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  US House Control
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. House of Representatives
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia November 18, 2018 11:56am
Data Sources
Description
MAP
World Countries Map MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/08/2018 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Democratic Party Control 8 4 ----
Republican Party Control --1 ----
Leaning Call: Democratic Party Control (88.89%)
Weighted Call: Democratic Party Control (100.19%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Democratic Party Control (I) Republican Party Control  
PartyDemocratic Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (99.31% in)232 (53.70%) 200 (46.30%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -32 (-7.41%)  
Estimated Final233 (53.69%) 201 (46.31%)  
Predict Avg.54.00% 44.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date -- --  
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MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
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VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS
FiveThirtyEight Forecasting the race for the House  Discuss
Scott Rasmussen 2018 House Race Analysis  Discuss

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 07, 2018 12:00pm Analysis How the House Fell: Republican Chaos and Democratic Focus  Article IndyGeorgia 
Oct 31, 2018 10:10am News Pelosi declares victory before Election Day  Article PA Indy 
Oct 20, 2018 10:00pm News GOP zeroes in on Minnesota in fight for House control  Article BrentinCO 
Oct 16, 2018 06:05pm General ‘We’re getting our asses kicked’: Republicans massively out-raised in election homestretch  Article IndyGeorgia 
Sep 06, 2018 04:00pm Poll Live From the Battleground Districts: Polls of the Key Races for House Control   Article RP 
Aug 16, 2018 11:30pm Analysis Forecasting the race for the House  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
11
Previous Messages]
 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 87.1026 points)
Sun, November 4, 2018 05:05:53 PM UTC0:00
I believe 84 is the record.
In the new Congress, do you believe there will be at least 100 elected women in the House of Representatives?
Yes 6 (100%)
No 0 (0%)
6 Votes Cast
View User Votes
Polls Close November 06, 2018 05:00pm

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 11.2748 points)
Mon, November 5, 2018 04:15:59 PM UTC0:00
McMorris Rodgers won't lose in WA-05.

 
LBT:10179RKB ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, November 5, 2018 08:21:01 PM UTC0:00
She likely wishes she were so confident. Her entire campaign has been in desperation mode for months. Republican though the 5th may be, she lacks the deep loyalty that would otherwise carry the day because she comes off as a cold fish.

 
D:1RP ( 3598.5261 points)
x2
Mon, November 5, 2018 08:58:37 PM UTC0:00

 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 195.5159 points)
Mon, November 5, 2018 10:29:26 PM UTC0:00
If the Democrats win the House with 230 seats to the Republicans 205 seats, that makes it a LEAN prediction on this site (more than 4%)

If you think the Democrats will win 226 to the Repbulicans 209 thats makes is a SLIGHT prediction.

Upping my prediction to Lean since i think the Democrats will win in the 230 range.


 
I:9626Bojicat ( -47.3311 points)
Tue, November 6, 2018 06:31:44 PM UTC0:00
Fuss over chicken feed.

U.S. House = Ineffectual, inconsequent, insignificant. America's vox nihili chamber.

A two-year long exhibition from media larks, party hacks and partisans hungry to one-up the other guy - all for the prize of empty wooden horse.

A display of panem et circenses for the ignorami, which (thankfully) ends this week.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 1674.2472 points)
Wed, November 7, 2018 04:08:57 AM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 3598.5261 points)
Wed, November 14, 2018 07:05:12 PM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 3598.5261 points)
Wed, November 14, 2018 08:25:03 PM UTC0:00




Biggest swing towards Democrats:
Rural 18-29 year olds

Only swing toward Republicans:
Urban 45-64 year olds

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 11.2748 points)
Wed, November 14, 2018 08:29:53 PM UTC0:00
Nice.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 2952.3037 points)
Wed, November 14, 2018 09:32:57 PM UTC0:00
Barack Obama and Donald Trump have created alot of young Democrats.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 2952.3037 points)
Wed, November 14, 2018 10:14:36 PM UTC0:00
People tend to keep their ideology as they get older - this pattern will make the electorate about 1.6 points more Democratic every 2 years.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 2952.3037 points)
Wed, November 14, 2018 11:35:43 PM UTC0:00
You can look at data going back to 1994 and it shows that there's not much change in how liberal or conservative each generation is over time. Each generation is less conservative / more liberal than the one before it, however, which is why the trend in favor of Democrats will continue. [Link]