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  ME US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Maine > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedCharlotte Rose November 19, 2021 11:38am
Data Sources[Link]
Statewide report results:
Collins: 417645, Gideon: 347223
Tabulation error for Portland City fixed as per data from VEST Team.
Description Ballot Labels:
Tiffany L. Bond: Moderate MaineRising Independent
Ian Kenton Engelman: Facts Matter
Douglas Fogg: Independent
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameSusan Collins Votes413,495 (68.46%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin223,251 (+36.96%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jul 14, 2020 ME US Senate - D Primary
Sara Gideon
D 162,681
Jul 14, 2020 ME US Senate - R Primary
Susan Collins
R 88,448
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/28/2018 11/03/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Sara Gideon 23 6 2 --
Susan Collins 4 ----5
Tossup 3 ------
Leaning Call: Sara Gideon (60.29%)
Weighted Call: Sara Gideon (89.31%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/04/2019 11/02/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Chairman Susan Margaret Collins St. Rep. Sara I. Gideon Lisa Savage Max Patrick Linn (W) Write-In (W) Ian Engelman (W) Doug Fogg
PartyRepublican Democratic Independent Independent Nonpartisan Independent Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 417,642 (50.98%) 347,241 (42.39%) 40,579 (4.95%) 13,508 (1.65%) 228 (0.03%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -70,401 (-8.59%) -377,063 (-46.03%) -404,134 (-49.33%) -417,414 (-50.95%) -417,642 (-50.98%) -417,642 (-50.98%)
Predict Avg.48.91% 45.19% 1.67% 0.80% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- 3/31 $4,649,182.50 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 12/18/2019 06/24/2019 00/00/2020 06/16/2020 00/00/2020 00/00/2020 00/00/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (27 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.26%-- 44.48%-- 4.11%-- 0.98%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Change Research 
10/29/20-11/02/20
42.00% -- 46.00% -- 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/20-10/31/20
46.00% -- 48.00% -- 5.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/23/20-10/27/20
45.00% -- 46.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Colby College 
10/21/20-10/25/20
43.40% -- 46.60% -- 4.70% -- 1.70% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pan Atlantic SMS 
10/02/20-10/06/20
39.80% 11.4 46.90% 17.8 5.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Critical Insights 
09/25/20-10/04/20
43.00% 8.0 44.00% 1.0 2.00% 3.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Tiffany Bond  
PartyModerate Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-417,642 (-50.98%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2020  
MATCHUP POLLS (27 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%--  
Change Research 
10/29/20-11/02/20
0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/20-10/31/20
0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/23/20-10/27/20
0.00% --
Colby College 
10/21/20-10/25/20
0.00% --
Pan Atlantic SMS 
10/02/20-10/06/20
0.00% --
Critical Insights 
09/25/20-10/04/20
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/11/2020 Max Linn Event Video Mixed eng Max Linn goes off script in Maine's Senatorial Debate with Susan Collins and Sara Gideon  00:01:45 data 
09/09/2020 Susan Collins TVAd Endorsement eng Lieberman  00:00:30 RP 
09/04/2020 Lisa Savage TVAd Issue eng Lisa for Maine: You Are Not Alone - Black Lives Matter  00:00:58 data 
08/03/2020 Max Linn vs Susan Collins TVAd Biography eng It's Official! Max Linn makes his decision on running for United States Senate for Maine.  00:10:25 data 
07/30/2020 Susan Collins TVAd Defend eng Character  00:01:00 RP 
07/30/2020 Susan Collins vs Sara Gideon TVAd Defend eng Wayne  00:00:30 RP 
07/29/2020 vs Susan Collins TVAd Attack eng Trump Stooge  00:01:00 RP 
07/24/2020 Susan Collins TVAd Issue eng Earned  00:01:00 RP 
07/20/2020 Susan Collins vs Sara Gideon TVAd Contrast eng Showing Up  00:00:30 RP 
07/16/2020 vs Sara Gideon Web Only Ad Attack eng Maine's Senate seat is #NotForSale  00:00:30 RP 
07/13/2020 Susan Collins vs Sara Gideon TVAd Contrast eng Does Another  00:00:30 RP 
07/13/2020 Susan Collins TVAd Issue eng Paula  00:00:30 RP 
02/16/2020 Lisa Savage TVAd Biography eng Lisa Savage For US Senate  00:04:30 data 
10/24/2019 Sara Gideon TVAd Feel Good eng Independence  00:00:30 RP 
10/17/2019 Sara Gideon TVAd Biography eng Maine First  00:01:02 RP 
08/12/2019 vs Susan Collins TVAd Attack eng Three Generations  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View All
70
Previous Messages]
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, October 23, 2020 04:07:17 PM UTC0:00
Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) told the New York Times that she briefly considered running for reelection as an independent but ultimately decided to stick with her party because of loyalty to “the New England brand of Republicanism.” - [Link]

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Thu, October 29, 2020 02:27:18 PM UTC0:00
Survey USA simulated the ranked choice ballot. Savage voters went for Gideon as their second choice by 3:1 while Linn voters were more evenly split (with big MOE on those tiny samples)

 
D:6086Jason (11889.0225 points)
Thu, October 29, 2020 03:51:57 PM UTC0:00
Simulated RCV poll had Gideon up 51-49. Not sure if site rules allow for its inclusion, but worth noting.

 
R:10345Bensq1 ( 74.6171 points)
Wed, November 4, 2020 06:24:33 PM UTC0:00
Gideon has conceded.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, November 4, 2020 06:26:47 PM UTC0:00
I'm concerned.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Wed, November 4, 2020 08:49:38 PM UTC0:00
Collins wins!

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
x3
Wed, November 4, 2020 08:52:15 PM UTC0:00
New England Republicanism still has life.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
x2 x2
Wed, November 4, 2020 09:51:09 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: New England Republicanism still has life.

Purely in name only. She's not going to pretend moderation anymore.

 
R:7501Maryland Republican ( 3667.0837 points)
Wed, November 4, 2020 10:25:02 PM UTC0:00
Absolutely agree. After all the money Schumer and National Democrats threw at her and assuming this is her last term, I think we see much less moderation.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Wed, November 4, 2020 10:40:47 PM UTC0:00
Maryland Republican: Absolutely agree. After all the money Schumer and National Democrats threw at her and assuming this is her last term, I think we see much less moderation.

So, her principles and veneer of moderation only existed when she wasn't challenged? That's adorable and good to know that how folk think.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
x2 x3
Thu, November 5, 2020 12:16:24 AM UTC0:00
Maryland Republican: Absolutely agree. After all the money Schumer and National Democrats threw at her and assuming this is her last term, I think we see much less moderation.

Totally disagree. She risked a primary challenge in 2014, in the midst of the tea party movement, and voted consistently in the center. Susan Collins is a centrist to her bones. She isn't going to become Kelly Loeffler now that she is in her last term.

 
R:10345Bensq1 ( 74.6171 points)
Fri, November 20, 2020 05:41:38 PM UTC0:00
Cd results represent percentages for now.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Wed, November 25, 2020 04:05:02 PM UTC0:00
I was never in the camp that the media got it all wrong in 2016, but they sure did this year.

 
R:10345Bensq1 ( 74.6171 points)
Sat, November 28, 2020 03:34:08 AM UTC0:00
CD 1 Gideon 48-45 CD 2 Collins 58-34

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