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  LA Governor - Initial Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Louisiana > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline August 08, 2019 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open October 12, 2019 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close October 12, 2019 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 13, 2020 - 12:00pm
Term End January 10, 2024 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedBrentinCO March 30, 2022 10:04am
Data Sources[Link]
Description If no candidate wins a majority, a runoff election will be held on November 16th.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/21/2015
NameJohn Bel Edwards Votes646,924 (56.11%)
Term01/11/2016 - 01/13/2020 Margin140,984 (+12.23%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/16/2019
NameJohn Bel Edwards Votes774,498 (51.33%)
Term01/13/2020 - 01/08/2024 Margin40,212 (+2.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceLA Governor - Runoff 11/16/2019
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/22/2018 10/12/2019
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John Bel Edwards 4 3 4 11
Ralph Abraham 1 ------
Leaning Call: John Bel Edwards (98.51%)
Weighted Call: John Bel Edwards (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/11/2018 10/08/2019

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo  
Name (I) Gov. John Bel Edwards Eddie Rispone Rep. Ralph Abraham Oscar "Omar" Dantzler Patrick "Live Wire" Landry Gary Coldewy Landrieu  
PartyDemocratic Republican Republican Democratic Republican Louisiana Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 625,970 (46.59%) 368,319 (27.42%) 317,149 (23.61%) 10,993 (0.82%) 10,966 (0.82%) 10,084 (0.75%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -257,651 (-19.18%) -308,821 (-22.99%) -614,977 (-45.77%) -615,004 (-45.78%) -615,886 (-45.84%)  
Predict Avg.51.20% 15.60% 29.00% 0.62% 0.62% 1.17%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 01/22/2019 10/00/2018 12/06/2018 08/06/2019 08/06/2019 01/30/2019  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (14 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.26%-- 20.72%-- 20.18%-- 0.13%-- 1.22%-- 1.26%--  
JMC Analytics and Polling 
10/05/19-10/08/19
43.00% 5.0 21.00% 14.0 20.00% 3.0 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% --
Emerson College 
10/04/19-10/07/19
48.00% -- 25.00% -- 19.00% -- 1.00% -- 3.00% -- 4.00% --
Market Research Insight 
10/01/19-10/07/19
51.00% -- 19.00% -- 19.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/01/19-10/04/19
45.00% -- 22.00% -- 17.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 4.00% --
JMC Analytics and Polling 
09/19/19-09/21/19
48.00% -- 22.00% -- 20.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Remington Research 
09/10/19-09/11/19
45.00% 3.0 19.00% 11.0 27.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
John Fleming (R)
 00, 2019
Garret Graves (R)
Dec 04, 2018
R. L. "Bret" Allain II (R)
Dec 03, 2018
John N. Kennedy (R)
Dec 03, 2018
Jeff Landry (R)
Nov 14, 2018
Steve J. Scalise (R)
 00, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/30/2019 John Bel Edwards TVAd Endorsement eng Bipartisan  00:00:30 RP 
09/24/2019 Ralph Abraham vs John Bel Edwards TVAd Attack eng It Ends  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 vs John Bel Edwards TVAd Attack eng Change  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 John Bel Edwards TVAd Defend eng Serve and Protect  00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2019 vs John Bel Edwards TVAd Attack eng Time  00:00:30 RP 
09/06/2019 Eddie Rispone TVAd Mixed eng Home  00:01:00 RP 
09/06/2019 Ralph Abraham vs John Bel Edwards TVAd Attack eng Louisiana Is Dead Last  00:00:30 RP 
09/03/2019 John Bel Edwards TVAd Defend eng Four Years Ago  00:00:30 RP 
09/03/2019 John Bel Edwards TVAd Biography eng Highest  00:00:30 RP 
08/30/2019 Eddie Rispone vs John Bel Edwards TVAd Attack eng Play to Win  00:00:30 RP 
08/28/2019 vs John Bel Edwards TVAd Attack eng Only One  00:00:30 RP 
08/27/2019 John Bel Edwards TVAd Issue eng Thousands  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2019 Ralph Abraham TVAd Issue eng The Truth  00:00:30 RP 
08/13/2019 vs Ralph Abraham TVAd Attack eng Broken Promise  00:00:30 RP 
08/13/2019 vs Eddie Rispone TVAd Attack eng hony Rispone  00:00:30 RP 
08/05/2019 John Bel Edwards TVAd Issue eng Every Child  00:00:30 RP 
08/05/2019 Eddie Rispone TVAd Issue eng So Easy  00:00:30 RP 
01/22/2019 John Bel Edwards Candidacy Announcement Biography eng John Bel Edwards for Governor 2019  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Dec 03, 2018 01:00pm News And Now…Eddie Rispone For Governor?  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
52
Previous Messages]
 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
x3
Fri, February 1, 2019 05:48:07 PM UTC0:00
In the politically polarized environment of today, 2019 will be an interesting case study. In Kentucky an unpopular GOP incumbent is running for reelection, while in Mississippi the popular Democrat AG is running for governor, and in Louisiana a popular democrat is running for reelection.

