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  MA District 04 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Massachusetts > MA - District 04
OfficeHouse of Representatives
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 02, 2020 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open September 01, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close September 01, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Turnout 24.87% Total Population
Invalid Votes Under Votes: 9,996
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH September 10, 2020 07:25pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameJoseph P. Kennedy, III Votes245,289 (97.72%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin239,562 (+95.44%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJake Auchincloss Votes251,102 (60.83%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin90,628 (+21.95%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMA District 04 11/03/2020
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/17/2019 09/01/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Becky Grossman 2 ------
Jesse R. Mermell 3 ------
Ihssane Leckey 1 ------
Jake Auchincloss 2 ------
Leaning Call: Jesse R. Mermell (37.50%)
Weighted Call: Jesse R. Mermell (164.20%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/26/2020 08/28/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name City Councilor Jake Auchincloss Jesse R. Mermell Becky Grossman Natalia Linos Ihssane Leckey Alan A. Khazei Christopher Z. Zannetos
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes35,361 (22.40%) 33,216 (21.04%) 28,578 (18.11%) 18,364 (11.64%) 17,539 (11.11%) 14,440 (9.15%) 5,135 (3.25%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,145 (-1.36%) -6,783 (-4.30%) -16,997 (-10.77%) -17,822 (-11.29%) -20,921 (-13.25%) -30,226 (-19.15%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 8/12 $353,917.25 8/12 $281,916.19 8/12 $349,594.50 $0.00 $0.00 6/30 $1,150,622.62 $0.00
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 10/03/2019 10/02/2019 09/24/2019 04/30/2020 05/23/2019 09/24/2019 04/01/2020
Dropped Out
08/26/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg18.65%-- 16.92%-- 14.84%-- 7.31%-- 10.26%-- 7.34%-- 1.13%--
RABA Research 
08/27/20-08/28/20
23.00% -- 22.00% -- 15.00% -- 7.00% -- 11.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
08/10/20-08/14/20
14.00% -- 13.00% -- 13.00% -- 9.00% -- 9.00% -- 7.00% -- 1.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20
16.00% -- 10.00% -- 19.00% -- 4.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20
16.00% -- 10.00% -- 19.00% -- 4.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% --
Beacon Research (D) 
05/26/20-05/30/20
7.00% -- 7.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name David Franklin Cavell Benjamin R. Sigel (W) Write-In  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes2,498 (1.58%) 2,465 (1.56%) 242 (0.15%)  
Margin-32,863 (-20.82%) -32,896 (-20.84%) -35,119 (-22.25%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 8/12 $86,602.56 8/12 $54,727.82 $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 10/17/2019
Dropped Out
08/13/2020
01/21/2020 06/02/2020  
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg7.45%-- 1.89%-- 0.00%--  
RABA Research 
08/27/20-08/28/20
0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
08/10/20-08/14/20
1.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20
7.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
FrederickPolls 
08/01/20-08/04/20
7.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) 
05/26/20-05/30/20
2.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Tom Shack (D)
Feb 18, 2020 - May 08, 2020
Claire D. Cronin (D)
 00, 2020
Raul Fernandez (D)
 00, 2020
Will Flanagan (D)
 00, 2020
Jay Gonzalez (D)
 00, 2020
Paul R. Heroux (D)
 00, 2020
Scott Lang (D)
 00, 2020
Shannon Liss-Riordan (D)
 00, 2020
Marc R. Pacheco (D)
 00, 2020
Rebecca L. "Becca" Rausch (D)
 00, 2020
Michael P. Ross (D)
 00, 2020
David Simas (D)
 00, 2020
Sam Sutter (D)
 00, 2020
Setti D. Warren (D)
 00, 2020
Josh Zakim (D)
 00, 2020
Ruth B. Balser (D)
Nov 12, 2019
Patricia A. Haddad (D)
Oct 15, 2019
Deborah Goldberg (D)
Oct 02, 2019
Chris Dempsey (D)
Sep 24, 2019
Paul Feeney (D)
Sep 24, 2019
Tommy Vitolo (D)
Sep 24, 2019
Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Sep 21, 2019
Cynthia Stone Creem (D)
Sep 20, 2019

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