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  AZ US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open August 28, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 28, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Turnout 58.37% Registered 10.25% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH September 11, 2018 02:33pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameJeff Flake Votes1,104,457 (49.23%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin67,915 (+3.03%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ US Senate 11/06/2018
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/12/2017 08/28/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Martha McSally 4 8 --1
Joseph M. "Joe" Arpaio 1 ------
Leaning Call: Martha McSally (96.00%)
Weighted Call: Martha McSally (100.14%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/26/2017 08/22/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Martha McSally St. Sen. Kelli Ward Sheriff Joseph M. "Joe" Arpaio (W) Nicholas Glenn (W) William Gonzales  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes357,626 (54.58%) 180,926 (27.61%) 116,555 (17.79%) 121 (0.02%) 70 (0.01%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -176,700 (-26.96%) -241,071 (-36.79%) -357,505 (-54.56%) -357,556 (-54.56%)  
Predict Avg.48.00% 28.25% 21.25% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- 8/8 $256,784.64 $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 01/12/2018 10/27/2016 01/09/2018 06/01/2018 06/01/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (16 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.92%-- 23.72%-- 15.12%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Data Orbital 
08/21/18-08/22/18
48.10% 17.1 22.10% 3.1 17.60% 4.4 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
08/14/18-08/15/18
47.00% 12.0 27.00% -- 13.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
07/23/18-07/25/18
35.00% 4.0 27.00% 2.5 15.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
06/27/18-07/02/18
34.60% -- 24.80% -- 20.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
06/21/18-06/22/18
32.30% -- 19.40% -- 18.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
06/17/18-06/21/18
30.00% -- 28.00% -- 21.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Jason
 

DROPPED OUT
Jay Heiler (R)
Jan 12, 2018
Craig Brittain (R)
 00, 2018
Christian Diegel (R)
 00, 2018
Michelle Griffin (R)
 00, 2018
Matthew J. "Matt" Salmon (R)
 00, 2018
Nicholas Tutora (R)
 00, 2018
Jeff DeWit (R)
Nov 30, 2017
John Shadegg (R)
Nov 07, 2017
Trent Franks (R)
Oct 26, 2017
Paul Gosar (R)
Oct 25, 2017
David Schweikert (R)
Oct 25, 2017
Jeff Flake (R)
Jan 01, 2017 - Oct 24, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/22/2017 vs Kelli Ward TVAd Attack eng ChemtrailKelli  00:01:17 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 24, 2017 03:15pm Speculative Joe Arpaio still considering Arizona Senate run, says he met Steve Bannon twice  Article RP 

DISCUSSION