 
G:1028BR_Green ( 245.6446 points)
Fri, February 1, 2019 05:53:52 PM UTC0:00
I think Edwards has a pretty good shot. I'm from Louisiana and I hardly ever hear anything negative about him. Including from Republican family members, and some of them are considering voting for him.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, February 1, 2019 07:06:20 PM UTC0:00
BR_Green: It is Louisiana John Bel Edwards is almost certainly the most progressive candidate running.

Comparitlvley, though I'm still holding out for a more ideologically Progressive/Leftist candidate (that won't win) to endorse. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
x2
Fri, February 1, 2019 08:10:15 PM UTC0:00
I mean, as long as you acknowledge that you're choosing ideology over even the slimmest chance of progress, we're cool.

 
G:1028BR_Green ( 245.6446 points)
Sun, February 3, 2019 09:55:39 PM UTC0:00
Should we remove Jindal and Georges? I don't think there is any speculation that they are running at this time.

 
G:1028BR_Green ( 245.6446 points)
Sun, February 3, 2019 10:02:28 PM UTC0:00
I'm also pretty sure Georges is a Democrat now.

 
G:1028BR_Green ( 245.6446 points)
Sun, February 3, 2019 10:08:20 PM UTC0:00
Nope he is still an independent since 2010 I think. oops

 
G:1028BR_Green ( 245.6446 points)
Sun, February 3, 2019 10:21:48 PM UTC0:00
Ok it appears he is actually a Republican again. He was a Republican prior to 2007 then an Independent until 2010 and again a Republican since 2017. He considered running in the 2015 election as a Democrat, but I have found nothing online referencing a 2019 run thus far.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, March 12, 2019 04:26:37 AM UTC0:00

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, May 18, 2019 02:52:13 AM UTC0:00
This is why I swipe Left on Edwards

[Link]

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, May 18, 2019 04:10:02 AM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: This is why I swipe Left on Edwards

[Link]
Who makes you swipe right

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
x2 x2
Sat, May 18, 2019 11:51:15 AM UTC0:00
Bernie Sanders, challengers to “the establishment,” and candidates who otherwise lack mass appeal or who can only win in Vermont or Manhattan.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, May 18, 2019 03:01:11 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Who makes you swipe right
The Bernie Sanders Style Progressives/Social Democrats/Populist Leftists (Ro Khanna, AOC, Richard Ojeda).

Their top platform planks usually consist of: Medicare-For-All, Fighting Climate Change, Legalizing Weed, Ending The Wars, and Campaign Finance Reform.

 
D:7918Labour Dem ( 228.9742 points)
x2
Sat, May 18, 2019 03:27:02 PM UTC0:00
While it's not ideal that Edwards signed that bill at least he is pro-Medicaid in a state that greatly needs it.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, May 18, 2019 05:38:14 PM UTC0:00
Labour Dem: While it's not ideal that Edwards signed that bill at least he is pro-Medicaid in a state that greatly needs it.

Every Blue Dog throws a bone to the Left Once in a while. Its not enough for me to look over their flaws

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Sat, May 18, 2019 07:06:38 PM UTC0:00
A bone from a Blue Dog is better than nothing from a candidate who can’t hit 1% in the election or a Republican.

 
D:8255My Congressman is a Weiner ( -19.7986 points)
Sat, May 18, 2019 07:09:55 PM UTC0:00
It’s Louisiana. You have to apply a sliding scale to some political label depending on where you are.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, May 20, 2019 06:08:07 AM UTC0:00
My Congressman is a Weiner: It’s Louisiana. You have to apply a sliding scale to some political label depending on where you are.

Lets call a spade a spade. Edwards=Conservative=No endorsement from me

 
I:10305Sergeant Hooker ( 122.9027 points)
Wed, June 19, 2019 06:01:24 PM UTC0:00
Why is Jindal mentioned as a candidate ?

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, June 19, 2019 08:48:39 PM UTC0:00
Sergeant Hooker: Why is Jindal mentioned as a candidate ?

Was once mentioned in a “credible” source as a potential candidate. Usually we provide the link.

This article came up when I googled Bobby Jindal 2019 [Link]

 
I:10305Sergeant Hooker ( 122.9027 points)
Thu, June 20, 2019 04:13:55 PM UTC0:00
He is delusional if he thinks Louisianans will want him back considering he left with a dismal 30% approval rating.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Thu, September 12, 2019 10:54:47 PM UTC0:00
obvious shenanigans going on with pollsters ignoring Live Wire

 
D:9362An_62190 ( 651.5887 points)
Sun, September 29, 2019 04:39:14 PM UTC0:00
?s=20

So far, mail ballots don't look too good for the Dems but this may be republicans voting for John Bel Edwards. Also according to Couvillon, the African American turnout in mail ballots is down 4% from 29% in 2015 to 25% this year.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, September 29, 2019 06:47:57 PM UTC0:00
What are the rules for mail-in? Can they be cast up to election day or is there a cut-off before election day?

 
D:9642EastTexasDem ( 1194.2172 points)
Sun, October 13, 2019 06:35:29 AM UTC0:00
Was hoping JBE could avoid a runoff, but that was always a pipe dream. I wouldn't say his vote share was *too* disappointing, as he did about as well as the polls said he would, but I was hoping for at least 48%. He still has a chance, but I'm bracing myself for a Rispone win here. I don't agree with Edwards on abortion, but I still like seeing a Democratic statewide official elected in the South.

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