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  AZ District 02
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > AZ - District 02
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 72.69% Registered 45.87% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 03, 2018 01:35pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameMartha McSally Votes179,806 (56.96%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin43,933 (+13.92%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameAnn Kirkpatrick Votes209,945 (55.10%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin38,970 (+10.23%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 28, 2018 AZ District 02 - D Primary
Ann Kirkpatrick
D 81,093
Aug 28, 2018 AZ District 02 - R Primary
Lea Marquez Peterson
R 69,014
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/12/2017 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ann Kirkpatrick 6 8 3 --
Lea Marquez Peterson 1 ------
Leaning Call: Ann Kirkpatrick (96.87%)
Weighted Call: Ann Kirkpatrick (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/05/2017 10/01/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick Lea Marquez Peterson (W) Jordan Flayer (W) Melissa Grable  
PartyDemocratic Republican Independent Independent Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 161,000 (54.73%) 133,083 (45.24%) 50 (0.02%) 19 (0.01%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -27,917 (-9.49%) -160,950 (-54.72%) -160,981 (-54.73%)  
Predict Avg.56.50% 43.50% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 10/17 $811,343.06 10/17 $76,613.99 $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 07/21/2017 12/14/2017 00/00/2018 00/00/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.52%-- 39.02%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Siena Research Institute 
09/26/18-10/01/18
50.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/08/18-02/10/18
43.00% 1.0 34.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/06/17-10/08/17
44.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/05/17-05/07/17
48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/17/2018 vs Lea Marquez Peterson TVAd Attack eng Consequences  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/15/2018 vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng Forgotten  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/15/2018 vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng With the Wind  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/25/2018 vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng 2009  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/12/2018 vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng Warning  00:00:30 RP 
08/02/2018 vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng Depend  00:00:15 Poll Vaulter 
08/02/2018 vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng Stood  00:00:15 Poll Vaulter 

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