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  VA State House 096 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Virginia > VA House of Delegates > VA State House 096
OfficeState House
HonorificState Representative - Abbr: St. Rep.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open June 11, 2019 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close June 11, 2019 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm
Term End January 01, 2022 - 12:00pm
ContributorCharlotte Rose
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia August 17, 2019 11:15am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2017
NameBrenda L. Pogge Votes19,841 (56.94%)
Term01/10/2018 - 01/08/2020 Margin4,894 (+14.05%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2019
NameAmanda Batten Votes17,142 (52.48%)
Term01/01/2020 - 01/12/2022 Margin2,001 (+6.13%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceVA State House 096 11/05/2019
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/20/2019 06/11/2019
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mark Downey 1 --2 --
Rebecca Leser --1 ----
Leaning Call: Mark Downey (77.78%)
Weighted Call: Rebecca Leser (-10.82%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/24/2019 03/28/2019

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Mark Downey Rebecca Leser Chris Mayfield  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,369 (53.69%) 1,215 (27.54%) 828 (18.77%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,154 (-26.16%) -1,541 (-34.93%)  
Predict Avg.47.50% 42.25% 10.25%  
Cash On Hand 3/31 $6,150.00 3/31 $3,669.00 3/31 $1,035.00  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 01/06/2019 01/06/2019 01/06/2019  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg42.60%-- 47.50%-- 10.00%--  
Blue Virginia 
03/24/19-03/28/19
42.60% -- 47.50% -- 10.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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DISCUSSION
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9
Previous Messages]
 
I:9518Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
Fri, February 22, 2019 03:45:04 PM UTC0:00
So, I attended the candidate forum for the Democratic party last night.

Rebecca Leser was probably the best are getting her point across and I definitely think that she has a chance at the nom,especially considering she is the chair of York/Poquoson Dems and probably has a lot of connections.

Downey was also a decent public speaker. Made some good points about why he has the best chance of beating Pogge. He currently has so much more money on hand than anyone else, that I think it is his to lose.

Mayfield. I'm not really sure why is he is running. He doesn't seem to have a very good political grasp and understanding of what the issues are. I also felt that he wasn't really a strong public speaker and wasn't very prepared.

 
I:9518Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
Mon, March 25, 2019 04:07:25 AM UTC0:00
So, @AN62190 who just added predictions.

Downey-Corporate dem pediatrician (hasn't signed Dominion pledge and has taken in $9000 in in-kind contributions from a mysterious PAC)
Leser-Progressive dem chairman of York County Dems
Mayfield-was unprepared at the candidate forum, weak fundraising, a few diehard supporters (friends and family) but not much of anyone else. Self-described moderate but is in favor of Universal Health Care and has signed Dominion pledge.

 
I:9518Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
Mon, March 25, 2019 04:07:46 AM UTC0:00
Leser is the lesser of 3 evils in this primary imo

 
I:9518Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
Mon, March 25, 2019 04:09:16 AM UTC0:00
She has a grassroots effort. Downey is all about the money.