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CA District 25
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
California
>
CA - District 25
Office
House of Representatives
Honorific
Representative - Abbr: Rep.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
March 13, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 03, 2020 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close
November 03, 2020 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Turnout
76.34% Registered 53.04% Total Population
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
RBH
December 12, 2020 08:30pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
05/12/2020
Name
Mike García
Votes
95,667 (54.86%)
Term
05/13/2020 - 01/03/2021
Margin
16,946 (+9.72%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/08/2022
Name
Raúl Ruiz
Votes
87,641 (57.38%)
Term
01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025
Margin
22,540 (+14.76%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
07/03/2019
11/03/2020
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Mike García
7
3
--
--
Tossup
1
--
--
--
Christy Smith
11
--
--
--
Leaning Call: Mike García (52.00%)
Weighted Call: Christy Smith (77.51%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
07/26/2020
10/06/2020
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
American Viewpoint (R)
Breakthrough Campaigns (D)
Global Strategy Group (D)
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
(I)
Rep.
Mike García
St. Rep.
Christy Smith
Party
Republican
Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
169,638 (50.05%)
169,305 (49.95%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-333 (-0.10%)
Predict Avg.
50.53%
49.13%
Cash On Hand
10/14 $1,703,325.50
10/14 $150,002.38
Website
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
00/00/0001
00/00/0001
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
47.78%
--
46.40%
--
Breakthrough Campaigns (D)
10/03/20-10/06/20
47.00%
--
49.00%
--
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
09/21/20-09/23/20
45.00%
--
51.00%
--
Global Strategy Group (D)
08/26/20-08/30/20
46.00%
--
45.00%
--
American Viewpoint (R)
07/26/20-07/28/20
48.00%
--
41.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D
Pokemon
US Chamber of Commerce
R
Bensq1
BEER
WSNJ
R
Maryland Republican
D
samir7243_ATL
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
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Prediction
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DISCUSSION
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8
Previous Messages]
I:10692
Count Awesome
( 374.7370 points)
Tue, December 1, 2020 06:09:39 AM UTC0:00
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-11-30/christy-smith-concedes-to-mike-smith-in-tight-ca-25-race
[Link]