Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A historical political resource." 
Email: Password:

  IA US President - D Caucus
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > President
Parent RaceUS President - D Primaries
OfficePresident
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline February 03, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 03, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Close February 03, 2020 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Turnout 28.10% Registered 5.67% Total Population
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH May 21, 2020 09:38pm
Data SourcesIDP: [Link]
First Alignment: [Link]
Final Alignment: [Link]
Description
This Race page and map reports the "Final Alignment" results.
"First Alignment" results appear on the "Ballot Round 0" line.


Closed Caucus.
49 pledged, 41 unpledged delegates.
15% viability threshold per precinct (to be able to receive support in the 'final realignment')

Three totals will be reported by the Iowa Democratic Party. The initial results ("first expression"), results after realignment ("final expression"), and the State Delegate Equivalent results (which determines delegate allocations)

State Delegate Equivalent (SDE) results:
Buttigieg563.207
Sanders563.127
Warren387.814
Biden339.632
Klobuchar263.827
Yang21.856
Steyer6.619
Gabbard0.114

LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDonald Trump Votes800,983 (51.15%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin147,314 (+9.41%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceIA US President 11/03/2020
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/16/2018 02/03/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bernie Sanders 11 1 ----
Joe Biden 4 ------
Elizabeth Warren 1 ------
Leaning Call: Bernie Sanders (72.22%)
Weighted Call: Bernie Sanders (118.90%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/20/2018 02/02/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. Bernie Sanders Mayor Pete Buttigieg Sen. Elizabeth Warren Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Uncommitted
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes45,831 (26.55%) 43,273 (25.06%) 34,932 (20.23%) 23,631 (13.69%) 21,120 (12.23%) 1,759 (1.02%) 1,451 (0.84%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,558 (-1.48%) -10,899 (-6.31%) -22,200 (-12.86%) -24,711 (-14.31%) -44,072 (-25.53%) -44,380 (-25.70%)
Predict Avg.27.14% 16.02% 12.38% 24.36% 7.80% 1.93% 0.00%
Ballot Round 0 43,698 (24.75%) 37,595 (21.29%) 32,609 (18.47%) 26,323 (14.91%) 22,473 (12.73%) 8,929 (5.06%) 1,000 (0.57%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 11/06/2017 00/00/0001
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (54 from 17 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg22.33%-- 16.86%-- 15.86%-- 19.13%-- 9.85%-- 3.86%-- 0.00%--
Emerson College 
01/30/20-02/02/20
28.00% 2.0 15.00% 5.0 14.00% 3.0 21.00% -- 11.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
01/28/20-02/02/20
22.00% -- 18.00% -- 19.00% -- 18.00% -- 9.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
David Binder Research 
01/28/20-01/30/20
17.00% 3.0 19.00% 3.0 15.00% 3.0 15.00% 9.0 11.00% -- 1.00% 2.0 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/27/20-01/30/20
23.00% -- 9.00% -- 15.00% -- 17.00% -- 16.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
01/26/20-01/29/20
28.00% 4.0 15.00% 2.0 21.00% 2.0 15.00% -- 8.00% 3.0 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Park Street Strategies (PSS) 
01/24/20-01/28/20
18.00% -- 17.00% -- 17.00% -- 20.00% -- 12.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Tom Steyer Others Mayor Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg Rep. Tulsi Gabbard Sen. Michael Bennet Gov. Deval L. Patrick Rep. John K. Delaney
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes413 (0.24%) 205 (0.12%) 20 (0.01%) 16 (0.01%) 4 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-45,418 (-26.31%) -45,626 (-26.43%) -45,811 (-26.53%) -45,815 (-26.54%) -45,827 (-26.54%) -45,831 (-26.54%) -45,831 (-26.54%)
Predict Avg.1.52% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ballot Round 0 3,054 (1.73%) 159 (0.09%) 215 (0.12%) 342 (0.19%) 164 (0.09%) 9 (0.01%) 0 (0.00%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2019 -- -- 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 07/28/2017
MATCHUP POLLS (54 from 17 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg3.27%-- 0.00%-- 1.17%-- 1.54%-- 0.31%-- 0.17%-- 0.52%--
Emerson College 
01/30/20-02/02/20
4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% 4.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0
Data for Progress 
01/28/20-02/02/20
4.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
David Binder Research 
01/28/20-01/30/20
3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
American Research Group 
01/27/20-01/30/20
3.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
01/26/20-01/29/20
2.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0
Park Street Strategies (PSS) 
01/24/20-01/28/20
4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Cory Booker (D)
 00, 2019 - Jan 00, 2020
Julián Castro (D)
 00, 2019 - Jan 00, 2020
Marianne Williamson (D)
 00, 2019 - Jan 00, 2020
Kamala Harris (D)
 00, 2019 - Dec 03, 2019
Steve Bullock (D)
 00, 2019 - Dec 02, 2019
Joseph A. Sestak (D)
 00, 2019 - Dec 01, 2019
Wayne M. Messam (D)
 00, 2019 - Nov 20, 2019
Beto O'Rourke (D)
 00, 2019 - Nov 01, 2019
Tim Ryan (D)
 00, 2019 - Oct 24, 2019
Bill de Blasio (D)
 00, 2019 - Sep 20, 2019
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
 00, 2019 - Aug 28, 2019
Seth Moulton (D)
 00, 2019 - Aug 23, 2019
Jay Inslee (D)
 00, 2019 - Aug 21, 2019
John Hickenlooper (D)
 00, 2019 - Aug 16, 2019
Mike Gravel (D)
 00, 2019 - Aug 06, 2019
Eric Swalwell (D)
 00, 2019 - Jul 08, 2019
Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu (D)
Feb 06, 2019
Richard Ojeda II (D)
Nov 12, 2018 - Jan 25, 2019
Stacey Abrams (D)
 00, 2019
Sherrod Brown (D)
 00, 2019
Eric Garcetti (D)
 00, 2019
Eric Holder (D)
 00, 2019
Terry McAuliffe (D)
 00, 2019
Nancy Pelosi (D)
 00, 2019
John Kerry (D)
Dec 07, 2018
Michael Avenatti (D)
Dec 04, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/26/2020 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Feel Good eng It's Time   00:00:30 RP 
01/15/2020 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng United  00:00:30 RP 
01/03/2020 Joe Biden TVAd Endorsement eng Enough  00:00:15 RP 
01/03/2020 Joe Biden TVAd Endorsement eng Integrity  00:00:30 RP 
01/03/2020 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng Soul  00:00:30 RP 
12/09/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Issue eng Wait  00:00:30 RP 
12/04/2019 vs Pete Buttigieg TVAd Contrast eng The Other Rhodes Scholar  00:00:30 EastTexasDem 
11/12/2019 John K. Delaney TVAd Mixed eng Real Solutions  00:28:32 RP 
11/09/2019 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Issue eng Refreshing  00:00:30 RP 
11/07/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Biography eng A New Way Forward  00:01:00 RP 
11/05/2019 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Feel Good eng Sun Comes Up  00:01:00 RP 
08/27/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Issue eng Personal  00:01:00 RP 
08/20/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Biography eng Bones  00:01:00 RP 
03/10/2019 vs TVAd Attack eng Pedigree  00:02:00 IndyGeorgia 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Feb 22, 2020 10:20am Election Guide Iowa Democrats will recount more than 20 caucus precincts  Article PA Indy 
Mar 06, 2019 02:00pm Speculative Iowa Dems could upend caucus tradition, consider letting delegates vote by app or phone  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION