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  NY District 27
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New York > NY - District 27
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 12, 2018 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 64.83% Registered 43.60% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 14, 2018 12:57pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Collins suspended his active campaign in August but was unable to be removed from the ballot.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameChris Collins Votes220,885 (67.18%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin113,053 (+34.38%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Sep 17, 2018 NY District 27 - R Replacement Chris Collins
R 1
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/08/2018 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Chris Collins 7 6 --1
Nate McMurray 3 ------
Leaning Call: Chris Collins (88.46%)
Weighted Call: Chris Collins (50.22%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/06/2018 10/30/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Rep. Chris Collins Nate McMurray Larry Piegza (W) Write-In  
PartyRepublican Democratic Reform Unknown  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes140,146 (49.12%) 139,059 (48.74%) 5,973 (2.09%) 122 (0.04%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,087 (-0.38%) -134,173 (-47.03%) -140,024 (-49.08%)  
Fusion Votes
Republican114,506
Conservative23,553
IDP Independence2,087
Democratic128,167
WFP Working Families8,090
WEP Women's Equality2,802
 
Predict Avg.48.67% 41.33% 10.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $1,341,644.62 6/30 $81,772.07 10/17 $227,051.88 $--  
Website [Website] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 08/12/2018 00/00/2017 00/00/2017 04/12/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg43.17%-- 41.10%-- 4.00%-- 0.00%--  
Dixie Strategies 
10/29/18-10/30/18
45.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/24/18-10/29/18
44.00% 2.0 40.00% 3.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Tulchin Research 
10/25/18-10/28/18
43.00% -- 47.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/06/18-10/11/18
46.00% -- 43.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Tulchin Research 
10/06/18-10/08/18
42.00% -- 42.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/25/2018 Nate McMurray TVAd Biography eng This Time  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/23/2018 Nate McMurray TVAd Feel Good eng We're in Range  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/23/2018 Nate McMurray TVAd Biography eng Who We Are  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/18/2018 vs Chris Collins Web Only Ad Attack eng McMurray In, Collins Out  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/14/2018 Nate McMurray TVAd Biography eng America  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/11/2018 vs Nate McMurray TVAd Attack eng Impeachment  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/06/2018 vs Nate McMurray TVAd Attack eng Single Payer  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/28/2018 Nate McMurray TVAd Biography eng Vote for Common Sense  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/25/2018 vs Chris Collins TVAd Attack eng Collins Has Failed - We Need Jobs  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/22/2018 vs Nate McMurray TVAd Attack eng Take Him At His Word  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/18/2018 vs Chris Collins TVAd Attack eng He Lied  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
08/09/2018 Larry Piegza Web Only Ad Biography eng About My Campaign, Fixit Larry Piegza  00:06:16 BrentinCO 
08/02/2018 Larry Piegza Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Fix It Larry Piegza  00:05:00 Poll Vaulter 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 11, 2018 12:00pm General Inside the McMurray campaign: charisma and chaos  Article IndyGeorgia 
Oct 31, 2018 10:00am News Chris Collins' indictment divides voters – and defines Nate McMurray's race  Article Poll Vaulter 
Oct 01, 2018 07:00am News Nathan McMurray walks a fine line on guns as he campaigns for 27th District  Article Poll Vaulter 
Aug 14, 2018 11:00am News POLL: IN NY-27, COLLINS’S SEAT LIKELY TO REMAIN REPUBLICAN  Article Poll Vaulter 

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