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  PA District 16
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > PA - District 16
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline February 20, 2018 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 69.26% Registered 40.60% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 11, 2018 03:54pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description 2016 Presidential Election Results:
-Trump: 57.9%
-Clinton: 37.9%
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameLloyd K. Smucker Votes168,669 (53.76%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin34,083 (+10.86%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameGeorge J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. Votes210,088 (59.34%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin66,126 (+18.68%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 15, 2018 PA District 16 - R Primary
George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr.
R 39,412
May 15, 2018 PA District 16 - D Primary
Ronald A. DiNicola
D 39,152
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
10/18/2017 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. 3 6 4 --
Ronald A. DiNicola 1 ------
Leaning Call: George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. (96.43%)
Weighted Call: George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. (99.98%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/21/2018 10/30/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Rep. George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. Ronald A. DiNicola Cty Brd. Ebert G. "Bill" Beeman  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 135,348 (51.58%) 124,109 (47.30%) 2,939 (1.12%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -11,239 (-4.28%) -132,409 (-50.46%)  
Predict Avg.55.00% 43.00% 2.00%  
Cash On Hand 10/17 $869,328.12 10/17 $245,624.12 $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 08/01/2017 03/00/2018 --  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.26%-- 45.82%-- 0.00%--  
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/29/18-10/30/18		 47.00% -- 51.00% -- 0.00% --
DCCC 
10/09/18-10/10/18		 49.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/05/18-10/08/18		 50.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 
06/05/18-06/07/18		 50.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/21/18-05/22/18		 48.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/01/2018 vs George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. TVAd Attack eng Kelly Kickback  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/23/2018 vs Ronald A. DiNicola TVAd Attack eng Crime Paid  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/05/2018 Ronald A. DiNicola TVAd Biography eng DiNicola Tough  00:00:30 RP 
08/29/2018 George J. "Mike" Kelly Jr. TVAd Issue eng Touts Tax Reform Helping Western PA Business  00:00:30 RP 

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