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  AZ District 08 - Special R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > AZ - District 08
OfficeHouse of Representatives
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 15, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open February 27, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close February 27, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start April 25, 2018 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 51.89% Registered 11.92% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedameliaphoenix September 19, 2018 11:07am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameTrent Franks Votes204,942 (68.55%)
Term01/03/2017 - 12/08/2017 Margin110,988 (+37.12%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won04/24/2018
NameDebbie Lesko Votes96,012 (52.37%)
Term04/25/2018 - 01/03/2019 Margin8,681 (+4.73%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ District 08 - Special Election 04/24/2018
MAP
AZ CDs 2013-2023 MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/12/2017 02/27/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Debbie Lesko 2 1 ----
Steve Montenegro 1 ------
Leaning Call: Debbie Lesko (80.00%)
Weighted Call: Steve Montenegro (-2.67%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

12/09/2017 02/01/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name St. Sen. Debbie Lesko St. Rep. Phil Lovas St. Sen. Steve Montenegro Commissioner of Corporations Bob Stump Clair Van Steenwyk Christopher Sylvester David "Dave" Lien
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes27,047 (35.38%) 18,562 (24.28%) 18,106 (23.68%) 4,032 (5.27%) 1,787 (2.34%) 1,490 (1.95%) 1,341 (1.75%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -8,485 (-11.10%) -8,941 (-11.69%) -23,015 (-30.10%) -25,260 (-33.04%) -25,557 (-33.43%) -25,706 (-33.62%)
Predict Avg.28.50% 16.50% 26.50% 12.00% 7.50% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 2/7 $100,517.33 2/7 $78,701.81 2/7 $101,429.32 2/7 $8,337.22 $-- 2/7 $515.90 2/7 $8,642.31
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 12/11/2017 12/11/2017 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg19.80%-- 10.33%-- 18.51%-- 9.51%-- 4.58%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
OH Predictive Insights 
01/29/18-02/01/18
21.00% 5.0 12.00% -- 21.00% -- 10.00% 8.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
12/11/17-12/11/17
16.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 18.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
12/09/17-12/11/17
15.00% -- 2.00% -- 4.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sheriff Richard Mack Mark Yates Chad Allen Brenden Dilley Stephen Dolgos (W) Patrick Masoya (W) Blake Taylor
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes1,191 (1.56%) 871 (1.14%) 824 (1.08%) 823 (1.08%) 377 (0.49%) 5 (0.01%) 2 (0.00%)
Margin-25,856 (-33.82%) -26,176 (-34.24%) -26,223 (-34.30%) -26,224 (-34.30%) -26,670 (-34.88%) -27,042 (-35.37%) -27,045 (-35.37%)
Predict Avg.2.50% 1.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 2/7 $4,419.23 $-- 2/7 $4,437.30 2/7 $5,801.65 $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 01/15/2018 01/15/2018
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.58%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
OH Predictive Insights 
01/29/18-02/01/18
1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
12/11/17-12/11/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
12/09/17-12/11/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 1 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT
Clint Hickman (R)
 00, 2018
Kimberly Yee (R)
Dec 27, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
02/09/2018 Steve Montenegro TVAd Biography eng Steve Montenegro Your Proven Conservative for Congress  00:00:30 BrentinCO 
01/24/2018 Debbie Lesko TVAd Issue eng Build the Wall  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Feb 22, 2018 12:00am News Steve Montenegro faces calls to quit congressional race; backers largely mum  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION