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  NM District 02
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New Mexico > NM - District 02
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 15, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 51.57% Registered 32.86% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH November 27, 2018 01:55pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameSteve Pearce Votes143,514 (62.72%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin58,282 (+25.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameYvette Herrell Votes142,283 (53.70%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin19,737 (+7.45%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 10, 2018 NM District 02 - D Convention
Xochitl Torres Small
D 10,000
Jun 05, 2018 NM District 02 - R Primary
Yvette Herrell
R 32,700
Jun 05, 2018 NM District 02 - D Primary
Xochitl Torres Small
D 34,972
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/17/2017 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Yvette Herrell 5 2 --1
Xochitl Torres Small 6 2 ----
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Yvette Herrell (54.17%)
Weighted Call: Xochitl Torres Small (60.95%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/07/2018 11/01/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Xochitl Torres Small St. Rep. Yvette Herrell  
PartyDemocratic Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 101,489 (50.93%) 97,767 (49.07%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -3,722 (-1.87%)  
Predict Avg.46.00% 54.00%  
DylanSH9947.00% (+2.20 pts) 53.00% (+2.06 pts)
Luzerne County Historian45.00% (+0.86 pts) 55.00% (+0.72 pts)
Cash On Hand 9/30 $1,085,381.25 9/30 $419,124.25  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website]  
Entry Date 01/17/2018 07/11/2017  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.34%-- 45.16%--  
Research & Polling Inc. (Albuquerque Journal) 
10/26/18-11/01/18		 45.00% 4.0 46.00% 2.0
Carroll Strategies 
10/29/18-10/29/18		 42.00% -- 47.00% --
Emerson College 
10/24/18-10/26/18		 47.00% -- 47.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/19/18-10/23/18		 45.45% 0.5 45.51% 0.5
Tarrance Group (R) 
09/30/18-10/02/18		 45.00% -- 49.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/14/18-09/18/18		 46.00% -- 45.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D samir7243_ATL
  Albuquerque Journal
D BLUEDOGS
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/18/2018 Xochitl Torres Small TVAd Biography eng Fix  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/12/2018 Yvette Herrell vs Xochitl Torres Small TVAd Contrast eng Don't Give her a Shot  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/12/2018 vs Xochitl Torres Small TVAd Attack eng Golden Years  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/12/2018 Xochitl Torres Small vs Yvette Herrell TVAd Endorsement eng Hometown  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/12/2018 vs Xochitl Torres Small TVAd Attack eng Priorities  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/12/2018 vs Yvette Herrell TVAd Attack eng We Paid For It  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/02/2018 Xochitl Torres Small TVAd Biography eng Hunt  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/12/2018 Yvette Herrell TVAd Biography eng Reality Check  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/11/2018 vs Yvette Herrell TVAd Attack eng Trust  00:00:31 RP 
08/29/2018 Xochitl Torres Small TVAd Issue eng Life  00:00:30 RP 
05/21/2018 Yvette Herrell TVAd Biography eng Proven  00:00:30 RP 
05/11/2018 Yvette Herrell TVAd Biography eng Meet Yvette  00:00:30 RP 

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