Huntsman is a stalking horse for the Chinese.

Wouldn't Huntsman's chances be greater if it was a GOP Primary & not a convention ?

There is a GOP primary, the convention doesn't really matter. Romney lost the GOP convention nomination last year, but still went on to win the primary.

I'm pretty sure Orin Hatch lost at least one Utah GOP convention.

Wouldn't Huntsman's chances be greater if it was a GOP Primary & not a convention ? Yes, as has been noted, current Utah law allows three possibilities. 1) Convention only route 2) Signature gathering for the primary 3) Both routes. The convention is getting increasingly unrepresentative and all serious candidates are taking the dual route.

Rob Bishop has opted against running for governor and instead has accepted the invitation to run for Lieutenant Governor with Thomas Wright. One of the powerful GOP house committee chairs is now running for the #2 spot on a longshot gubernatorial campaign. Big get for Wright; will be interesting to see how much it changes the dynamics of this race (which seems to be coming down to Huntsman vs. Cox)

I see Abby Huntsman recently quit ABC's "The View" to help her father's gubernatorial campaign.

I see Abby Huntsman recently quit ABC's "The View" to help her father's gubernatorial campaign. I like Abby, but it seems like she just eanted out of The View. A well known ex-mormon/anti-Trump moderate advising in a Utah Republican primary instead of being on the highest rated daytime political show?

There is an opening for Hughes here. He has gone all-in for Trump, which could give him an edge against the moderate Huntsman and the Trump-critical Cox.

Yet Hughes is at single digits in the new poll.

Yet Hughes is at single digits in the new poll. The poll also shows 30% of voters are undecided&fails to take into account that Hughes has a war chest to spend financially. I didn't say Hughes WOULD win, I said that the Trump factor+the high number of undecided voters give him a chance

Huntaman has only half of the required signatures for the primary ballot&until April 10th to get the rest. If he does not, his fate will be left in the hands of delegates (who narrowly defeated Mitt Romney and Gary Herbert at convention.) With the coronavirus pandemic, there is a greater than 50% chance Huntsman won't even be on the ballot. Changing my prediction from slight Huntsman to strong Cox (who also has led the state coronavirus task force to much acclaim.)

Cox and Wright have qualified for the primary via signatures, but will participate at the convention. There is a possibility either could wipe out the convention-only candidates (Hughes, Winder-Newton, Burningham, and probably Huntsman.) I believe Hughes is a slight favorite at convention, as he has embraced Trump like no other candidate. The convention is online, though. Also, since there was no caucus to select delegates for the convention, candidate efforts to get their supporters as delegates were for nothing: it will be 2018 delegates once again.

yeah, I really have no idea how the Utah process is gonna play out with how they're having to modify conventions They probably didn't have enough time/willingness to change things but if any year would kill the concept of state party conventions, this would be the year.

yeah, I really have no idea how the Utah process is gonna play out with how they're having to modify conventions They probably didn't have enough time/willingness to change things but if any year would kill the concept of state party conventions, this would be the year. The timing is an issue, but the willingness is a killer. Herbert supports Cox. Why would he take any action to benefit his main rival?

Kyle, you don't expect the signature requirements to be reduced due to COVID-19?

Kyle, you don't expect the signature requirements to be reduced due to COVID-19? Herbert is allowing electronic signature gathering, but there is no indication he will do anything else. The only hope is from Jan Garbett, who is preparing a lawsuit to reduce signature requirements.

Are these polls for the Convention or the Primary?

Mike Lee appears set to endorse Huntsman. Big for Huntsman should he not gather signatures and only go the convention route (where Lee is beloved by delegates.)

Wow, and even after Huntsman Sr. called Lee an embarrassment a few years ago.

Note for those who are predicting (I just realized this): This container is the convention, which is unrepresentative of the overall population and which very likely will produce a significantly different result than the polls (ie Hughes will vastly over perform at the convention relative to the current primary results for a myriad of reasons.)

Which is why I asked a while back. The polls don't belong here.

Which is why I asked a while back. The polls don't belong here. My apologies. I didn't see your post or pay attention to the container name. Should I redesignate this as the primary (to maintain the polls) and create a new convention race?

Probably, but maybe the some of the people doing leaning predictions were predicting the convention.

Huntaman has only half of the required signatures for the primary ballot&until April 10th to get the rest. Looks like he made it - https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2020/04/13/jon-huntsman-qualifies/