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  AZ District 02 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > AZ - District 02
OfficeHouse of Representatives
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open August 28, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 28, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 71.72% Registered 12.64% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH September 11, 2018 02:43pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameMartha McSally Votes179,806 (56.96%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin43,933 (+13.92%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameAnn Kirkpatrick Votes161,000 (54.73%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin27,917 (+9.49%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ District 02 11/06/2018
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/08/2017 08/28/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ann Kirkpatrick 3 ------
Matt Heinz 5 4 ----
Leaning Call: Matt Heinz (81.25%)
Weighted Call: Matt Heinz (85.82%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/05/2017 08/02/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick Minority Whip Matt Heinz Maria "Mary" Matiella St. Rep. Bruce Wheeler Billy Kovacs Barbara Sherry Yahya Yuksel
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes33,938 (41.85%) 23,992 (29.59%) 7,606 (9.38%) 6,814 (8.40%) 5,350 (6.60%) 2,074 (2.56%) 1,319 (1.63%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -9,946 (-12.26%) -26,332 (-32.47%) -27,124 (-33.45%) -28,588 (-35.25%) -31,864 (-39.29%) -32,619 (-40.22%)
Predict Avg.37.50% 43.50% 0.00% 5.00% 8.50% 0.00% 5.50%
Cash On Hand 8/8 $335,813.56 8/8 $76,508.63 8/8 $32,328.93 8/8 $-4,053.55 8/8 $17,461.02 8/8 $123.63 $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 07/21/2017 06/13/2017 06/19/2017 05/10/2017 04/15/2017 00/00/2018 00/00/2018
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg26.00%-- 31.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
FM3 Research 
08/01/18-08/02/18
26.00% 3.0 31.00% 4.0 0.00% 6.0 0.00% 4.0 0.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
FM3 Research 
04/29/18-05/03/18
23.00% -- 27.00% -- 6.00% -- 4.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/05/17-05/07/17
30.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Randy Friese (D)
 00, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/02/2018 vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng Depend  00:00:15 Poll Vaulter 
08/02/2018 Matt Heinz vs Ann Kirkpatrick TVAd Attack eng Stood  00:00:15 Poll Vaulter 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 21, 2018 08:30pm Interview Matt Heinz compares Ann Kirkpatrick to 'meth addict' in interview  Article RP 
Aug 21, 2018 08:00am News Tucson Is Hosting the Hottest Democratic Primary in the Country  Article Poll Vaulter 

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