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  NC District 09 - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > NC - District 09
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type Special Election
Filing Deadline March 15, 2019 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open September 10, 2019 - 06:30am Central
Polls Close September 10, 2019 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start September 11, 2019 - 12:00am
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 45.78% Registered
ContributorE Pluribus Unum
Last ModifiedAn_62190 September 28, 2019 09:07am
Data Sources[Link]
Description To fill the seat left unfilled after the North Carolina State Board of Elections decided to not certify the results of the November 6th, 2018 election due to concerns about fraud determining the outcome.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameRobert Pittenger Votes193,452 (58.18%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin54,411 (+16.36%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameDan Bishop Votes224,661 (55.59%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin45,198 (+11.18%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 08, 2018 NC District 09 - R Primary
Mark Harris
R 35,643
May 08, 2018 NC District 09 - D Primary
Dan McCready
D 46,020
Nov 06, 2018 NC District 09 - Voided
Mark Harris
R 139,246D 138,341LBT 5,130
May 14, 2019 NC District 09 - Special R Primary
Dan Bishop
R 29,742
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/21/2019 09/10/2019
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Dan Bishop 7 2 1 --
Dan McCready 12 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Dan Bishop (51.85%)
Weighted Call: Dan Bishop (70.20%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/20/2019 09/06/2019

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name St. Sen. Dan Bishop Dan McCready Jeff Scott Allen Smith  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Green  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 96,573 (50.69%) 92,785 (48.71%) 773 (0.41%) 375 (0.20%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -3,788 (-1.99%) -95,800 (-50.29%) -96,198 (-50.50%)  
Predict Avg.49.91% 48.03% 1.51% 0.69%  
Natalie48.00% (+3.01 pts) 50.00% (+3.79 pts) 2.00% (-0.03 pts) --
DylanSH9953.70% (+2.80 pts) 46.30% (+3.05 pts) -- --
BrentinCO49.00% (+3.67 pts) 48.00% (+4.18 pts) 2.00% (-0.03 pts) 1.00% (+0.48 pts)
State Legislatures Big Fan49.00% (+3.67 pts) 48.00% (+4.18 pts) 2.00% (-0.03 pts) 1.00% (+0.48 pts)
Charlotte Rose48.00% (+3.01 pts) 49.00% (+4.46 pts) 1.60% (+0.23 pts) 1.40% (+0.21 pts)
PA Historian48.00% (+3.01 pts) 49.00% (+4.46 pts) 2.00% (-0.03 pts) 1.00% (+0.48 pts)
Shady Morsi51.00% (+4.60 pts) 49.00% (+4.46 pts) -- --
An_6219048.10% (+3.07 pts) 48.60% (+4.58 pts) 2.75% (-0.53 pts) 0.55% (+0.78 pts)
RoyUSA54.38% (+2.34 pts) 44.35% (+1.75 pts) 1.23% (+0.48 pts) 0.55% (+0.78 pts)
Cash On Hand $-- 8/21 $818,345.50 $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 03/00/2019 02/21/2019 02/21/2019 03/01/2019  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.13%-- 45.16%-- 1.16%-- 0.24%--  
co/efficient 
09/05/19-09/06/19		 44.00% -- 44.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% --
Harper Polling and Clarity Campaign Labs 
08/26/19-08/28/19		 44.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Red Racing Horses (R) 
08/26/19-08/28/19		 46.00% -- 45.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% --
ALG Research (D) 
07/15/19-07/18/19		 46.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
JMC Analytics and Polling 
05/21/19-05/24/19		 46.00% -- 42.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Atlantic Media & Research 
05/20/19-05/23/19		 39.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Impy
R Maryland Republican
D NCdem
R Minnesota Populist
  Charlotte Observer
D An_62190
R Southern Moderate
D EastTexasDem
R Kyle
I JonathanNC
LBT PA Historian
I Charlotte Rose
G BR_Green
I Charlotte Rose
DS Bob Sacamano
I E Pluribus Unum
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/04/2019 vs Dan McCready TVAd Attack eng He's Back  00:00:30 RP 
08/30/2019 Dan Bishop vs Dan McCready TVAd Endorsement eng A Great Congressman  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2019 Dan McCready TVAd Biography eng North Carolina Ad  00:00:30 RP 
08/16/2019 vs Dan Bishop TVAd Attack eng Had The Chance  00:00:30 RP 
08/07/2019 Dan McCready vs Dan Bishop TVAd Issue eng Surgeon  00:00:31 RP 
08/06/2019 vs Dan McCready TVAd Attack eng Homework  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2019 vs Dan McCready TVAd Attack eng Not Gonna Sell  00:00:30 RP 
07/30/2019 Dan McCready vs Dan Bishop TVAd Issue eng "Family" and State Senator Bishop's Record Against Cheaper Prescription Drugs  00:00:31 RP 
06/03/2019 Dan McCready TVAd Issue eng Country First  00:00:30 RP 
10/30/2018 vs Dan McCready TVAd Biography eng Dirty  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/25/2018 Dan McCready TVAd Endorsement eng Top Down  00:00:30 IndyGeorgia 
10/23/2018 vs Dan McCready TVAd Attack eng Everything  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/17/2018 vs Dan McCready TVAd Attack eng Allies  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 10, 2019 11:00am Strategy GOP leadership lowers expectations for North Carolina special election  Article RP 
Sep 09, 2019 10:00pm Speech Trump makes unfounded voter fraud claim — while campaigning for seat opened by GOP cheating  Article RP 

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