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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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NY District 27
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| Parents |
> United States > New York > NY - District 27
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| Office | House of Representatives |
| Honorific | Representative - Abbr: Rep. |
| Type | General Election |
| Filing Deadline | April 12, 2018 - 04:00pm Central |
| Polls Open | November 06, 2018 - 05:00am Central |
| Polls Close | November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central |
| Term Start | January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm |
| Term End | October 01, 2019 - 12:00pm |
| Turnout |
64.83% Registered
43.60% Total Population
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Modified | RP September 30, 2019 01:09pm |
| Data Sources | [Link] |
| Description |
Collins suspended his active campaign in August but was unable to be removed from the ballot.
Term End due to resignation before pleading guilty to insider trading. - [Link]
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CANDIDATES |
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| Photo |  |
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| Name |
(I) Rep.
Chris Collins |
Supervisor
Nathan D. McMurray |
Larry Piegza |
(W)
Write-In |
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| Party | Republican |
Democratic |
Reform |
Unknown |
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| Campaign Logo | |
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| Certified Votes |  140,146 (49.12%) |
139,059 (48.74%) |
5,973 (2.09%) |
122 (0.04%) |
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| Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-1,087 (-0.38%) |
-134,173 (-47.03%) |
-140,024 (-49.08%) |
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| Fusion Votes |
| R | Republican | 114,506 |
| C | Conservative | 23,553 |
| IDP | Independence | 2,087 |
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| D | Democratic | 128,167 |
| WFP | Working Families | 8,090 |
| WEP | Women's Equality | 2,802 |
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| Predict Avg. | 48.67% |
41.33% |
10.00% |
0.00% |
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| Cash On Hand |
6/30 $1,341,644.62
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10/17 $428,690.12
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10/17 $227,051.88
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$--
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| Website |
[Website]
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[Campaign Site]
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| Entry Date |
08/12/2018
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00/00/2017
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00/00/2017
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04/12/2018
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| Bar | |
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| Adj Poll Avg | 42.86% -- |
40.97%-- |
1.84%-- |
0.00%-- |
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Dixie Strategies
10/29/18-10/30/18 |
45.00% -- |
38.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Siena Research Institute
10/24/18-10/29/18 |
44.00%  2.0 |
40.00% 3.0 |
0.00% 1.0 |
0.00% -- |
Tulchin Research
10/25/18-10/28/18 |
43.00% -- |
47.00% -- |
4.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Siena Research Institute
10/06/18-10/11/18 |
46.00% -- |
43.00% -- |
1.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Tulchin Research
10/06/18-10/08/18 |
42.00% -- |
42.00% -- |
6.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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| Endorsements | |
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Purchase |
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| INFORMATION LINKS |
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| DISCUSSION |
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| [View All 40 Previous Messages] |
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 D:7918 | Labour Dem ( 228.9742 points)
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Mon, August 13, 2018 10:29:55 PM UTC0:00
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Carl Paladino declared that he is running but it doesn't appear that the Republican Party has selected him or anyone else as their replacement. He shouldn't be here yet.
Carl Paladino declared that he is running but it doesn't appear that the Republican Party has selected him or anyone else as their replacement. He shouldn't be here yet.
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| Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Tue, August 14, 2018 11:46:03 PM UTC0:00
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Carl Paladino declared that he is running but it doesn't appear that the Republican Party has selected him or anyone else as their replacement. He shouldn't be here yet. If its up to Republican committee people, I doubt Paladino has much of a chance.
Labour Dem: Carl Paladino declared that he is running but it doesn't appear that the Republican Party has selected him or anyone else as their replacement. He shouldn't be here yet. If its up to Republican committee people, I doubt Paladino has much of a chance.
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Since Collins is still on the ballot, shouldn't he remain listed here?
Since Collins is still on the ballot, shouldn't he remain listed here?
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.7227 points)
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Mon, September 17, 2018 12:53:35 AM UTC0:00
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Is it finalized or still in limbo?
Is it finalized or still in limbo?
