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IA - District 02
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Iowa
>
IA - District 02
Office
House of Representatives
Honorific
Representative - Abbr: Rep.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
March 15, 2020 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 03, 2020 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close
November 03, 2020 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Turnout
78.82% Registered 67.43% Total Population
Invalid Votes
Over Votes: 175, Under Votes: 19,189
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
Bensq1
December 18, 2020 08:05pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/06/2018
Name
Dave Loebsack
Votes
171,446 (54.79%)
Term
01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021
Margin
38,159 (+12.19%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/08/2022
Name
Ashley Hinson
Votes
172,181 (54.08%)
Term
01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025
Margin
26,241 (+8.24%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 02, 2020
IA District 02 - R Primary
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
R
48,415
Jun 02, 2020
IA District 02 - D Primary
Rita Hart
D
67,310
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
04/15/2019
11/03/2020
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
4
--
--
--
Rita Hart
11
3
1
--
Leaning Call: Rita Hart (83.33%)
Weighted Call: Rita Hart (95.93%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
07/25/2020
10/20/2020
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Harper Polling
Monmouth University
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
St. Sen.
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
St. Sen.
Rita Hart
(W)
Write-In
Party
Republican
Democratic
Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
196,964 (49.91%)
196,958 (49.91%)
703 (0.18%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-6 (-0.00%)
-196,261 (-49.73%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
10/14 $236,994.84
10/14 $585,177.38
$--
Website
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
09/30/2019
05/14/2019
03/15/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
43.91%
--
47.03%
--
0.00%
--
Monmouth University
10/15/20-10/20/20
43.00%
4.0
49.00%
5.0
0.00%
--
Monmouth University
07/25/20-08/03/20
47.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
Harper Polling
07/26/20-07/28/20
41.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
US Chamber of Commerce
R
Maryland Republican
BEER
WSNJ
Des Moines Register
Cedar Rapids Gazette
R
Rhonda McIntyre
🔗
R
Jill Davisson
🔗
R
Jason Gordon
🔗
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Nov 23, 2020 01:30pm
General
IA-02: Three counties use voting machines to assist hand recount, defying Secretary of State opinion
Article
RP
Add Your 2¢
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Work Complete
Prediction
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DISCUSSION
[View All
12
Previous Messages]
R:10538
Southern_Moderate2
( 62.9320 points)
Wed, March 31, 2021 09:11:20 PM UTC0:00
I'm sure Marc Elias is taking it hard.
I'm sure Marc Elias is taking it hard.