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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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FL District 27
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Parents |
> United States > Florida > FL - District 27
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Office | House of Representatives |
Honorific | Representative - Abbr: Rep. |
Type | General Election |
Filing Deadline | July 27, 2020 - 04:00pm Central |
Polls Open | November 03, 2020 - 06:00am Central |
Polls Close | November 03, 2020 - 06:00pm Central |
Term Start | January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm |
Term End | January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm |
Turnout |
76.41% Registered
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Contributor | RP |
Last Modified | RBH November 17, 2020 02:19pm |
Data Sources | [Link] |
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DISCUSSION |
[View All 9 Previous Messages] |
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D:7918 | Labour Dem ( 228.9742 points)
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Thu, August 1, 2019 06:41:48 PM UTC0:00
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It would hurt more than help with this being an area where Democrats will be doing a lot of groundwork for the presidential race.
It would hurt more than help with this being an area where Democrats will be doing a lot of groundwork for the presidential race.
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I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
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Thu, August 1, 2019 06:47:33 PM UTC0:00
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Thought so. Wish I could find 2018 results by congressional district to see how Gillum/DeSantis or Nelson/Scott fared compared to Shalala/Salazar.
Thought so. Wish I could find 2018 results by congressional district to see how Gillum/DeSantis or Nelson/Scott fared compared to Shalala/Salazar.
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@IndyGeorgia, I think this is what you are looking for!
http://mcimaps.com/2018-congress/
@IndyGeorgia, I think this is what you are looking for!
[Link]
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Thu, August 1, 2019 10:21:19 PM UTC0:00
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Great find, NJ-D3!
The comparison chart that IndyGeorgia was looking for is a bit more than halfway down the page of your link. It shows the percentages in the 27th district for Shalala 51.7%/Salazar 45.8%; Gillum 54.8%/DeSantis 44.1%; and Nelson 56.1%/Scott 43.85, concluding that "Indeed in the end Shalala won by 6 points, a decent win but smaller than Gillum or Nelson in the district."
To me, that appears to make Shalala very vulnerable should the vote turn-out wind up more reddish next year.
Great find, NJ-D3!
The comparison chart that IndyGeorgia was looking for is a bit more than halfway down the page of your link. It shows the percentages in the 27th district for Shalala 51.7%/Salazar 45.8%; Gillum 54.8%/DeSantis 44.1%; and Nelson 56.1%/Scott 43.85, concluding that "Indeed in the end Shalala won by 6 points, a decent win but smaller than Gillum or Nelson in the district."
To me, that appears to make Shalala very vulnerable should the vote turn-out wind up more reddish next year.
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D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
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Wed, November 18, 2020 11:13:58 PM UTC0:00
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looking at the precinct map, the change% can be noticed in the more Cuban parts of the district... also in Miami Beach, which likely didn't help Shalala much either (Biden won this district while Shalala lost)
looking at the precinct map, the change% can be noticed in the more Cuban parts of the district... also in Miami Beach, which likely didn't help Shalala much either (Biden won this district while Shalala lost)
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I:10200 | Jeaux ( 55.7098 points)
x2
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Thu, November 19, 2020 01:44:06 PM UTC0:00
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I think Shalala barely getting across the line in 2018 and now her losing in 2020 is proof she wasn't that great of a candidate.
I think Shalala barely getting across the line in 2018 and now her losing in 2020 is proof she wasn't that great of a candidate.
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D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
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Thu, November 19, 2020 07:31:46 PM UTC0:00
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of course for all the complaints about Shalala being a bad candidate for not speaking Spanish/etc... her original 2018 primary victory came because she did better in Miami than in Miami Beach.
If Kristen Rosen Gonzalez just did better outside of Miami Beach, then we'd be talking about how David Richardson was a bad candidate who lost a winnable district.
of course for all the complaints about Shalala being a bad candidate for not speaking Spanish/etc... her original 2018 primary victory came because she did better in Miami than in Miami Beach.
If Kristen Rosen Gonzalez just did better outside of Miami Beach, then we'd be talking about how David Richardson was a bad candidate who lost a winnable district.
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