20		 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I smm
D James E. Timilty 🔗
  Boston Globe
D Evan Falchuk 🔗
D Paul A. Schmid, III 🔗
D Carole A. Fiola 🔗
  VoteVets.org
D Patricia A. Haddad 🔗
I M@
D Shannon Liss-Riordan 🔗
D James K. Hawkins 🔗
D Denise C. Garlick 🔗
D Carol A. Doherty 🔗
D Julian Andre Cyr 🔗
D Paul Feeney 🔗
D Rebecca L. "Becca" Rausch 🔗
D Quentin Palfrey 🔗
D Suzanne M. Bump 🔗
D Ritchie J. Torres 🔗
D Christopher Z. Zannetos 🔗
D Maura Healey 🔗
D David Franklin Cavell 🔗
D Carolyn C. Dykema 🔗
D Daniel Rivera 🔗
D Frank Israel Smizik 🔗
D Diane Patrick 🔗
D Ayanna S. Pressley 🔗
D Cynthia Stone Creem 🔗
D Alan Silvia 🔗
D Alice Hanlon Peisch 🔗
D James E. Vallee 🔗
D David Paul Linsky 🔗
D Julián Castro 🔗
D Rohit "Ro" Khanna 🔗
D Bill Bowles 🔗
D Kay S. Khan 🔗
D Louis L. Kafka 🔗
D Michael J. Rodrigues 🔗
D Marian T. Ryan 🔗
D Joan M. Menard 🔗
D Ruth B. Balser 🔗
N R. Nicholas Burns 🔗
D Cori Bush 🔗
D Nika Elugardo 🔗
D Abdul El-Sayed 🔗
D Ilhan Omar 🔗
I E Pluribus Unum
D Michael Bennet 🔗
D Jeffrey N. Roy 🔗
D Gary Hart 🔗
D Marc R. Pacheco 🔗
D Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu 🔗
D Michèle A. Flournoy 🔗
D Susan E. Rice 🔗
D Lawrence Lessig 🔗
N Stanley McChrystal 🔗
D Jamie Raskin 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name David Franklin Cavell Benjamin R. Sigel (W) Write-In  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,498 (1.58%) 2,465 (1.56%) 242 (0.15%)  
Margin-32,863 (-20.82%) -32,896 (-20.84%) -35,119 (-22.25%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 8/12 $86,602.56 8/12 $54,727.82 $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 10/17/2019
Dropped Out
08/13/2020 		01/21/2020 06/02/2020  
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg7.45%-- 1.89%-- 0.00%--  
RABA Research 
08/27/20-08/28/20		 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
08/10/20-08/14/20		 1.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20		 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20		 7.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) 
05/26/20-05/30/20		 2.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Tom Shack 🔗
D Tony Cárdenas 🔗
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Tom Shack (D)
Feb 18, 2020 - May 08, 2020 		Claire D. Cronin (D)
 00, 2020 		Raul Fernandez (D)
 00, 2020 		Will Flanagan (D)
 00, 2020 		Jay Gonzalez (D)
 00, 2020 		Paul R. Heroux (D)
 00, 2020 		Scott Lang (D)
 00, 2020 		Shannon Liss-Riordan (D)
 00, 2020
Marc R. Pacheco (D)
 00, 2020 		Rebecca L. "Becca" Rausch (D)
 00, 2020 		Michael P. Ross (D)
 00, 2020 		David Simas (D)
 00, 2020 		Sam Sutter (D)
 00, 2020 		Setti D. Warren (D)
 00, 2020 		Josh Zakim (D)
 00, 2020 		Ruth B. Balser (D)
Nov 12, 2019
Patricia A. Haddad (D)
Oct 15, 2019 		Deborah Goldberg (D)
Oct 02, 2019 		Christopher S. Dempsey (D)
Sep 24, 2019 		Paul Feeney (D)
Sep 24, 2019 		Tommy Vitolo (D)
Sep 24, 2019 		Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Sep 21, 2019 		Cynthia Stone Creem (D)
Sep 20, 2019

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