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  KY US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Kentucky > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline February 01, 2020 - 04:30pm Central
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 05:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH March 10, 2024 12:28am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameMitch McConnell Votes806,787 (56.19%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin222,089 (+15.47%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 23, 2020 KY US Senate - R Primary
Mitch McConnell
R 413,820
Jun 23, 2020 KY US Senate - D Primary
Amy McGrath
D 544,062
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/13/2019 11/03/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mitch McConnell 5 7 15 6
Amy McGrath 1 ------
Leaning Call: Mitch McConnell (98.88%)
Weighted Call: Mitch McConnell (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/11/2019 11/01/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Majority Leader Mitch McConnell Amy McGrath Brad Barron (W) Paul John Frangedakis (W) Daniel Cobble (W) Randall Lee Teegarden (W) Harold H. Fitzpatrick
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Independent Republican Independent Independent Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 1,233,315 (57.77%) 816,257 (38.23%) 85,386 (4.00%) 70 (0.00%) 18 (0.00%) 9 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -417,058 (-19.53%) -1,147,929 (-53.77%) -1,233,245 (-57.76%) -1,233,297 (-57.76%) -1,233,306 (-57.76%) -1,233,314 (-57.76%)
Predict Avg.51.34% 43.38% 3.55% 0.02% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 9/30 $3,364,113.25 10/14 $14,750,484.00 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2018 07/09/2019 00/00/2019 08/07/2020 02/01/2020 06/22/2020 02/01/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 15 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg51.54%-- 38.90%-- 3.48%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Swayable 
10/23/20-11/01/20		 49.10% -- 46.30% -- 4.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/22/20-10/31/20		 51.10% 0.9 39.80% 2.8 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Bluegrass Community and Technical College 
10/16/20-10/28/20		 50.00% -- 39.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/19/20-10/20/20		 50.20% -- 39.90% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/15/20-10/17/20		 51.00% -- 42.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
09/14/20-09/20/20		 46.00% -- 39.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Bensq1
BEER WSNJ
R Maryland Republican
R CincinnatiReds1990
  Lexington Herald-Leader
D Campari_007
D Tristy100
R Ann Coulter 🔗
D samir7243_ATL
I BigBlake
R C. Wesley Morgan 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Demetra Jefferson Wysinger  
PartyIndependent  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1 (0.00%)  
Margin-1,233,314 (-57.76%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website  
Entry Date 02/01/2020  
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 15 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%--  
Swayable 
10/23/20-11/01/20		 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/22/20-10/31/20		 0.00% --
Bluegrass Community and Technical College 
10/16/20-10/28/20		 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/19/20-10/20/20		 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/15/20-10/17/20		 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
09/14/20-09/20/20		 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/12/2020 vs Amy McGrath TVAd Contrast eng The Real Democrat (30s)  00:00:30 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View All
10
Previous Messages]
 
R:10320Minnesota Populist ( 19.0033 points)
Tue, September 3, 2019 08:10:46 PM UTC0:00
Can't say I'd be sorry if Mitch lost his seat.
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
x2
Wed, November 6, 2019 03:02:21 PM UTC0:00
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
x2
Fri, July 10, 2020 11:59:26 PM UTC0:00
LOL, the Lincoln Projects response to the Ann Coulter endorsement of Amy McGrath

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Mon, July 13, 2020 11:41:22 PM UTC0:00
The GOP needs Cocaine Mitch especially if Joe Biden is President.....
 
D:391Qbanito ( 3054.5449 points)
Thu, July 16, 2020 08:44:24 PM UTC0:00
MSNBC just showed an internal poll for Amy McGrath by Garin Hart Yang Research Group, McConnell 45% McGrath 41%. Can't find the source online though.
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 02:18:34 AM UTC0:00
 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 325.8435 points)
Sat, October 24, 2020 02:29:33 PM UTC0:00
[Link]
 
D:6086Jason (11889.0225 points)
x2
Wed, November 4, 2020 01:27:55 AM UTC0:00
Congratulations to Mitch McConnell on winning his fourth term as President of the United States.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Fri, November 20, 2020 08:08:38 PM UTC0:00
this being a 2014-2020 change map, it doubles as a "what changed in all the other federal elections since 2014" map. In other words, McGrath doing better than Grimes in various larger cities but Mitch improving by 10-15-20% in East Kentucky and other places.
 
D:9642EastTexasDem ( 1194.2172 points)
Sat, November 21, 2020 07:23:36 AM UTC0:00
Not to mention Mitch McConnell's losing streak in Elliott County finally snapped.