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  NC US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2020 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 05:30am Central
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last Modifiedmg2685a December 14, 2023 09:42am
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameThomas "Thom" Tillis Votes1,423,259 (48.82%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin45,608 (+1.56%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 03, 2020 NC US Senate - D Primary
J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
D 1,261,045
Mar 03, 2020 NC US Senate - R Primary
Thomas "Thom" Tillis
R 779,858
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/24/2019 11/03/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Thomas "Thom" Tillis 6 2 ----
Tossup 3 ------
J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham 26 2 ----
Leaning Call: J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham (69.77%)
Weighted Call: J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham (96.68%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/31/2019 11/01/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Thomas "Thom" Tillis St. Sen. J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham Shannon Bray Kevin E. Hayes  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Constitution  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,665,598 (48.69%) 2,569,965 (46.94%) 171,571 (3.13%) 67,818 (1.24%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -95,633 (-1.75%) -2,494,027 (-45.55%) -2,597,780 (-47.45%)  
Predict Avg.47.91% 49.02% 1.15% 0.49%  
Cash On Hand $-- 10/14 $889,245.62 $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 00/00/2014 06/17/2019 12/11/2019 12/19/2019  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (105 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.11%-- 46.23%-- 2.01%-- 0.69%--  
Data for Progress 
10/27/20-11/01/20
46.00% 7.0 51.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 1.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/27/20-11/01/20
46.00% 1.0 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
FrederickPolls 
10/30/20-10/31/20
46.00% -- 50.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/20-10/31/20
47.20% 3.7 50.40% 5.8 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/22/20-10/31/20
42.50% 0.5 47.40% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
10/23/20-10/30/20
44.00% 2.0 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/04/2020 Shannon Bray Event Video Biography eng Shannon Bray, candidate for US Senate for North Carolina  00:04:47 data 
09/14/2020 Debate Mixed eng NC WCNC Debate  00:59:20 E Pluribus Unum 
07/09/2020 Thomas "Thom" Tillis TVAd Feel Good eng Humble  00:00:30 BrentinCO 
06/08/2020 Thomas "Thom" Tillis TVAd Biography eng Pay Day  00:00:30 RP 
11/01/2019 Thomas "Thom" Tillis TVAd Feel Good eng Brave: Thom Tillis  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Thomas "Thom" Tillis TVAd Endorsement eng Warrior  00:00:30 RP 
05/09/2019 vs Thomas "Thom" Tillis TVAd Attack eng Garland Tucker. Conservative. For Senate.  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS
Morning Consult's Senator Approval Rankings  Discuss

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 05, 2019 09:20am Editorial Thom Tillis’ terrible, no good and totally predictable bad day  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
50
Previous Messages]
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
x3
Tue, October 13, 2020 12:19:41 AM UTC0:00
knowing what we know now... Jackson would have had to finish out that 100 in 100 tour before mid-March or else it wasn't gonna happen.

"Obviously Chuck Schumer knew there was going to be a reason for people to go into windowless basements"

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Tue, October 13, 2020 01:07:12 AM UTC0:00
E, your anti-Schumer/anti-DSCC post doesn't exactly make Jackson look like the best guy, either. I mean, he had his own strategy to win and instead of running on it, he bowed down.

But, sure, party organization bad because you don't like Cal.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, October 13, 2020 01:19:37 AM UTC0:00
No its actually reverse, I would not GAF about Cal if the DSCC did not butt its nose in the election and pretty much force a candidate out of the race in favor of him.

Jackson did not run because running against the DSCC is pretty much impossible, especially given the raised stakes of the 5th most likely seat to flip.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, October 14, 2020 09:45:04 PM UTC0:00
I for one hope that every registered voter in this country votes on November 11 - Thom Tillis

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