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  CA District 21
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 21
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 09, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 42.66% Registered 14.85% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedbudgeteer November 15, 2018 06:07am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDavid G. Valadao Votes75,126 (56.74%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin17,844 (+13.48%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 05, 2018 CA District 21 - Open Primary David G. Valadao
R 34,290D 20,293
MAP
CA CDs 2013-2023 MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/06/2018 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
David G. Valadao 5 5 5 1
Leaning Call: David G. Valadao (100.00%)
Weighted Call: David G. Valadao (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/20/2018 09/24/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Rep. David G. Valadao T.J. Cox  
PartyRepublican Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes48,620 (51.23%) 46,279 (48.77%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,341 (-2.47%)  
Predict Avg.55.00% 45.00%  
Cash On Hand 10/17 $713,257.88 10/17 $231,542.56  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2017 03/00/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.64%-- 38.56%--  
Survey USA 
09/20/18-09/24/18
50.00% -- 39.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/23/2018 vs David G. Valadao TVAd Attack eng The Truth  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/21/2018 T.J. Cox vs David G. Valadao TVAd Contrast eng Every Step  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/14/2018 David G. Valadao TVAd Biography eng Fighting for the Central Valley  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/11/2018 T.J. Cox TVAd Issue eng Team Effort  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 27, 2018 11:50am News Valadao challenger Cox lists principal residence in Maryland, documents say. He says he lives in Fresno  Article Poll Vaulter 

DISCUSSION
[View All
2
Previous Messages]
 
D:7918Labour Dem ( 162.7727 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 11:34:09 PM UTC0:00
Valadao ran far behind his usual percentages this cycle so I would not be surprised if the remaining votes are less than favorable to him. There are almond growers in this district and tariffs are not good for them, so I suspect that and increased Latino turnout pulled Valadao down.

 
D:1989RBH ( 2556.0742 points)
Tue, November 13, 2018 01:26:37 AM UTC0:00
it's sufficiently surprising that there is still a little bit of suspense to CA21 six days after the election