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
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Mon, September 17, 2018 01:18:39 AM UTC0:00
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Collins is still on the ballot: https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/Elections/2018/General/2018FederalGeneralCertification.pdf
Rumblings that Republicans are still trying to figure out how to kick Collins off the ballot and are currently looking at getting Collins a spot on the Clarence Town Board by having a current member resign: https://buffalonews.com/2018/09/12/sources-gop-focusing-on-clarence-as-collins-landing-spot/
Collins is still on the ballot: [Link]
Rumblings that Republicans are still trying to figure out how to kick Collins off the ballot and are currently looking at getting Collins a spot on the Clarence Town Board by having a current member resign: [Link]
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.7227 points)
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Mon, September 17, 2018 12:46:45 PM UTC0:00
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Don't add, use replace so the predictions aren't screwed up.
Don't add, use replace so the predictions aren't screwed up.
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If Collins wins the election, is there then an automatic special election?
If Collins wins the election, is there then an automatic special election?
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| D:6086 | Jason (11889.0225 points)
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Mon, September 17, 2018 11:28:23 PM UTC0:00
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No? He would win re-election, and therefore hold office for 2 more years.
I guess he could resign, but why?
No? He would win re-election, and therefore hold office for 2 more years.
I guess he could resign, but why?
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.7227 points)
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Mon, September 17, 2018 11:45:31 PM UTC0:00
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If he's convicted of insider trading I believe it is likely he will be expelled.
If he's convicted of insider trading I believe it is likely he will be expelled.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.7227 points)
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Wed, September 19, 2018 09:29:59 PM UTC0:00
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Voters can be assured that with the recent turn of events, they can count on me to actively campaign for Congress, and to serve should voters re-elect me. The stakes are too high to allow the radical left to take control of this seat in Congress - Chris Collins - https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/chris-collins-to-actively-campaign-and-serve-if-re-elected
Voters can be assured that with the recent turn of events, they can count on me to actively campaign for Congress, and to serve should voters re-elect me. The stakes are too high to allow the radical left to take control of this seat in Congress - Chris Collins - [Link] |
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| D:9362 | An_62190 ( 651.5887 points)
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Thu, October 11, 2018 12:37:23 AM UTC0:00
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Chris Collins doesnt show up in names of Republican candidates when I tried to add the McMurray poll
Chris Collins doesnt show up in names of Republican candidates when I tried to add the McMurray poll
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| I:9518 | Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
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Thu, October 11, 2018 02:11:35 AM UTC0:00
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Fixed
Fixed
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
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Thu, October 11, 2018 02:20:05 AM UTC0:00
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It seems like having Collins as the 'winner' of the replacement race might be less confusing than having 'No Candidate' as the winner. Somehow.
It seems like having Collins as the 'winner' of the replacement race might be less confusing than having 'No Candidate' as the winner. Somehow.
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| I:10010 | Poll Vaulter ( 324.2112 points)
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Tue, October 16, 2018 12:57:40 PM UTC0:00
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If that new Siena poll is accurate.. its the weirdest poll of all time... According to the poll, the indicted Collins is winning 19% of Democrats... He's also doing better with women than he is with men... and he's doing better with those <50 years old, than he is with thosee >50..... I find any of those three facts to be improbable on its on... the chance of all three happening?? Its has to be really small
If that new Siena poll is accurate.. its the weirdest poll of all time... According to the poll, the indicted Collins is winning 19% of Democrats... He's also doing better with women than he is with men... and he's doing better with those <50 years old, than he is with thosee >50..... I find any of those three facts to be improbable on its on... the chance of all three happening?? Its has to be really small
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| D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
 x2
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Tue, October 16, 2018 04:17:14 PM UTC0:00
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This cycle has really demonstrated to me how horrible polling is these days, which I assume is a by-product of the pitiful response rate. The hope is that the average of horrible polls is about right, but when you add in the big uncertainty regarding who is going to vote what's left is about 1 step above useless.
This cycle has really demonstrated to me how horrible polling is these days, which I assume is a by-product of the pitiful response rate. The hope is that the average of horrible polls is about right, but when you add in the big uncertainty regarding who is going to vote what's left is about 1 step above useless.
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| I:10010 | Poll Vaulter ( 324.2112 points)
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Tue, October 16, 2018 06:25:37 PM UTC0:00
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Yeah, there is absolutely no way Collins is getting one out of five democrats in this district... I mean even if he was well liked (which the poll shows he is not), he's not getting 20% of the Democrats in the district.. the Democrats in this district are REALLY BLUE... they have to be, or they would be GOP... you have to be really committed because by being a democrat you lock yourself out of all of the local GOP primaries, which dominate all of the local politics in this region.
