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  UK Prime Minister
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > Government
OfficePrime Minister
HonorificPrime Minister - Abbr: PM
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open December 12, 2019 - 01:05am Central
Polls Close December 12, 2019 - 04:05pm Central
Term Start December 13, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End September 06, 2022 - 06:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedBrentinCO September 05, 2022 08:59am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyConservative Won07/24/2019
NameBoris Johnson Votes1 (100.00%)
Term07/24/2019 - 06/09/2022 Margin1 (+100.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyConservative Won09/06/2022
NameElizabeth "Liz" Truss Votes1 (100.00%)
Term09/06/2022 - 10/25/2022 Margin1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/23/2019 12/12/2019
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jo Swinson 1 ------
Boris Johnson 1 1 3 --
Leaning Call: Boris Johnson (92.31%)
Weighted Call: Boris Johnson (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) PM Boris Johnson MP Jeremy Corbyn First Minister Nicola Sturgeon Party Leader Jo Swinson First Minister Arlene Foster Party Leader Mary Lou McDonald Party Leader Adam Price
PartyConservative Labour Scottish National Liberal Democrats Democratic Unionist Sinn Féin Plaid Cymru
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 365 (56.33%) 202 (31.17%) 46 (7.10%) 11 (1.70%) 8 (1.24%) 7 (1.08%) 4 (0.62%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -163 (-25.15%) -319 (-49.23%) -354 (-54.63%) -357 (-55.09%) -358 (-55.25%) -361 (-55.71%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Party Leader Colum Eastwood Siân Berry MLA Naomi Long Speaker Others Party Leader Steve Aiken Party Leader Patricia Mountain
PartySocial Democratic and Labour Green Alliance Speaker Independent Ulster Unionist UK Independence
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2 (0.31%) 1 (0.15%) 1 (0.15%) 1 (0.15%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-363 (-56.02%) -364 (-56.17%) -364 (-56.17%) -364 (-56.17%) -365 (-56.33%) -365 (-56.33%) -365 (-56.33%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019 00/00/2019
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 2 MORE CANDIDATES


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Dec 06, 2019 08:00am Endorsement Sir John Major calls on voters to back candidates running against the Conservatives  Article RP 
Nov 07, 2019 05:00pm Endorsement Two former Labour MPs urge voters to back Boris Johnson  Article IndyGeorgia 
Dec 14, 2018 08:25am Strategy EU leaders vow to press on with 'no-deal' Brexit plans  Article RP 
Dec 13, 2018 12:20pm News Theresa May won't lead Conservatives into next election  Article BrentinCO 
Dec 13, 2018 08:00am Commentary Brexit Britain: Small, boring and stupid  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
33
Previous Messages]
 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x3
Wed, December 12, 2018 09:19:14 PM UTC0:00
How long will May last as PM ?

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Thu, December 13, 2018 01:01:52 AM UTC0:00
not sure another British general election is really all that much fun after having them in 2015 and 2017

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Wed, July 17, 2019 01:19:20 AM UTC0:00

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
Tue, October 29, 2019 10:33:07 PM UTC0:00
The Spanish Curse:

"This will be the third time in four years that the country will hold a general election.

British voters have had their say in some sort of election every single year for the past five years:

-May 2019: European Parliament election (some parts of the UK also held local council elections)

-May 2018: Local council elections in England

-June 2017: General election

-June 2016: Brexit referendum

-May 2015: General election

-September 2014: Scottish independence referendum"

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
Tue, October 29, 2019 11:04:29 PM UTC0:00
A real conundrum or opportunity this time around for the LibDems.

Though they've sat off the beaten track in a demilitarized zone since the Paddy Ashdown glory years, they have a chance this December to stomp into Parliament with a bigger foot by mobilizing true-blue Remainers.

The conundrum is that we've heard all this hubbub before, in the run-up to the election of 2017. The result that year: the LibDem's vote share dropped even further - to a mortifying 7.4%.

Perhaps Jo Swinson's leadership (and Corbyn's lack of) will make a difference this time.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, October 30, 2019 03:49:11 AM UTC0:00
Seems like this election will be fought exclusively on Brexit. A defacto referendum.

