Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  FL District 19 - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > FL - District 19
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline July 27, 2020 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open August 18, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 18, 2020 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Turnout 46.71% Registered 16.26% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH September 30, 2020 07:51pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2018
NameFrancis Rooney Votes211,465 (62.27%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin83,359 (+24.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameByron Donalds Votes272,440 (61.28%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin100,294 (+22.56%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL District 19 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/29/2019 08/18/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Dane Eagle 5 1 ----
Byron Donalds 2 ------
Leaning Call: Dane Eagle (77.78%)
Weighted Call: Dane Eagle (85.01%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/26/2019 08/10/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name St. Rep. Byron Donalds St. Rep. Dane Eagle Casey Askar William "Fig" Figlesthaler City Councillor Randy Henderson Christy McLaughlin St. Rep. Daniel "Doc" Severson
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 23,492 (22.60%) 22,715 (21.85%) 20,774 (19.98%) 19,075 (18.35%) 7,858 (7.56%) 4,245 (4.08%) 3,197 (3.08%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -777 (-0.75%) -2,718 (-2.61%) -4,417 (-4.25%) -15,634 (-15.04%) -19,247 (-18.51%) -20,295 (-19.52%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 7/29 $301,538.81 7/29 $250,216.52 7/29 $919,306.31 7/29 $240,610.72 7/29 $40,508.30 $-- 7/29 $2,947.32
Website [Website] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 01/09/2020 11/06/2019 03/20/2020 11/01/2019 12/06/2019 03/14/2020 11/12/2019
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg22.00%-- 20.00%-- 16.00%-- 21.00%-- 8.00%-- 0.80%-- 2.00%--
St. Pete Polls 
08/07/20-08/10/20
22.00% -- 20.00% -- 16.00% -- 21.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.80% -- 2.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
07/06/20-07/06/20
25.90% -- 7.50% -- 30.10% -- 15.60% -- 4.60% -- 1.60% -- 0.40% --
St. Pete Polls 
10/26/19-10/27/19
5.00% -- 9.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Darren Aquino Daniel Kowal  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1,466 (1.41%) 1,135 (1.09%)  
Margin-22,026 (-21.19%) -22,357 (-21.51%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 7/29 $10,980.96 $--  
Website  
Entry Date 02/27/2020 04/17/2020  
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg3.00%-- 0.50%--  
St. Pete Polls 
08/07/20-08/10/20
3.00% -- 0.50% --
St. Pete Polls 
07/06/20-07/06/20
1.60% -- 0.40% --
St. Pete Polls 
10/26/19-10/27/19
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Heather Fitzenhagen (R)
Dec 03, 2019 - Jun 00, 2020
Bob Rommel (R)
 00, 2020
Gary Aubuchon (R)
Nov 12, 2019
Lizbeth Benacquisto (R)
Nov 04, 2019
Spencer Roach (R)
Oct 25, 2019
Matthew H. "Matt" Caldwell (R)
Oct 21, 2019
Kathleen C. Passidomo (R)
Oct 21, 2019
Francis Rooney (R)
Oct 19, 2019

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/01/2020 Casey Askar Web Only Ad Issue eng China Must Pay. America Must Rebuild.  00:00:30 BrentinCO 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View All
21
Previous Messages]
 
I Lab:9830Shady Morsi ( -141.0427 points)
Fri, October 25, 2019 01:41:50 AM UTC0:00
wtf is Oberweis doing in Florida

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Fri, October 25, 2019 02:18:12 AM UTC0:00
Who is Oberweis and what did he do to be nominated for Crappy Politician of the Year in 2009

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, May 10, 2020 07:54:53 PM UTC0:00
anonymous poll [Link] Seems a little too sketchy to post. Based on wording, probably Figlesthaler campaign. Here's the breakdown for anyone interested


 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1716.1335 points)
Mon, May 11, 2020 12:14:23 AM UTC0:00
Yeah, I would think Dane Eagle would be the favorite.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, June 30, 2020 09:31:43 PM UTC0:00
What a crazy race if someone with "only" $335k in their campaign coffers wins the races.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Tue, June 30, 2020 09:46:47 PM UTC0:00
the top candidates will get on their yachts and sail around the beaches to do election day GOTV

sorta like soundtrucks (if any of you lived in an area where somebody would drive around and hype candidates.. also the promotion method used in the Blues Brothers)

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, July 7, 2020 09:48:21 PM UTC0:00
Part of Dr. Fig's camapaign budget is going toward's these


 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, July 7, 2020 09:49:14 PM UTC0:00
He's a urologist btw.

 
R:9751Tekken_Guy ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, August 14, 2020 10:03:39 PM UTC0:00
This race could go in any direction, but my gut says Donalds is favored here.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, August 18, 2020 05:51:41 PM UTC0:00

 
R:10345Bensq1 ( 74.6171 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 01:45:29 AM UTC0:00
I called this this race cause I’m pretty sure Donalds is going to win with 98% in

 
I:2362M@ ( 3732.1626 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 01:47:39 AM UTC0:00
@GeorgiaBoi, we don't typically pick winners until the election is called by a major news outlet. It does not look like that has happened yet.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 03:24:53 AM UTC0:00
Congratulations to Askar to Dr. Fig. Both raised and spent over 7 figures to lose. Fortunately it was probably their own money. I think they call this redistribution of wealth.

 
N:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 388.7347 points)
x2
Wed, August 19, 2020 03:39:28 AM UTC0:00
I didn’t have a horse in this race, but super happy Donalds won. That disgusting, fraudulent text sent to all district 19 residents falsely claiming he dropped out today made me feel so sorry for him. I’m glad he seems to have pulled it off anyways and I hope whoever’s campaign was behind that is held accountable.

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 04:25:26 AM UTC0:00
It's possible that text gave him a boost. Maybe not, but could have caused a backlash.

 
N:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 388.7347 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 04:35:03 AM UTC0:00
Completely agree. I think people root for those who get played really dirty like that. Likely was consultants more than the candidate themself, but still think they should be held accountable. If that isn’t illegal already, it should be something legislators look into.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 04:41:10 AM UTC0:00
Glad he won, although have to admit I didn't think he would make it past the millions of Fig and Askar.

He will be a great member of Congress, and an exciting part of the next generation of Republican leaders.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 05:38:57 PM UTC0:00
Bensq1: I called this this race cause I’m pretty sure Donalds is going to win with 98% in

Nowadays, the 98% isn't a good gauge because there are a lot of late-arriving and provisional ballots that aren't figured into the precincts reporting number.

 
R:7501Maryland Republican ( 3667.0837 points)
Wed, August 19, 2020 06:01:33 PM UTC0:00
I will say even though it hasn’t been called Eagle endorsed Donalds at a unity breakfast this morning.