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  CA District 48 - Open Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 48
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 09, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open June 05, 2018 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close June 05, 2018 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
Turnout 21.73% Registered 13.62% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia July 13, 2018 10:07pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Oatman dropped her candidacy on March 21st but she is on the certified list of candidates.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDana Rohrabacher Votes178,701 (58.32%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin50,986 (+16.64%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameHarley Rouda Votes126,536 (52.70%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin12,962 (+5.40%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA District 48 11/06/2018
MAP
CA CDs 2013-2023 MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/06/2017 06/05/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Dana Rohrabacher 3 2 1 --
Scott R. Baugh 1 ------
Leaning Call: Dana Rohrabacher (90.91%)
Weighted Call: Dana Rohrabacher (97.70%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/04/2018 05/03/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Rep. Dana Rohrabacher Harley Rouda Hans Keirstead St. Rep. Scott R. Baugh Omar A. Siddiqui John Gabbard Rachel Payne
PartyRepublican Democratic Democratic Republican Democratic Republican Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes52,737 (30.30%) 30,099 (17.30%) 29,974 (17.22%) 27,514 (15.81%) 8,658 (4.98%) 5,664 (3.26%) 3,598 (2.07%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -22,638 (-13.01%) -22,763 (-13.08%) -25,223 (-14.49%) -44,079 (-25.33%) -47,073 (-27.05%) -49,139 (-28.24%)
Predict Avg.36.00% 15.00% 26.00% 23.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 5/16 $433,734.62 3/31 $1,101,875.25 5/16 $202,047.22 5/16 $271,918.09 5/16 $751,349.31 $-- 3/31 $90,286.40
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2017 00/00/2017 06/15/2017 03/08/2018 00/00/2017 03/09/2018 12/11/2017
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg23.11%-- 10.85%-- 18.85%-- 13.11%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Change Research 
05/02/18-05/03/18
27.00% -- 11.00% -- 19.00% -- 17.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
03/04/18-03/06/18
35.00% -- 10.00% -- 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 1.00% -- 3.00% -- 4.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Paul Martin Shastina Sandman Michael Kotick Laura Oatman Deanie Schaarsmith Tony Zarkades Brandon Reiser
PartyRepublican Republican Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Libertarian
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes2,893 (1.66%) 2,762 (1.59%) 2,606 (1.50%) 2,412 (1.39%) 1,433 (0.82%) 1,281 (0.74%) 964 (0.55%)
Margin-49,844 (-28.64%) -49,975 (-28.72%) -50,131 (-28.81%) -50,325 (-28.92%) -51,304 (-29.48%) -51,456 (-29.57%) -51,773 (-29.75%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- 5/16 $42,153.78 5/16 $12,860.02 $-- $-- 5/16 $2,636.65
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 03/09/2018 03/09/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 03/09/2018 00/00/2017 00/00/2018
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Change Research 
05/02/18-05/03/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
03/04/18-03/06/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 10.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 4.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 1 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT
Stelian Onufrei (R)
Jul 20, 2017 - Apr 19, 2018
Edward Boyd (NPA)
 00, 2018 -  00, 2018
Chase Geiser (R)
Mar 09, 2018 -  00, 2018
Boyd Roberts (D)
 00, 2018
Generic Democrat (D)
Jan 01, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/08/2018 Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Biography eng Healthcare is Personal for Me  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
05/22/2018 Harley Rouda TVAd Issue eng Move Forward  00:00:30 RP 
05/18/2018 Harley Rouda TVAd Biography eng Kaira  00:00:30 RP 
05/15/2018 Harley Rouda Web Only Ad Biography eng Rouda Kids  00:00:41 RP 
05/14/2018 vs Scott R. Baugh TVAd Attack eng Sheet  00:00:31 RP 
05/08/2018 Harley Rouda TVAd Issue eng Future  00:00:30 RP 
04/20/2018 Scott R. Baugh vs Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Contrast eng Dana Rohrabacher Fail  00:00:31 BrentinCO 
04/09/2018 Harley Rouda TVAd Issue eng Trust  00:00:30 RP 
03/21/2018 Scott R. Baugh TVAd Biography eng It’s Time  00:00:30 BrentinCO 
02/13/2018 vs Hans Keirstead TVAd Attack eng Preposterous  00:00:30 RP 
05/16/2017 vs Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Attack eng Wonder Why   00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 24, 2018 05:05pm Endorsement Republican Congressman Dana Rohrabacher says it’s OK to not sell homes to gays; loses support of Realtors   Article RP 

DISCUSSION