Yeah, there is absolutely no way Collins is getting one out of five democrats in this district... I mean even if he was well liked (which the poll shows he is not), he's not getting 20% of the Democrats in the district.. the Democrats in this district are REALLY BLUE... they have to be, or they would be GOP... you have to be really committed because by being a democrat you lock yourself out of all of the local GOP primaries, which dominate all of the local politics in this region.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
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Wed, October 17, 2018 12:07:29 AM UTC0:00
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don't worry, the Collins Ds that may not exist will be replaced by Collins Rs that may not have been polled at the 'accurate' percent of the sample
don't worry, the Collins Ds that may not exist will be replaced by Collins Rs that may not have been polled at the 'accurate' percent of the sample
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
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Thu, October 18, 2018 01:18:45 AM UTC0:00
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Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.) received a total of $80 in contributions from donors within his district after he was indicted in August on insider trading charges.
Documents filed with the Federal Election Commission show that Collins reported close to $33,000 in campaign contributions in the third quarter of 2018, down more than $70,000 from the previous quarter.
Of his third quarter haul, most came from political action committees. After he was charged on Aug. 8, just three people from New York's 27th Congressional District contributed to his campaign for a total of $80. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/411964-gop-rep-chris-collins-raised-80-from-within-district-after-indictment
Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.) received a total of $80 in contributions from donors within his district after he was indicted in August on insider trading charges.
Documents filed with the Federal Election Commission show that Collins reported close to $33,000 in campaign contributions in the third quarter of 2018, down more than $70,000 from the previous quarter.
Of his third quarter haul, most came from political action committees. After he was charged on Aug. 8, just three people from New York's 27th Congressional District contributed to his campaign for a total of $80. [Link]
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| I:10010 | Poll Vaulter ( 324.2112 points)
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Tue, October 23, 2018 01:01:36 PM UTC0:00
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I normally vote GOP, but I cannot support Collins. The charges against him are credible. I hate Wall Street cheaters. Voting McMurray
I normally vote GOP, but I cannot support Collins. The charges against him are credible. I hate Wall Street cheaters. Voting McMurray
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| D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
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Tue, October 23, 2018 03:19:17 PM UTC0:00
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I normally vote GOP, but I cannot support Collins. The charges against him are credible. I hate Wall Street cheaters. Voting McMurray
You will most likely get a better Republican than Collins in two years so you will have a Republican representing you in the end and the country will be better off if corruption isn't tolerated.
Poll Vaulter: I normally vote GOP, but I cannot support Collins. The charges against him are credible. I hate Wall Street cheaters. Voting McMurray
You will most likely get a better Republican than Collins in two years so you will have a Republican representing you in the end and the country will be better off if corruption isn't tolerated.
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| I:10010 | Poll Vaulter ( 324.2112 points)
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Wed, October 24, 2018 01:59:48 AM UTC0:00
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I agree.. I've said that many times.. don't be afraid to give someone a chance.. if you don't like them, vote them out in 2 years.
I agree.. I've said that many times.. don't be afraid to give someone a chance.. if you don't like them, vote them out in 2 years.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
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Sun, October 28, 2018 07:36:45 PM UTC0:00
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Between 10/1 and 10/17, Collins raised $1,754. http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/234/201810259133427234/201810259133427234.pdf
Between 10/1 and 10/17, Collins raised $1,754. [Link]
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| D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Mon, October 29, 2018 11:15:50 PM UTC0:00
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Even though Collins is still on the ballot, who will the NY St GOP get to replace him in the special election ?
Even though Collins is ya know, like, still on thuh ballot, who will thuh NY St GOP get to replace that dude in thuh special election ?
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
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Fri, November 9, 2018 02:27:03 AM UTC0:00
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Chris Collins just won a nice bargaining chip on Tuesday.
Chris Collins just won a nice bargaining chip on Tuesday.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.7227 points)
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Wed, November 21, 2018 03:44:25 PM UTC0:00
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https://twitter.com/Nate_McMurray/status/1065180311666024448
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