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  VA Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Virginia > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 25, 2021 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open November 02, 2021 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 02, 2021 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 15, 2022 - 12:00pm
Term End January 17, 2026 - 12:00pm
ContributorBrentinCO
Last Modifiedmg2685a September 19, 2023 02:40pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description House of Delegates map includes Fairfax County districts as Fairfax allocated their absentees by precinct
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2017
NameRalph S. Northam Votes1,409,175 (53.90%)
Term01/13/2018 - 01/15/2022 Margin233,444 (+8.93%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 08, 2021 VA Governor - R Convention
Glenn Youngkin
R 12,554
Jun 08, 2021 VA Governor - D Primary
Terry McAuliffe
D 494,932
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/01/2019 11/02/2021
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Terry McAuliffe 16 13 ----
Glenn Youngkin 15 1 ----
Tossup 2 ------
Leaning Call: Terry McAuliffe (68.85%)
Weighted Call: Glenn Youngkin (56.14%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/02/2021 11/01/2021

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Glenn Youngkin Gov. Terry McAuliffe Princess Blanding (W) Write-In (W) Paul Davis  
PartyRepublican Democratic Liberation Nonpartisan Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1,663,158 (50.58%) 1,599,470 (48.64%) 23,107 (0.70%) 2,592 (0.08%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -63,688 (-1.94%) -1,640,051 (-49.87%) -1,660,566 (-50.50%) -1,663,158 (-50.58%)  
Predict Avg.42.05% 44.64% 1.32% 0.03% 0.11%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/0001 12/09/2020 01/00/2021 03/25/2021 03/25/2021  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (42 from 24 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.74%-- 45.82%-- 0.65%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Research Co. 
10/31/21-11/01/21
48.00% -- 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Targoz Market Research 
10/26/21-11/01/21
47.00% -- 50.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/29/21-10/31/21
49.40% 1.0 47.10% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
10/27/21-10/30/21
47.00% -- 45.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
10/27/21-10/29/21
49.00% -- 46.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Roanoke College 
10/14/21-10/28/21
47.00% 6.0 48.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/24/21-10/27/21
53.00% 7.0 45.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Washington Post-Schar School  
10/20/21-10/26/21
48.00% 1.0 49.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Christopher Newport University 
10/17/21-10/25/21
48.00% 3.0 49.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
10/21/21-10/24/21
45.20% -- 45.60% -- 1.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/22/21-10/23/21
49.00% 1.0 49.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/19/21-10/21/21
48.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Virginia Commonwealth University 
10/09/21-10/21/21
38.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/16/21-10/19/21
46.00% 3.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/11/21-10/13/21
48.40% 2.1 47.50% 0.9 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/10/21-10/13/21
46.00% -- 51.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Schoen Cooperman Research 
10/09/21-10/12/21
43.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/21-10/11/21
47.00% -- 50.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Christopher Newport University 
09/27/21-10/06/21
45.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/01/21-10/03/21
48.00% 3.0 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/26/21-09/29/21
44.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
09/22/21-09/26/21
43.00% 1.0 48.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Roanoke College 
09/12/21-09/26/21
41.00% 3.0 48.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Global Strategy Group (D) 
09/16/21-09/20/21
45.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/17/21-09/18/21
42.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Virginia Commonwealth University 
09/07/21-09/15/21
34.00% 3.0 43.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
09/13/21-09/14/21
45.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Mary Washington 
09/07/21-09/13/21
48.00% -- 43.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Washington Post-Schar School  
09/07/21-09/13/21
47.00% -- 50.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
08/30/21-09/02/21
48.00% 2.0 46.00% 2.0 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
08/26/21-08/29/21
46.30% 1.3 46.60% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
08/24/21-08/29/21
42.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Christopher Newport University 
08/15/21-08/23/21
41.00% -- 50.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
08/14/21-08/18/21
44.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Roanoke College 
08/03/21-08/17/21
38.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Virginia Commonwealth University 
08/04/21-08/15/21
37.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
08/08/21-08/09/21
45.00% 5.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
07/25/21-07/27/21
40.00% -- 45.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
07/08/21-07/10/21
45.00% -- 46.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Spry Strategies 
07/06/21-07/09/21
41.28% -- 46.39% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
JMC Analytics and Polling 
06/09/21-06/12/21
42.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
06/02/21-06/06/21
46.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Frankie Bowers (I)
Jan 21, 2021 - Jun 10, 2021
Timothy Phipps (CST)
Feb 23, 2021 - Jun 10, 2021
Denver Riggleman (I)
Jun 08, 2021
Brad Froman (I)
Feb 25, 2021 -  00, 2021
Amanda F. Chase (I)
Dec 05, 2020 - Dec 11, 2020

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/05/2021 Princess Blanding Interview Biography eng Interview with Liberation Party gubernatorial candidate Princess Blanding  00:05:11 data 
09/28/2021 vs Glenn Youngkin TVAd Attack eng Just the Facts  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2021 Terry McAuliffe vs Glenn Youngkin TVAd Attack eng Doctor  00:00:30 RP 
09/03/2021 Terry McAuliffe vs Glenn Youngkin TVAd Attack eng Seriously  00:00:30 RP 
08/09/2021 vs Glenn Youngkin TVAd Attack eng Enough  00:00:30 An_62190 
08/05/2021 Terry McAuliffe vs Glenn Youngkin Web Only Ad Contrast eng Our Future  00:00:30 An_62190 
07/29/2021 Terry McAuliffe Web Only Ad Issue eng Johnny  00:00:30 An_62190 
07/28/2021 Terry McAuliffe TVAd Issue eng Towns Like Ours  00:00:30 An_62190 
07/27/2021 Glenn Youngkin TVAd Defend eng Focused  00:00:30 RP 
07/27/2021 Glenn Youngkin TVAd Biography eng Honest Work  00:00:30 RP 
07/21/2021 Terry McAuliffe vs Glenn Youngkin TVAd Contrast eng Because of You  00:00:30 An_62190 
07/12/2021 Glenn Youngkin vs Terry McAuliffe TVAd Attack eng Exposed: Terry McAuliffe's Obsession with Donald Trump  00:00:30 An_62190 
07/08/2021 Princess Blanding TVAd Biography eng Liberation is a Human Right Not a Privilege: Princess Blanding Candidate for Governor  00:04:47 data 
06/22/2021 Glenn Youngkin TVAd Feel Good eng Building the Virginia Dream TOGETHER  00:00:30 data 
04/10/2021 Terry McAuliffe TVAd Endorsement eng Day One  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 25, 2021 05:45am News McAuliffe, Youngkin tied in Virginia governor race: poll  Article Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! 
Jul 12, 2021 09:15am Strategy GOP’s Youngkin Tries to Paint Democratic Opponent as Friend of Trump"  Article RP 
May 19, 2021 08:00pm News Chase says she supports Youngkin; does not plan to run as independent  Article BrentinCO 

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