Cons - Leave YES, Give Boris a Mandate to Leave with a good deal
Lib Dems - Leave NO, we are the only party that will keep Britain in Europe
Brexit Party - Leave YES, and you can't trust the Tories to follow through
SNP - Leave NO, Protect Scottish Interests or Scotlands place in Europe

and

Labour - Leave YES, well sorta, and the Tories can't be trusted to put together a good deal, and the people should vote on the deal, and some of us don't agree with Leaving. <- Confusing, and a problem.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, October 30, 2019 06:47:48 PM UTC0:00
The official Labour Party Position on Brexit is REMAIN. During the EU elections they advocated a permanent Customs union with the EU as it looked like Brexit was imminent. But now that there's a chance to not do it, they advocate for the Lib Dems Idea of a Second Referendum.

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0786 points)
Wed, October 30, 2019 10:36:29 PM UTC0:00
If no party receives a majority, is it likely that Labor, Lib Dems, and SNP form a coalition for the purpose of preventing a Brexit?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, October 30, 2019 11:17:31 PM UTC0:00
Maybe Labour and SNP, as their leaders have been talking, but no Lib Dems

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0786 points)
Wed, October 30, 2019 11:22:16 PM UTC0:00
So politically Lib Dems are closer to Conservatives than Labor on many issues?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, October 30, 2019 11:38:23 PM UTC0:00
Lib Dems are Center to Center-Left in regards to ideology. They might be slightly closer to Labour's Democratic Socialist Ideology but try to push themselves as the enlightened centrists and will be hesitent to join. (If Blair was still head of Labour, maybe...)

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0786 points)
Wed, October 30, 2019 11:53:06 PM UTC0:00
Thanks for the information!

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, October 31, 2019 01:23:38 AM UTC0:00
Also there are a couple candidates I'm seeing named so when do we go about adding constituency races?

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Thu, October 31, 2019 02:12:20 AM UTC0:00
Hey E Pluribus Unum,

Once you close out the existing races by changing the Term End date to December 12, 2019 at 12:00PM, a new race can be created. I've closed out the Northern Ireland races and have created a race for East Antrim that can be used as a template: [Link] . I put the Term Start date for the 13th at 12AM.

If you're adding candidates, it would be helpful to add the parties of major candidates to those races so we can track and better manage which races are still missing candidates prior to the filing deadline.

Thanks for any help! If you have any questions, feel free to post.

P.S. Since the UK is made up of four countries, you may have to find a candidate by clicking "View Out of Country". All depends on whether that candidate is listed as being from the UK or being from England/Wales/Scotland/Northern Ireland.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, November 19, 2019 11:58:30 PM UTC0:00

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, November 20, 2019 04:33:52 AM UTC0:00
The gaps are pretty remarkable on those last three.

Corbyn is in touch with ordinary people, but he's not likeable or Prime Ministerial.

or if you prefer...

Johnson is not trustworthy, but is likeable and Prime Ministerial.


Anyway looks like this race is quickly settling back to a Labour vs. Tory race. The hope for the Lib Dems to over take either of the other two or the new Brexit party of making a smash seem to be fading.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sat, December 7, 2019 05:39:51 AM UTC0:00
Jeremy Corbyn is the most unpopular leader of a major party heading into an election since the data was first recorded in the 1983. (-44%) Michael Foote was (-39%) in 1983 versus Thatcher.

If Boris Johnson wins, he'll win with the 2nd worst popularity ratings on record. (-20%). Blair won a majority in 2005 with (-25%) versus Michael Howard.

[Link]

 
D:2109Ashley ( 5514.9624 points)
Thu, December 12, 2019 10:35:12 PM UTC0:00
“The Conservatives could have a majority of 368 seats in the House of Commons, according to an exit poll of the 2019 general election.

Labour would get 191 seats, the SNP 55 and the Liberal Democrats 13, suggests the joint poll from BBC News, ITV News and Sky News.”

[Link]

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